DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 83.4 - - 81.6 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 428 - - 247 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2792 - - 5366 - - 4737 - - 1736 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1901 - - 3967 - - 3242 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2898 - - 5472 - - 4843 - - 1842 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 889 - - 1961 - - 2270 - - 1389 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 403 - - 535 - - 428 - - 118 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 16 - - 16 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 205 - - 230 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 7 - - 15 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3410 - - -2281 - - -2020 - - -2620 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6308 - - 7753 - - 6863 - - 4462 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8302 - - -6236 - - -5148 - - -7816 ODpotential blCL - - - 11200 - - 11708 - - 9991 - - 9658 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 68 - - 73 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 83.4 - - 81.6 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 49.6 - - 51.8 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 81.1 - - 80.2 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 49.0 - - 51.3 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 428 - - 247 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2792 - - 5366 - - 4737 - - 1736 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98646 16 134 11 103 14 134 11 074 98646 91137 10 132 13 104 14 109 9 075 91137 85374 9 140 10 137 15 081 13 087 85374 80616 11 169 14 173 6 056 8 065 80616 76508 8 168 9 189 3 331 6 057 76508 72851 6 117 4 207 2 219 3 081 72851 69526 2 218 2 216 5 260 3 016 69526 66466 6 242 6 263 8 279 6 307 66466 63623 8 293 8 277 9 268 9 290 63623 60871 10 296 9 292 9 246 10 284 60871 58008 13 281 13 293 10 270 14 278 58008 55040 17 261 21 285 17 292 11 290 55040 52210 17 261 24 276 24 292 23 312 52210 49687 16 285 23 276 28 301 32 297 49687 47448 15 303 20 277 29 285 26 277 47448 45430 19 327 17 278 29 306 37 326 45430 43611 28 330 29 319 33 302 54 292 43611 41955 30 325 30 328 29 303 38 266 41955 40418 27 322 25 323 36 327 25 284 40418 38974 24 322 27 311 51 326 34 300 38974 37608 22 326 31 311 37 314 42 298 37608 36280 23 328 35 315 36 303 45 292 36280 34924 20 329 31 311 38 294 48 289 34924 33508 16 326 27 302 34 294 51 289 33508 32039 15 310 29 307 33 299 54 288 32039 30505 16 308 29 311 34 303 52 285 30505 28895 15 305 29 311 35 303 47 283 28895 27205 20 304 29 313 34 302 49 289 27205 25429 22 303 28 314 33 298 54 291 25429 23566 21 292 25 309 31 294 54 289 23566 21621 19 283 23 290 28 286 48 285 21621 19586 18 264 23 275 28 277 42 278 19586 17455 19 251 23 258 30 268 40 272 17455 15276 20 241 24 242 29 260 36 263 15276 13184 23 227 26 233 28 249 31 250 13184 11290 23 212 26 226 27 237 29 237 11290 9615 21 200 26 218 24 230 28 227 9615 8130 18 196 24 219 20 227 25 221 8130 6815 16 204 18 223 15 227 21 214 6815 5649 14 218 15*218 13*232 17 207 5649 4619 12 231 15*214 13*236 15 216 4619 3714 11 238 16 210 15 235 17 235 3714 2917 9*216 16 206 16 233 19 248 2917 2207 9*188 17 204 17 230 22*252 2207 1581 9 168 17 202 17 228 22*252 1581 1060 10 163 17 200 17 226 22 252 1060 660 10 159 17 199 16 225 21 251 660 385 9 158 17 198 16 224 19 250 385 218 9 157 16 198 15 223 17 249 218 123 8 156 14 196 13 222 12 247 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography