DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.3 - - 90.9 - - 89.0 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 247 - - 20 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4500 - - 4782 - - 4062 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3735 - - 3858 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5160 - - 5442 - - 4722 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1137 - - 1951 - - 3049 - - 2518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 461 - - 438 - - 198 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 178 - - 172 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - -3 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1835 - - -885 - - -475 - - -2304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6995 - - 6327 - - 5197 - - 3048 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4705 - - -4479 - - -2157 - - -4465 ODpotential blCL - - - 9865 - - 9921 - - 6879 - - 5209 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 59 - - 69 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 1060 - - 2000 - - 2810 - - 3720 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.3 - - 90.9 - - 89.0 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.1 - - 65.5 - - 68.5 - - 72.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.3 - - 89.3 - - 88.7 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 64.6 - - 68.0 - - 72.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 247 - - 20 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4500 - - 4782 - - 4062 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98327 10 120 11 162 5 225 6 076 98327 90879 10 130 12 125 5 087 8 100 90879 85130 11 155 9 109 11 100 11 073 85130 80352 12 151 8 166 8 069 14 079 80352 76227 10 130 8 141 3 104 9 079 76227 72585 9 107 11 123 9 148 3 110 72585 69320 8 108 10 071 7 105 8 153 69320 66349 2 180 9 358 4 049 5 090 66349 63599 3 222 8 263 7 294 4 311 63599 60955 11 277 10 259 16 293 16 295 60955 58232 19 264 18 276 23 287 21 296 58232 55422 28 278 25 282 27 276 30 279 55422 52754 37 288 34 283 34 277 34 279 52754 50357 43 278 43 277 43 280 39 278 50357 48199 46 274 49 276 48 278 45 276 48199 46227 49 271 54 274 53 277 50 275 46227 44414 51 269 57 270 57 273 53 274 44414 42743 50 270 54 266 56 269 53 272 42743 41191 48 273 50 268 50 268 50 272 41191 39737 48 278 48 277 45 270 43 279 39737 38364 49 279 47 284 42 280 38 286 38364 37032 49 280 46 288 42 289 37 288 37032 35671 46 281 44 290 43 291 36 289 35671 34252 42 282 42 287 43 288 34 287 34252 32780 38 286 41 286 40 287 33 288 32780 31241 36 289 37 291 37 289 32 291 31241 29623 32 290 34 294 32 290 29 294 29623 27925 28 296 31 294 28 293 26 299 27925 26148 25 296 25 305 27 304 23 307 26148 24292 21 291 26 313 23 309 22 317 24292 22360 13 311 21 296 22 324 22 323 22360 20346 9 341 11 302 20 322 22 325 20346 18251 10 020 8 325 15 317 24 316 18251 16118 10 023 6 341 11 312 19 308 16118 14052 5 049 1 061 11 316 13 302 14052 12162 6 169 7 174 8 283 9 290 12162 10475 6 251 7 226 9 248 13 279 10475 8973 4 227 6 214 6 223 12 260 8973 7639 5 190 9 185 12 177 14 208 7639 6456 5 213 11*174 17 171 20 187 6456 5406 6*172 12*174 17*169 21 174 5406 4477 9*162 13 174 17*168 22 168 4477 3655 9 163 13 176 16 169 23 169 3655 2919 10 164 13 177 16 171 25 172 2919 2267 10 166 13 179 15 173 27 173 2267 1723 10 167 13 180 14 174 26 172 1723 1305 10 168 13 181 13 175 23 169 1305 1018 10 168 12 182 13 176 17 162 1018 844 10 168 12 182 12 177 14*160 844 744 9 169 11 182 10 177 8*156 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography