DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 70.8 - - 67.5 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 546 - - 306 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 886 - - 1456 - - 1122 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4006 - - 4446 - - 4086 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4423 - - 4993 - - 4659 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 618 - - 812 - - 780 - - 753 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 309 - - 382 - - 289 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 227 - - 237 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 40 - - 38 - - 25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1450 - - -2642 - - -2152 - - -941 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5874 - - 7636 - - 6812 - - 4499 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6737 - - -7099 - - -7689 - - -8060 ODpotential blCL - - - 11160 - - 12092 - - 12348 - - 11617 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 58 - - 62 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 70.8 - - 67.5 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.8 - - 46.3 - - 46.6 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 68.5 - - 66.2 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 45.9 - - 46.4 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 546 - - 306 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 886 - - 1456 - - 1122 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98395 15 098 21 134 15 119 15 074 98395 90945 9 113 15 108 9 111 12 097 90945 85235 12 120 11 063 11 093 14 094 85235 80502 12 105 12 063 13 103 14 096 80502 76419 10 105 8 069 15 092 15 082 76419 72795 11 129 4 147 6 058 13 078 72795 69496 6 131 8 156 2 092 2 092 69496 66462 7 233 5 193 2 276 2 224 66462 63654 10 218 13 234 12 271 8 304 63654 60937 10 237 15 246 18 275 15 286 60937 58112 17 277 17 269 21 278 21 282 58112 55188 22 285 19 277 25 277 27 281 55188 52399 24 279 25 277 28 274 33 280 52399 49892 27 278 29 283 29 275 35 279 49892 47652 29 283 32 284 28 283 36 278 47652 45631 29 288 30 282 30 287 35 283 45631 43792 29 290 28 286 32 286 32 288 43792 42104 24 293 27 287 30 285 28 291 42104 40542 22 300 24 287 28 292 23 298 40542 39090 20 300 22 294 27 298 20 309 39090 37731 18 293 24 301 27 299 20 315 37731 36424 17 285 25 300 27 298 22 315 36424 35101 18 283 24 298 28 294 23 315 35101 33732 17 288 21 299 28 293 23 313 33732 32321 16 303 20 304 26 295 22 313 32321 30854 17 314 20 310 23 296 22 310 30854 29319 16 315 18 315 20 299 20 304 29319 27717 18 322 17 317 18 306 18 299 27717 26050 17 328 16 313 19 315 17 302 26050 24319 15 324 16 313 20 321 17 314 24319 22526 15 317 16 313 20 321 19 320 22526 20666 14 308 14 312 17 320 19 319 20666 18733 12 311 11 313 14 319 16 316 18733 16767 9 318 7 323 12 321 14 317 16767 14873 3 316 4 316 10 323 13 321 14873 13148 4 201 3 231 6 314 11 324 13148 11609 7 193 6 207 3 273 8 315 11609 10238 8 189 8 201 4 219 6 290 10238 9013 9 187 8 199 6 212 6 273 9013 7921 8 192 7 205 6 218 7 272 7921 6949 6 207 5 218 6 234 8 277 6949 6089 4 226 3 245 5 254 8 282 6089 5326 4 232 4*245 5*261 7 288 5326 4643 3*233 4*242 6*255 5 282 4643 4039 4*228 6 229 6 242 4*256 4039 3535 5 224 7 227 7 236 4*224 3535 3147 6 223 8 225 8 232 5 213 3147 2879 6 221 8 224 8 230 5 212 2879 2716 7 221 8 223 8 229 5 211 2716 2622 6 221 7 222 7 228 4 212 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography