DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1013z - - 1348z - - 1613z - - 1911z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.2 - - 50.6 - - 54.9 - - 51.2 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 76 - - 341 - - 248 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 237 - - 2607 - - 3007 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 626 - - 2302 - - 2488 - - 626 - - 626 Hcrit BL Top 897 - - 3267 - - 3667 - - 643 - - 643 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 657 - - 444 - - 460 - - 2982 - - 195 Hgt.Variab. W* 106 - - 388 - - 366 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 340 - - 021 - - 042 - - 013 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2376 - - -1773 - - -1794 - - -3681 - - -1995 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3273 - - 5040 - - 5462 - - 4324 - - 2638 sfcLCL ODpotential -14214 - - -11003 - - -9746 - - -11819 - - -11389 ODpotential blCL 15111 - - 14270 - - 13413 - - 12462 - - 12032 blCL maxRH 81 - - 83 - - 76 - - 75 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.2 - - 50.6 - - 54.9 - - 51.2 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 31.1 - - 33.4 - - 34.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.6 - - 48.7 - - 53.4 - - 51.4 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 31.1 - - 33.4 - - 34.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 76 - - 341 - - 248 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 237 - - 2607 - - 3007 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 33 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 75466 5 208 6 123 5 116 3 210 5 191 75466 63221 15 248 22 256 26 260 18 247 20 249 63221 56215 17 266 21 248 30 244 29 214 34 225 56215 51944 39 240 50 240 43 242 40 226 47 226 51944 47336 41 225 50 237 50 237 45 233 40 220 47336 43964 40 243 53 230 58 232 52 240 39 225 43964 42144 52 245 57 229 63 234 55 241 41 233 42144 41004 62 240 57 228 67 235 59 238 49 240 41004 40518 67 237 55 235 69 235 61 239 54 244 40518 40263 68 236 57 241 70 235 62 240 56 245 40263 39998 68 243 59 244 71 235 63 241 58 244 39998 39640 66 241 63 245 70 234 65 241 59 241 39640 39156 64 238 63 243 67 231 65 239 57 236 39156 38703 65 235 57 238 66 228 66 236 58 230 38703 38314 65 234 60 234 69 223 72 230 65 226 38314 37847 66 236 65 233 75 219 75 224 69 224 37847 36985 67 238 69 233 63 224 76 219 68 223 36985 35735 67 243 68 234 64 235 62 228 50 236 35735 34760 67 245 69 238 71 238 66 235 39 243 34760 31837 70 248 77 240 74 239 72 235 35 256 31837 29009 73 247 76 240 68 240 68 236 36 255 29009 26644 71 246 69 252 67 242 58 236 38 250 26644 24695 57 249 51 255 57 243 50 240 38 246 24695 22630 39 247 38 253 40 244 46 242 37 243 22630 20899 27 249 30 244 35 244 38 250 36 241 20899 17521 24 264 27 233 36 246 38 245 33 242 17521 16663 21 257 27 240 36 249 34 250 27 245 16663 13955 18 250 28 242 37 247 29 261 25 258 13955 10455 21 257 30 248 33 250 23 259 22 249 10455 10288 22 266 25 249 30 250 17 246 20 254 10288 8381 24 269 19 266 21 262 15 238 16 236 8381 7846 19 271 21 276 14 262 13 214 17 209 7846 7317 12 274 16 279 13 280 9 207 16 206 7317 6810 7 287 12 286 10 295 9 198 14 207 6810 6310 7 308 10 294 6 305 8 199 14 209 6310 5818 6 352 7 303 3 310 8 205 12 212 5818 5332 11 010 5 346 1 327 10 209 12 218 5332 4854 12 018 9 005 3 067 10 214 10 223 4854 4384 13 030 10 016 5 057 8 215 6 233 4384 3924 12 043 11 023 5*045 2 225 2 135 3924 3476 9 059 9*028 6*037 2 354 6 081 3476 3036 7 056 9*026 6 040 2 005 7 082 3036 2602 7 038 8 022 6 040 2 012 7 079 2602 2173 9 012 8 021 6 041 2 017 7 072 2173 1748 11 357 8 020 6 042 2 019 7 064 1748 1329 14 352 8 020 5 044 2 024 7 054 1329 1053 13*351 8 019 5 045 2 024 7 046 1053 846 7*341 7 019 5 045 2 024 7 039 846 710 6 339 7 019 5 045 2*024 6*036 710 642 5 338 6 018 4 045 2*013 3*048 642 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography