DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.7 - - 80.2 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 201 - - 132 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4753 - - 5173 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3696 - - 3778 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5348 - - 5768 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1244 - - 1100 - - 4675 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 415 - - 373 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 086 - - 097 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1527 - - -2289 - - -5043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6875 - - 8057 - - 5618 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8606 - - -8143 - - -9476 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13954 - - 13911 - - 10051 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 83 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.7 - - 80.2 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.7 - - 47.0 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.6 - - 79.4 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.3 - - 45.7 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 201 - - 132 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4753 - - 5173 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 30 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98562 19 097 12 126 16 056 98562 91065 18 096 13 101 12 102 91065 85304 14 107 14 098 11 112 85304 80544 9 105 13 081 9 094 80544 76459 11 093 12 076 15 081 76459 72837 13 077 8 094 12 055 72837 69557 10 081 7 082 6 037 69557 66560 9 110 4 058 5 015 66560 63784 1 120 5 185 5 296 63784 61092 12 264 8 267 6 249 61092 58284 16 231 16 245 12 236 58284 55377 18 223 23 218 20 217 55377 52618 21 245 22 226 22 228 52618 50157 34 235 33 240 33 238 50157 47985 44 224 44 236 40 240 47985 46039 54 224 57 230 56 235 46039 44266 63 222 68 220 72 227 44266 42628 71 219 74 218 74 225 42628 41093 73 219 73 216 74 222 41093 39644 70 219 70 214 76 216 39644 38268 66 218 69 214 74 213 38268 36924 59 218 64 216 71 211 36924 35547 44 223 55 217 70 215 35547 34112 33 228 45 218 59 229 34112 32627 34 231 33 224 37 234 32627 31078 34 225 32 225 25 234 31078 29450 32 237 28 224 20 247 29450 27738 31 264 24 259 18 266 27738 25942 23 266 19 276 14 273 25942 24064 19 240 17 255 9 255 24064 22107 15 242 19 255 10 251 22107 20067 12 262 15 269 9 278 20067 17942 11 252 12 273 9 293 17942 15777 12 264 10 285 8 325 15777 13696 10 292 10 353 7 033 13696 11807 9 340 18 027 15 052 11807 10129 11 023 18 041 19 054 10129 8637 10 041 10 054 14 065 8637 7313 6 043 8 058 11 062 7313 6142 8*052 9*086 9 087 6142 5111 12*083 9*091 12 100 5111 4205 12 084 9 093 13 099 4205 3405 12 085 9 096 13 100 3405 2689 12 087 9 097 13 102 2689 2055 11 087 9 099 12 104 2055 1526 11 088 9 100 12 106 1526 1120 11 090 9 100 11 108 1120 841 10 089 9 101 9 108 841 671 10 090 8 101 8*108 671 574 9 090 8 101 5*109 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography