DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Williams 49ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1341z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.4 - - 48.3 - - 59.4 - - 63.6 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 121 - - 234 - - 3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 563 - - 1704 - - 2090 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 49 - - 49 - - 908 - - 49 - - 49 Hcrit BL Top 66 - - 612 - - 1753 - - 2140 - - 66 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 72 - - 626 - - 512 - - 1409 - - 282 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 164 - - 296 - - 80 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 006 - - 053 - - 146 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1446 - - -3663 - - -4702 - - -4413 - - -3959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1512 - - 4275 - - 6455 - - 6553 - - 4025 sfcLCL ODpotential -13364 - - -12947 - - -11344 - - -9903 - - -9040 ODpotential blCL 13430 - - 13559 - - 13097 - - 12043 - - 9106 blCL maxRH 66 - - 62 - - 86 - - 89 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.4 - - 48.3 - - 59.4 - - 63.6 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 30.1 - - 31.5 - - 35.1 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.8 - - 47.4 - - 57.9 - - 63.6 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 30.1 - - 31.5 - - 35.1 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 121 - - 234 - - 3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 563 - - 1704 - - 2090 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 43 - - 57 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 73678 24 094 22 084 25 087 27 096 25 101 73678 60316 8 028 3 078 4 122 4 080 9 094 60316 55368 7 327 8 277 7 315 10 287 6 311 55368 50918 23 306 16 294 16 314 16 279 19 279 50918 47722 34 306 29 302 28 298 24 282 17 266 47722 44479 40 304 36 303 38 294 29 293 18 288 44479 42389 42 308 39 302 38 286 28 284 19 282 42389 40977 40 309 41 299 36 284 30 275 21 276 40977 40303 39 306 41 297 33 285 31 275 24 272 40303 40091 39 304 40 297 33 284 30 277 26 269 40091 39899 37 304 39 295 33 282 29 281 26 269 39899 39759 35 303 36 295 33 282 30 282 27 269 39759 39721 33 303 32 295 30 284 30 278 27 269 39721 39670 31 302 30 295 26 286 28 278 27 269 39670 39457 31 298 31 292 22 287 27 280 26 269 39457 39338 28 297 28 290 20 284 27 283 27 269 39338 39327 25 278 26 282 18 275 31 283 27 269 39327 39317 19 276 26 271 19 267 34 284 28 268 39317 30654 21 278 24 265 22 254 43 289 36 252 30654 28240 21 275 24 261 23 251 34 269 32 251 28240 24185 19 268 22 258 21 251 21 245 24 241 24185 23116 17 263 17 252 19 237 10 207 23 223 23116 20741 12 257 15 239 17 217 22 193 22 223 20741 19152 14 241 15 216 16 197 24 186 26 223 19152 17774 13 230 15 194 18 187 23 185 30 218 17774 16630 10 214 16 183 19 168 22 176 33 193 16630 15512 10 207 17 187 20 164 23 176 35 181 15512 14399 10 203 17 184 23 175 27 177 36 172 14399 13847 8 173 18 162 24 174 30 175 36 163 13847 13180 9 172 21 171 25 177 31 182 38 162 13180 10466 14 180 25 178 25 181 32 185 35 177 10466 8085 19 179 25 183 25 183 32 185 36 191 8085 7035 20 181 23 186 24 180 32 181 36 190 7035 6375 19 184 21 181 22 173 30 178 36 187 6375 5871 18 181 21 176 22 172 29 177 35 181 5871 5375 18 176 21 174 22 171 27 175 35 178 5375 4885 18 172 21 174 23 168 27 175 35 178 4885 4403 19 168 21 172 24 169 26 175 34 177 4403 3926 19 168 21 169 24 171 25 176 34 176 3926 3456 19 164 20 165 25 174 23 176 34 174 3456 2992 17 157 17 160 25 175 21 173 34 173 2992 2535 10 132 13 150 24 175 15*161 32 171 2535 2084 7 078 7 113 19*175 11*149 26 166 2084 1641 9 040 7 064 5*140 11 149 20 157 1641 1203 10 031 8 042 5 049 10 147 17 152 1203 772 10 020 10*012 6 046 9 145 14 145 772 487 10 008 7*004 6 046 9 144 13 143 487 275 10 359 6 005 5 044 8 143 9 141 275 135 6*346 5 008 5 045 7 140 5*147 135 66 3*319 5 008 5 045 5 139 3*153 66 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography