DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 63.3 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 205 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4156 - - 4655 - - - - - 1156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2641 - - 3082 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4261 - - 4760 - - - - - 1261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4732 - - 3213 - - - - - 3484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 368 - - 399 - - - - - 40 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 236 - - - - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -492 - - -810 - - - - - -1882 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4753 - - 5570 - - - - - 3143 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1002 - - -1538 - - - - - -2994 ODpotential blCL - - - 5263 - - 6298 - - - - - 4255 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 30 - - - - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 63.3 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.9 - - 39.2 - - - - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 62.1 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 38.6 - - - - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 205 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4156 - - 4655 - - - - - 1156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - - - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97940 13 265 16 260 5 295 97940 90523 4 265 8 255 5 334 90523 84837 6 189 9 259 5 253 84837 80132 7 124 5 248 3 122 80132 76074 5 019 3 109 4 036 76074 72477 6 029 3 047 6 019 72477 69217 3 042 3 049 10 021 69217 66214 3 238 7 314 8 330 66214 63420 8 221 9 257 6 315 63420 60688 6 199 8 286 13 287 60688 57833 24 279 16 280 22 267 57833 54884 26 263 25 265 23 262 54884 52070 21 248 23 239 21 255 52070 49522 16 263 27 275 22 242 49522 47213 34 276 37 268 23 259 47213 45106 52 263 35 268 37 276 45106 43179 55 256 50 278 46 271 43179 41405 66 263 66 264 47 265 41405 39757 84 261 70 255 45 265 39757 38218 98 254 71 257 45 266 38218 36772 102 247 81 256 48 265 36772 35379 99 247 90 252 51 262 35379 33970 100 251 92 252 52 261 33970 32520 107 255 98 253 53 262 32520 31031 114 255 107 254 51 264 31031 29492 116 253 114 252 46 267 29492 27892 116 253 113 252 38 270 27892 26232 114 252 102 253 31 276 26232 24504 110 251 85 255 27 282 24504 22705 106 248 69 257 27 287 22705 20835 97 250 57 260 27 291 20835 18886 73 260 46 265 27 296 18886 16855 50 267 38 270 25 299 16855 14784 42 268 33 277 20 301 14784 12788 33 270 26 285 11 311 12788 10972 23 268 18 288 4 353 10972 9356 18 259 13 284 1 060 9356 7920 15 248 7 257 4 195 7920 6646 14 246 9 221 6 200 6646 5516 14 242 11*227 5 215 5516 4515 14*240 14*233 5 250 4515 3634 15*239 15 235 8 270 3634 2856 15 238 16 236 12 272 2856 2161 15 237 16 236 15 268 2161 1549 15 237 16 236 16*265 1549 1039 14 237 16 236 16*264 1039 647 14 237 15 236 15 263 647 378 13 236 15 236 13 262 378 215 12 236 14 236 11 260 215 121 10 236 12 236 8 259 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography