DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0735z - - 0738z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.7 - - 69.6 - - 77.9 - - 78.7 - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 256 - - 327 - - 140 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4357 - - 6210 - - 5678 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1276 - - 4312 - - 5869 - - 4997 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top 1294 - - 5794 - - 7647 - - 7115 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3448 - - 904 - - 1459 - - 2220 - - 3807 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 425 - - 521 - - 385 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 100 - - 301 - - 301 - - 329 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 8 - - 16 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2180 - - -980 - - -1343 - - -2284 - - -5704 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3474 - - 6774 - - 8990 - - 9399 - - 6999 sfcLCL ODpotential -7225 - - -5842 - - -5144 - - -7161 - - -10131 ODpotential blCL 8519 - - 11636 - - 12791 - - 14276 - - 11425 blCL maxRH 85 - - 68 - - 56 - - 59 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.7 - - 69.6 - - 77.9 - - 78.7 - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.0 - - 44.4 - - 42.7 - - 41.9 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.2 - - 68.1 - - 76.0 - - 77.7 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.7 - - 43.6 - - 41.5 - - 40.8 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 256 - - 327 - - 140 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4357 - - 6210 - - 5678 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97598 18 281 11 254 26 270 20 277 21 269 97598 90291 11 297 9 288 13 259 16 266 13 264 90291 84656 5 254 12 293 4 214 12 249 9 305 84656 79968 1 064 7 278 3 352 3 225 8 330 79968 75923 6 004 5 334 6 324 2 114 6 274 75923 72344 7 351 7 022 7 321 6 349 4 278 72344 69114 5 356 7 007 1 124 3 242 2 316 69114 66142 10 314 8 009 8 274 9 302 8 301 66142 63367 14 270 11 225 10 205 15 246 14 241 63367 60674 10 270 16 235 8 293 9 255 18 292 60674 57873 33 272 30 257 27 287 31 282 27 302 57873 54983 39 271 34 273 35 279 41 279 44 287 54983 52232 39 281 49 277 40 272 45 270 44 278 52232 49740 46 284 42 280 32 275 40 278 35 281 49740 47483 50 286 31 285 37 297 48 293 55 293 47483 45446 48 284 32 297 55 297 59 294 62 286 45446 43614 42 285 47 296 64 294 62 296 56 285 43614 41945 41 290 53 288 67 295 60 295 49 292 41945 40402 46 294 57 292 70 296 54 291 56 298 40402 38967 53 295 63 297 62 302 53 301 59 300 38967 37621 54 296 63 298 63 314 58 305 57 302 37621 36316 51 299 55 297 67 316 63 300 54 300 36316 34986 50 302 49 296 67 315 64 292 49 297 34986 33602 51 300 47 295 66 320 62 291 46 298 33602 32168 51 297 48 294 54 317 56 296 42 297 32168 30667 47 295 47 292 48 310 50 305 47 290 30667 29091 42 294 46 290 44 302 43 317 53 277 29091 27443 40 294 43 289 40 298 32 321 39 275 27443 25721 39 295 41 289 35 303 29 307 20 284 25721 23924 40 295 37 290 31 312 31 300 20 282 23924 22052 40 296 32 290 28 319 26 296 20 284 22052 20102 35 295 28 284 24 321 18 303 14 286 20102 18068 30 288 26 275 21 318 15 327 8 271 18068 15992 29 280 26 272 20 308 12 304 13 263 15992 13994 31 282 28 285 23 304 19 290 18 289 13994 12184 30 288 34 299 27 307 23 311 25 323 12184 10578 28 293 37 305 29 307 27 319 26 335 10578 9149 28 297 37 305 29 305 25 318 24 342 9149 7877 33 298 37 302 21*299 17*311 18 338 7877 6747 37 299 30*298 15*296 13*313 13 321 6747 5745 36 301 17*295 14 297 13 316 11 315 5745 4860 30 307 14 297 14 299 13 323 10 328 4860 4076 24 313 12 299 13 300 12 330 11 345 4076 3374 19 317 11 302 13 302 12 334 12 357 3374 2752 14 320 10 305 12 304 12 337 13 006 2752 2231 11 325 10 308 12 306 12 340 13 011 2231 1831 8 331 9 309 11 306 11 341 13 015 1831 1556 6 339 9 310 11 307 11 342 11 018 1556 1389 3*341 8 311 10 307 10 343 9*021 1389 1293 1*100 7 312 9 308 9 343 4*028 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography