DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 25.5 - - 24.0 - - 19.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 96 - - 12 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8224 - - 4271 - - 3214 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14144 - - 11390 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17234 - - 13281 - - 12224 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2215 - - 5161 - - 2581 - - 3592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 382 - - 326 - - 164 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 26 - - 30 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 334 - - 318 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 18 - - 24 - - 25 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -29 - - 112 - - -37 - - -33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 10016 - - 6121 - - 4299 - - -342 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7218 - - 7161 - - 7925 - - 7504 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 4385 - - 2964 - - 836 - - -4434 ODpotential blCL - - - 12849 - - 10317 - - 11388 - - 11595 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 94 - - 75 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 280 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 25.5 - - 24.0 - - 19.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.1 - - 21.3 - - 14.5 - - 12.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 28.6 - - 27.9 - - 25.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.0 - - 20.1 - - 13.4 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 96 - - 12 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8224 - - 4271 - - 3214 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 75 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96391 12 214 15 249 20 280 17 275 96391 89225 7 193 7 236 9 267 10 296 89225 83754 4 226 6 232 5 265 6 304 83754 79224 9 240 10 259 2 262 7 269 79224 75306 6 254 12 252 7 225 11 257 75306 71824 7 234 14 241 8 218 14 220 71824 68632 7 255 17 255 13 267 14 219 68632 65667 21 269 22 271 21 286 9 259 65667 62898 27 271 23 271 26 273 15 269 62898 60186 31 277 27 278 24 261 23 245 60186 57332 38 283 39 275 31 256 24 257 57332 54348 41 277 42 269 39 266 27 270 54348 51484 40 276 40 274 39 278 34 281 51484 48908 41 278 45 280 38 286 35 289 48908 46602 45 280 46 281 39 291 35 292 46602 44509 46 279 44 283 40 295 37 296 44509 42593 47 279 46 285 42 295 40 303 42593 40828 49 277 47 283 45 293 44 304 40828 39190 51 273 46 282 44 291 42 303 39190 37665 52 269 45 280 42 292 43 305 37665 36250 53 265 42 281 38 294 40 307 36250 34912 52 263 41 282 37 299 40 309 34912 33586 50 260 41 279 39 300 37 311 33586 32250 47 257 37 275 39 297 37 317 32250 30912 44 255 32 280 34 291 35 318 30912 29565 40 253 32 291 25 296 23 335 29565 28200 36 250 36 288 24 320 29 357 28200 26824 32 250 28 274 25 326 30 348 26824 25437 31 253 20 281 11 336 24 339 25437 24037 32 254 13 296 2 041 15 353 24037 22625 32 255 6 292 6 165 16 028 22625 21192 33 257 2 041 7 182 17 023 21192 19733 34 261 8 039 1 203 16 343 19733 18270 33*272 11 025 11 355 12 319 18270 16870 24*289 14 013 26 355 12 333 16870 15594 20 299 18 003 34 356 18 341 15594 14451 18 299 22 354 37 354 24 341 14451 13420 14 299 24*348 37 348 27 343 13420 12486 13 294 27*343 35*338 29 347 12486 11636 14 289 29 339 35*329 30 351 11636 10865 17 283 30 336 34 322 31 353 10865 10167 19 278 30 334 33 317 31 351 10167 9535 20 276 29 333 33 316 31 347 9535 8956 20 274 28 332 32 315 31 343 8956 8431 19 272 26 331 30 314 29 340 8431 7986 19 270 24 330 28 314 26 338 7986 7637 18 269 21 329 25 314 21 334 7637 7394 16 267 18 328 22 314 15 331 7394 7246 14 266 15 327 18 314 10*329 7246 7160 9 264 10 326 11 314 5*331 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography