DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 60.4 - - 62.3 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 232 - - 113 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 960 - - 2344 - - 2564 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 4905 - - 4736 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4497 - - 5881 - - 6101 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1918 - - 1079 - - 1073 - - 2900 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 345 - - 280 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 315 - - 306 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 12 - - 28 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1466 - - 1298 - - 623 - - -815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3031 - - 4583 - - 5478 - - 3438 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 598 - - -164 - - -5957 - - -8488 ODpotential blCL - - - 3899 - - 6045 - - 12058 - - 11111 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 86 - - 77 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 60.4 - - 62.3 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 49.2 - - 47.2 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 59.7 - - 62.2 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 48.0 - - 46.2 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 232 - - 113 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 960 - - 2344 - - 2564 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 44 - - 8 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96852 31 278 39 278 37 282 36 283 96852 89567 21 282 28 280 25 274 23 277 89567 83998 16 271 24 275 17 288 15 285 83998 79387 13 288 19 261 21 276 22 301 79387 75439 12 307 4 306 16 262 18 280 75439 71961 21 282 20 323 7 348 4 282 71961 68776 26 275 33 275 23 314 15 335 68776 65823 17 283 29 261 31 277 32 301 65823 63108 14 310 13 303 27 263 37 279 63108 60500 28 300 25 341 18 294 33 273 60500 57774 43 285 36 310 31 307 33 288 57774 54931 52 285 51 287 44 299 38 296 54931 52201 64 290 60 281 55 290 49 296 52201 49730 73 284 67 282 67 285 63 290 49730 47505 72 280 71 281 72 280 67 283 47505 45483 68 275 71 279 69 277 65 278 45483 43637 64 270 69 277 66 277 61 278 43637 41945 60 268 66 276 67 276 58 281 41945 40384 57 270 63 277 64 284 56 282 40384 38931 52 269 61 281 61 289 56 283 38931 37568 53 269 52 280 59 290 57 284 37568 36258 58 268 47 276 58 286 56 287 36258 34935 60 267 41 271 51 284 52 291 34935 33572 58 269 39 283 45 283 46 293 33572 32168 53 273 40 288 45 279 41 292 32168 30708 46 279 35 283 44 278 40 293 30708 29179 40 279 33 283 41 282 39 292 29179 27584 32 280 32 286 36 289 35 293 27584 25922 29 279 32 286 34 294 35 297 25922 24192 31 278 34 284 34 292 35 301 24192 22400 34 272 36 279 35 290 35 303 22400 20539 39 275 40 278 38 293 34 305 20539 18610 45 285 42 286 37 298 31 310 18610 16651 45 293 36 297 34 305 29 317 16651 14768 41 299 30 311 30 314 27 322 14768 13053 37 303 30 321 29 323 26 327 13053 11521 35 304 30 325 29 331 25 332 11521 10155 33 305 28 327 30 339 24 336 10155 8935 29 308 25 330 29 343 23 338 8935 7852 22 314 21 334 24 340 22 338 7852 6894 15 324 15 333 17*330 19 335 6894 6049 11 332 11*332 14*320 16 330 6049 5301 8 335 10*329 12 314 14 326 5301 4628 6*330 10 323 12 308 12 323 4628 4031 4*310 9 316 11 303 11 318 4031 3530 3 275 9 311 11 299 9 313 3530 3144 4 261 9 306 10 297 8 310 3144 2877 4 253 8 302 10 296 5 307 2877 2715 4 250 8 300 9 293 4*303 2715 2622 3 245 7 296 7 290 3*306 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography