DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.6 - - 67.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 47 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1022 - - 764 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2459 - - 2201 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1236 - - 1777 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 220 - - 139 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 10 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 139 - - 122 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -9 - - -7 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 213 - - 422 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2246 - - 1779 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -47 - - -83 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2506 - - 2284 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 70 - - 300 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.6 - - 67.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.2 - - 63.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 65.6 - - 66.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.8 - - 63.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 47 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1022 - - 764 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97968 8 212 12 253 97968 90532 5 230 7 308 90532 84862 2 288 4 338 84862 80160 2 160 3 010 80160 76094 2 171 7 322 76094 72499 3 295 9 310 72499 69241 8 298 9 291 69241 66256 11 300 9 287 66256 63510 15 286 13 289 63510 60871 15 283 16 266 60871 58132 20 286 18 274 58132 55287 26 273 24 277 55287 52566 32 256 32 251 52566 50113 37 248 35 247 50113 47905 41 241 35 252 47905 45898 39 240 38 246 45898 44070 51 238 59 232 44070 42404 70 231 75 222 42404 40876 83 220 69 215 40876 39449 73 215 54 215 39449 38096 57 215 47 216 38096 36779 48 217 45 215 36779 35433 39 220 41 213 35433 34030 34 221 36 210 34030 32574 33 220 35 203 32574 31050 34 218 37 194 31050 29446 32 216 38 189 29446 27762 30 214 33 186 27762 26000 29 214 28 180 26000 24163 29 210 28 171 24163 22255 27 206 31 164 22255 20271 22 201 30 159 20271 18206 19 189 28 157 18206 16104 17 170 28 157 16104 14080 16 163 27 156 14080 12245 18 154 26 155 12245 10623 19 149 25 158 10623 9185 19 152 25 161 9185 7904 19 160 24 160 7904 6764 20 166 23 155 6764 5753 19 167 21 149 5753 4861 19 164 20 143 4861 4075 20 160 18 140 4075 3370 19 157 17 137 3370 2748 18*153 16 134 2748 2229 14*144 13*127 2229 1830 12 139 12*123 1830 1555 11 137 11 122 1555 1389 10 137 9 122 1389 1293 8 136 7 122 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography