DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 59.4 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - 12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1353 - - 1276 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2553 - - 2476 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1282 - - 2181 - - 3418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 172 - - 114 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 294 - - 287 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 894 - - 785 - - -371 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1659 - - 1691 - - 1604 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 503 - - 237 - - -1751 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2050 - - 2239 - - 2984 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 59.4 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.3 - - 56.2 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.4 - - 59.8 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.7 - - 55.7 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - 12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1353 - - 1276 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 99 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98662 17 103 9 090 13 073 98662 91197 13 083 11 074 13 062 91197 85459 10 086 9 076 12 066 85459 80675 11 109 7 123 6 071 80675 76540 11 111 5 105 4 099 76540 72892 7 070 8 076 1 112 72892 69600 7 070 6 085 2 086 69600 66573 2 004 4 028 4 001 66573 63756 6 231 5 277 4 350 63756 61030 7 276 8 274 12 298 61030 58194 16 259 13 262 13 267 58194 55247 20 259 19 263 16 263 55247 52430 27 262 27 264 25 270 52430 49916 40 260 43 262 39 266 49916 47692 50 251 50 255 47 266 47692 45685 51 248 58 256 57 263 45685 43851 61 251 71 257 68 255 43851 42163 83 252 79 257 77 253 42163 40594 90 248 82 255 83 255 40594 39125 90 246 84 253 94 259 39125 37744 90 245 87 252 106 259 37744 36406 90 246 88 254 104 255 36406 35045 89 247 91 256 98 252 35045 33633 85 242 89 254 92 251 33633 32177 78 242 85 248 83 252 32177 30663 75 252 77 237 80 251 30663 29078 74 261 71 241 75 250 29078 27419 74 260 71 247 73 253 27419 25682 72 252 72 252 69 256 25682 23871 75 248 74 258 64 260 23871 21991 74 253 71 263 60 267 21991 20035 66 259 63 271 54 271 20035 17992 58 259 53 279 46 273 17992 15906 49 261 45 281 42 277 15906 13896 40 263 42 279 40 284 13896 12070 35 266 38 277 37 291 12070 10448 32 271 34 279 35 295 10448 9011 29 277 31 283 33 297 9011 7739 26 278 29 283 33 302 7739 6615 26 281 28 282 32 307 6615 5622 26 286 26 285 29 307 5622 4747 26 290 25 288 26 301 4747 3974 25 292 24 288 23 296 3974 3282 22 292 23 288 20 292 3282 2669 18*293 20*288 16 287 2669 2156 15*294 16*288 13 280 2156 1763 14 294 14 288 11 274 1763 1492 12 294 13 287 8 267 1492 1327 10 294 10 287 5 258 1327 1233 7 294 7 288 2*230 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography