DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 76.4 - - 80.1 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 140 - - 6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1207 - - 2547 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1563 - - 2700 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2592 - - 3932 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2030 - - 2009 - - 6197 - - 2263 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 302 - - 52 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 175 - - 144 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 752 - - 909 - - -3538 - - -45 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1840 - - 3024 - - 5118 - - 1624 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 230 - - 62 - - -4227 - - -732 ODpotential blCL - - - 2362 - - 3870 - - 5806 - - 2311 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1910 - - 2280 - - 1580 - - 1540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 76.4 - - 80.1 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.4 - - 67.9 - - 62.8 - - 67.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 75.1 - - 79.9 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.7 - - 67.0 - - 62.5 - - 67.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 140 - - 6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1207 - - 2547 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 65 - - 85 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97334 30 269 36 251 40 260 40 269 97334 89989 31 252 35 242 33 262 26 265 89989 84366 28 254 28 248 26 263 15 263 84366 79693 20 264 14 261 17 240 12 246 79693 75664 14 260 10 310 5 241 7 236 75664 72126 12 246 10 274 8 314 2 036 72126 68933 7 248 11 230 15 275 7 355 68933 65999 13 269 13 262 13 255 12 284 65999 63302 19 256 22 262 22 265 23 275 63302 60716 28 280 24 275 30 281 25 267 60716 58005 33 277 32 280 29 271 25 271 58005 55186 42 286 44 288 36 288 39 287 55186 52502 56 288 60 286 54 290 52 298 52502 50082 62 281 61 283 63 289 63 295 50082 47902 58 277 55 282 60 288 60 291 47902 45923 53 275 49 277 55 286 56 290 45923 44121 48 270 46 270 51 282 54 288 44121 42469 45 261 45 263 49 277 52 287 42469 40935 45 254 44 258 49 271 52 286 40935 39496 44 241 44 255 50 265 52 280 39496 38136 43 240 46 254 52 262 52 276 38136 36816 44 248 47 252 53 261 53 277 36816 35471 46 259 49 257 51 263 53 276 35471 34071 45 259 48 260 49 270 53 274 34071 32621 43 249 49 256 53 272 51 276 32621 31107 46 247 53 261 52 275 48 279 31107 29519 44 252 51 272 45 282 42 293 29519 27859 36 259 39 272 31 278 34 297 27859 26124 37 262 32 265 21 265 24 281 26124 24320 34 270 28 269 13 263 15 258 24320 22449 25 281 22 269 11 259 11 255 22449 20503 18 278 14 264 8 269 7 269 20503 18475 18 266 18 278 12 284 5 283 18475 16407 28 272 26 278 20 278 10 269 16407 14412 30 272 26 273 21 271 15 257 14412 12593 22 261 22 262 17 265 16 250 12593 10971 14 259 18 247 16 252 17 245 10971 9525 9 255 18 258 17 249 19 243 9525 8236 6 223 11 246 16 211 14 233 8236 7088 7 205 10 207 17 184 17 208 7088 6072 13 190 13 196 17 175 19 200 6072 5174 16 183 15 191 17 167 18 185 5174 4380 17 178 16*187 16 159 19 163 4380 3672 16 174 15*183 16 154 23 151 3672 3046 15*171 14 176 16 150 25 148 3046 2523 14*168 14 173 16 148 24 147 2523 2121 13 166 14 172 15 146 22 146 2121 1844 13 165 13 172 14 146 17 145 1844 1675 12 164 12 171 12 145 14*144 1675 1579 10 163 10 171 9*144 11*144 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography