DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.7 - - 67.9 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 86 - - 20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3057 - - 3012 - - 3031 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 122 - - 77 - - 30 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 274 - - 275 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -253 - - -117 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3070 - - 2934 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -873 - - -888 - - -837 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3690 - - 3705 - - 3654 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 630 - - 570 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.7 - - 67.9 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.5 - - 64.2 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.5 - - 67.1 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.7 - - 63.7 - - 64.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 86 - - 20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 89 - - 101 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98557 19 091 8 068 6 023 98557 91061 18 086 11 100 7 043 91061 85293 14 096 13 085 8 050 85293 80503 8 104 12 077 11 041 80503 76382 6 079 10 078 12 053 76382 72764 7 056 8 084 10 069 72764 69518 6 085 6 123 8 054 69518 66548 7 093 2 145 7 032 66548 63801 5 077 2 188 3 011 63801 61150 1 016 3 278 6 311 61150 58389 5 301 5 256 8 246 58389 55528 19 267 16 279 14 251 55528 52811 31 246 27 260 25 262 52811 50402 38 239 38 244 46 256 50402 48292 48 242 56 247 55 237 48292 46392 52 245 63 246 54 237 46392 44630 55 245 56 234 55 241 44630 42980 55 243 51 235 53 243 42980 41428 55 241 49 238 52 246 41428 39962 53 240 46 237 51 243 39962 38576 50 238 44 236 49 233 38576 37237 48 237 44 239 47 232 37237 35877 46 236 45 240 47 235 35877 34468 42 235 45 238 46 235 34468 33015 39 238 44 234 44 235 33015 31505 40 238 41 232 43 238 31505 29925 39 230 39 233 44 241 29925 28279 34 234 37 235 43 241 28279 26567 32 238 37 235 39 237 26567 24792 31 235 36 231 36 231 24792 22956 30 228 33 224 30 226 22956 21060 27 229 24 228 25 228 21060 19095 28 243 26 229 26 232 19095 17100 24 244 24 234 26 235 17100 15181 21 238 21 240 21 244 15181 13436 19 245 20 253 16 251 13436 11884 18 244 17 261 13 255 11884 10503 21 236 17 253 14 250 10503 9273 21 234 19 244 17 246 9273 8176 20 236 18 241 18 248 8176 7200 17 238 15 241 16 245 7200 6336 16 242 13 243 12 237 6336 5569 15 247 11 246 9 233 5569 4879 14 254 9 252 7 235 4879 4265 13 259 8 256 6 239 4265 3751 11 266 6 268 5 246 3751 3354 10 270 6 272 5 251 3354 3080 9 272 5 274 4 251 3080 2913 8 273 5*274 3 253 2913 2817 6*274 4*275 2*252 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography