DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0705z - - 1005z - - 1347z - - 1607z - - 1905z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.0 - - 75.4 - - 80.6 - - 79.3 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 54 - - 280 - - 362 - - 234 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 682 - - 3718 - - 5470 - - 5316 - - 213 BL Depth Hcrit 1404 - - 3868 - - 5336 - - 5017 - - 1404 Hcrit BL Top 2119 - - 5155 - - 6907 - - 6753 - - 1650 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 922 - - 2016 - - 2426 - - 2341 - - 3491 Hgt.Variab. W* 137 - - 417 - - 519 - - 445 - - 53 W* B/S 6 - - 10 - - 31 - - 30 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 011 - - 057 - - 229 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - 12 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -736 - - 527 - - 925 - - 1670 - - -838 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2855 - - 4628 - - 5983 - - 5084 - - 2488 sfcLCL ODpotential -3405 - - -780 - - -200 - - 778 - - -2007 ODpotential blCL 5524 - - 5935 - - 7107 - - 5975 - - 3657 blCL maxRH 87 - - 81 - - 80 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 980 - - 1520 - - 2000 - - 1680 CAPE Temp@2m 66.0 - - 75.4 - - 80.6 - - 79.3 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.0 - - 59.5 - - 58.8 - - 61.5 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.4 - - 73.6 - - 78.4 - - 77.6 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.3 - - 59.8 - - 59.1 - - 61.8 - - 64.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 54 - - 280 - - 362 - - 234 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 682 - - 3718 - - 5470 - - 5316 - - 213 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 26 - - 21 - - 85 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98466 17 226 13 257 9 196 21 200 21 247 98466 91277 11 236 5 175 6 276 9 225 9 279 91277 85660 3 252 5 107 3 259 2 239 7 303 85660 80987 3 081 3 035 3 172 5 032 2 296 80987 76965 5 072 3 001 5 143 5 006 3 002 76965 73414 5 072 4 012 4 158 3 304 4 351 73414 70179 2 342 4 354 3 170 3 239 2 326 70179 67195 5 263 7 288 4 259 1 221 3 144 67195 64456 7 225 11 241 9 256 1 341 5 109 64456 61897 9 203 12 215 12 234 6 224 0 262 61897 59148 9 200 13 209 16 225 12 216 10 218 59148 56161 14 218 15 217 20 223 14 224 16 205 56161 53342 18 222 20 224 24 220 19 231 18 212 53342 50832 17 229 25 225 28 216 26 227 23 220 50832 48564 18 236 28 220 30 216 29 224 25 221 48564 46497 22 229 27 214 31 217 29 226 27 221 46497 44612 24 215 24 209 31 215 29 228 27 224 44612 42891 21 205 19 209 29 208 29 222 27 225 42891 41319 16 200 13 212 28 199 28 210 23 217 41319 39876 9 196 7 234 24 190 24 200 20 200 39876 38531 4 224 6 260 20 186 17 195 15 180 38531 37255 5 273 5 260 15 186 9 197 6 155 37255 35927 8 274 5 263 12 187 8 211 1 173 35927 34528 12 258 6 262 10 194 10 222 4 243 34528 33095 17 234 8 261 8 214 12 228 9 229 33095 31581 19 211 10 254 10 229 14 230 14 221 31581 29984 18 199 12 244 13 235 16 233 17 221 29984 28304 15 202 14 236 14 235 16 235 18 222 28304 26540 13 215 16 233 13 235 14 235 16 225 26540 24692 8 213 14 234 11 223 14 225 13 228 24692 22777 5 201 11 238 9 205 18 217 12 231 22777 20780 6 222 11 244 8 199 19 220 12 232 20780 18687 9 256 12 256 6 213 15 228 10 246 18687 16512 11 281 12 270 6 247 7 250 9 274 16512 14412 13 296 13 285 9 282 5 294 7 290 14412 12541 14 297 14 293 12 299 8 299 7 302 12541 10883 13 292 15 295 12 303 10 303 7 303 10883 9412 7 297 12 287 12 300 12 308 8 298 9412 8106 7 331 11 279 13 308 13 310 9 293 8106 6946 10 340 11 292 13*316 12*307 10 288 6946 5920 12 342 9*323 4*347 7*291 8 284 5920 5014 15 341 11*344 3 026 4 258 6 288 5014 4223 17 336 10 003 3 058 3 226 5 309 4223 3507 18 331 7 018 3 070 3 205 5 341 3507 2865 17 328 7 020 4 074 3 197 7 360 2865 2336 12*332 7 021 4 077 3 189 10 003 2336 1930 6*352 6 023 4 080 3 184 12 003 1930 1656 4 359 6 022 4 081 3 180 11*002 1656 1499 3 003 6 022 4 082 2 180 9*002 1499 1420 3 001 5 024 3 083 2 176 6 003 1420 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography