DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/24 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.2 - - 63.5 - - 69.7 - - 71.7 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 305 - - 388 - - 189 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 313 - - 3690 - - 5140 - - 5560 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 2532 - - 3749 - - 3729 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 418 - - 3795 - - 5246 - - 5666 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 803 - - 977 - - 961 - - 1289 - - 5521 Hgt.Variab. W* 97 - - 422 - - 510 - - 414 - - 9 W* B/S 9 - - 25 - - 27 - - 46 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 170 - - 184 - - 201 - - 256 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -5 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1239 - - -365 - - -356 - - -552 - - -3485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1657 - - 4160 - - 5602 - - 6218 - - 3607 sfcLCL ODpotential -8337 - - -5386 - - -4260 - - -3782 - - -4548 ODpotential blCL 8755 - - 9181 - - 9506 - - 9448 - - 4670 blCL maxRH 80 - - 85 - - 80 - - 78 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.2 - - 63.5 - - 69.7 - - 71.7 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.5 - - 45.8 - - 45.5 - - 44.9 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.7 - - 61.7 - - 67.4 - - 70.4 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.3 - - 45.0 - - 44.6 - - 44.1 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 305 - - 388 - - 189 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 313 - - 3690 - - 5140 - - 5560 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 41 - - 19 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98002 24 261 25 268 29 280 29 291 16 285 98002 90569 9 304 9 269 12 284 15 279 10 305 90569 84875 15 020 1 358 2 312 6 320 9 336 84875 80184 9 025 6 079 3 021 8 007 9 017 80184 76153 3 039 8 041 5 084 2 094 4 077 76153 72581 4 112 2 161 3 152 3 221 3 128 72581 69334 8 199 4 186 6 204 10 224 6 226 69334 66335 12 203 14 231 16 231 19 234 14 237 66335 63541 18 232 19 235 23 226 22 238 19 240 63541 60820 22 233 23 241 25 230 24 244 22 240 60820 57963 27 236 28 248 29 238 28 247 24 244 57963 54974 33 239 35 244 31 242 31 241 28 245 54974 52104 36 243 37 238 32 249 27 240 26 249 52104 49522 36 244 34 235 32 246 27 246 24 259 49522 47221 35 244 30 241 27 245 24 254 22 268 47221 45147 34 243 27 247 23 251 20 262 20 271 45147 43257 28 234 24 242 19 255 16 270 17 280 43257 41527 22 231 18 239 15 262 12 289 12 304 41527 39940 18 231 11 247 7 277 11 317 17 344 39940 38476 11 222 4 272 2 338 11 344 21 353 38476 37112 5 216 3 335 7 033 14 021 23 359 37112 35798 2 274 3 343 13 034 19 034 23 002 35798 34462 4 298 4 032 15 030 23 028 22 003 34462 33073 7 262 5 014 12 029 22 021 20 007 33073 31633 9 245 1 263 8 015 17 014 19 009 31633 30125 8 258 4 201 2 009 10 001 19 010 30125 28534 8 262 4 189 0 084 5 344 16 014 28534 26861 8 247 6 173 3 168 3 326 9 360 26861 25106 9 238 6 188 4 191 3 325 6 333 25106 23271 11 229 6 229 3 289 3 348 5 341 23271 21358 10 218 6 251 4 309 3 001 5 345 21358 19359 8 205 5 237 2 298 2 313 7 335 19359 17272 9 207 6 210 3 241 4 291 8 323 17272 15140 8 219 5 191 4 205 5 268 7 309 15140 13083 6 239 4 183 5 190 5 248 7 294 13083 11211 5 242 6 197 5 207 4 243 7 289 11211 9547 4 226 8 193 7 214 3 249 5 286 9547 8072 5 175 11 182 10 203 3 311 10 016 8072 6768 7 151 11 177 7 199 4*321 13 013 6768 5616 8 163 7 186 4*208 3*297 6 004 5616 4599 9 179 4*205 4*205 2 288 1 191 4599 3702 9 183 3*198 4 205 2 272 4 200 3702 2910 8 176 3 192 4 203 2 255 5 216 2910 2203 6 168 3 186 4 200 2 238 7 228 2203 1578 4 143 3 183 3 199 2 223 9 233 1578 1057 1 177 3 178 3 196 2 216 11 231 1057 658 2*212 3 174 3 195 2 217 11 227 658 384 2*174 3 174 3 195 2 214 10 217 384 217 2 170 3 173 3 194 2 213 8*206 217 122 2 165 3 171 3 194 2 212 5*199 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography