DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 61.8 - - 63.0 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 355 - - 150 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5448 - - 5509 - - 4698 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3738 - - 4002 - - 2946 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5553 - - 5614 - - 4803 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1132 - - 1234 - - 1573 - - 2336 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 435 - - 507 - - 363 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 001 - - 004 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -635 - - -2027 - - -2882 - - -5340 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6188 - - 7642 - - 7685 - - 5461 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10173 - - -10281 - - -10809 - - -13730 ODpotential blCL - - - 15726 - - 15895 - - 15612 - - 13851 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 57 - - 46 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 61.8 - - 63.0 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.7 - - 28.6 - - 29.7 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 59.9 - - 62.2 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 27.6 - - 28.7 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 355 - - 150 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5448 - - 5509 - - 4698 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96540 26 278 37 263 30 279 31 274 96540 89319 22 265 22 268 27 267 25 260 89319 83836 17 262 22 273 20 257 16 259 83836 79285 8 267 18 272 12 277 10 262 79285 75339 15 280 18 284 12 294 17 274 75339 71836 20 251 23 287 18 288 18 288 71836 68657 14 221 22 266 23 274 19 294 68657 65727 12 315 14 272 23 276 17 295 65727 62996 27 308 15 302 19 286 20 300 62996 60333 36 291 26 304 25 290 24 298 60333 57542 36 281 36 292 34 294 31 297 57542 54645 32 286 39 287 38 296 35 296 54645 51875 40 291 45 288 42 298 43 301 51875 49371 44 283 49 284 48 293 46 293 49371 47123 46 294 48 288 48 291 45 297 47123 45095 56 300 53 299 49 298 46 302 45095 43260 62 299 59 304 51 301 49 304 43260 41586 66 299 59 306 50 302 51 303 41586 40041 67 301 59 308 51 304 50 304 40041 38597 68 302 58 309 54 308 52 305 38597 37237 69 301 57 309 58 310 55 306 37237 35919 68 300 56 309 60 310 57 309 35919 34573 67 301 55 310 59 310 59 314 34573 33169 66 302 56 311 57 312 60 318 33169 31711 65 304 58 311 56 312 61 320 31711 30184 64 306 58 311 53 313 60 319 30184 28573 65 308 57 312 51 316 56 318 28573 26881 64 308 57 312 52 319 53 319 26881 25108 61 307 55 312 52 319 48 323 25108 23257 59 307 55 312 50 318 45 327 23257 21329 60 310 54 314 48 320 41 328 21329 19316 60 316 52 320 45 325 38 330 19316 17213 59 324 51 328 43 331 35 332 17213 15064 59 330 49 334 41 335 34 334 15064 12990 54 331 46 338 40 339 34 341 12990 11106 46 331 41 344 37 347 33 351 11106 9441 35 332 33 349 31 356 28 003 9441 7974 24 336 25 351 22 008 22 019 7974 6680 18*351 19*354 19 016 15 041 6680 5536 15*004 18*360 18*010 13 047 5536 4527 15 006 18 001 17*006 16 029 4527 3640 16 007 18 000 18 005 22 016 3640 2860 16 007 18 001 18 004 25 007 2860 2164 16 008 18 001 17 004 26 001 2164 1550 15 008 18 001 17 004 25 359 1550 1039 15 008 17 001 17 004 23 357 1039 647 15 008 17 001 16 003 20 354 647 377 14 008 16 001 15 003 16 350 377 214 13 009 15 002 14 003 12 346 214 121 11 009 13 001 12 003 6*341 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography