DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.0 - - 76.1 - - 80.6 - - 77.5 - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 95 - - 48 - - -18 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1457 - - 1956 - - 3766 - - 191 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1378 - - 2328 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2117 - - 2616 - - 4426 - - 851 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1290 - - 1971 - - 678 - - 3750 - - 1485 Hgt.Variab. W* 207 - - 250 - - 271 - - 48 - - 18 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 13 - - 16 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 208 - - 184 - - 183 - - 158 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -6 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 456 - - 574 - - 1632 - - -723 - - -152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1661 - - 2043 - - 2794 - - 1574 - - 895 sfcLCL ODpotential -4136 - - -466 - - 205 - - -1765 - - -2083 ODpotential blCL 6253 - - 3082 - - 4221 - - 2616 - - 2826 blCL maxRH 91 - - 89 - - 85 - - 93 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 1370 - - 2000 - - 2890 - - 3520 - - 3070 CAPE Temp@2m 73.0 - - 76.1 - - 80.6 - - 77.5 - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.9 - - 69.2 - - 70.4 - - 72.5 - - 71.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.5 - - 75.4 - - 80.4 - - 78.4 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.9 - - 68.0 - - 69.0 - - 71.9 - - 71.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 95 - - 48 - - -18 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1457 - - 1956 - - 3766 - - 191 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 55 - - 41 - - 73 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98204 7 155 8 148 16 181 12 223 7 016 98204 90749 7 139 10 134 13 170 3 217 5 185 90749 85010 10 122 12 145 12 162 5 227 8 164 85010 80249 6 136 8 148 6 137 5 154 5 123 80249 76154 6 095 6 141 6 143 2 170 9 079 76154 72543 2 070 4 101 4 111 1 198 1 083 72543 69310 1 199 6 191 3 216 5 141 9 187 69310 66355 8 210 9 170 6 207 5 243 9 174 66355 63623 6 242 12 234 11 248 11 262 7 222 63623 60992 18 273 18 237 11 234 11 272 6 233 60992 58239 24 256 25 266 19 269 22 270 14 276 58239 55373 28 263 31 258 27 263 30 259 30 277 55373 52636 32 275 32 260 37 261 35 264 41 279 52636 50182 38 282 36 264 44 261 39 271 46 278 50182 47982 44 285 39 267 43 264 43 274 47 274 47982 45982 48 287 42 275 43 272 47 275 48 274 45982 44143 51 289 48 281 47 275 50 274 50 277 44143 42442 57 291 51 282 51 274 52 275 53 280 42442 40861 59 290 49 282 51 272 53 276 57 282 40861 39385 53 289 44 282 48 270 52 275 57 281 39385 37999 46 291 39 280 43 268 49 273 53 278 37999 36664 43 291 36 279 36 268 43 269 46 275 36664 35309 37 291 33 279 32 270 35 265 39 271 35309 33905 32 292 33 280 33 273 30 269 30 264 33905 32452 29 290 34 281 36 272 30 272 25 266 32452 30932 28 286 35 279 37 270 31 271 26 274 30932 29334 26 282 33 278 36 271 31 269 27 280 29334 27657 26 282 31 278 33 271 30 270 28 283 27657 25897 29 285 29 278 29 273 29 273 27 283 25897 24055 29 284 28 278 28 274 28 278 27 282 24055 22132 28 280 29 279 28 270 28 281 25 280 22132 20129 26 272 28 280 28 268 28 277 22 282 20129 18045 25 261 27 278 27 272 26 277 22 291 18045 15924 18 273 24 277 25 281 25 285 21 296 15924 13879 20 326 13 281 20 279 19 298 17 291 13879 12017 12 317 7 255 12 273 12 283 12 275 12017 10357 3 224 7 210 9 254 9 238 8 258 10357 8878 9 175 9 201 11 211 11 235 12 241 8878 7558 14 190 11 212 14 205 16 212 16 213 7558 6382 18 196 17 216 19 195 21 193 17 203 6382 5339 21 189 24 205 20*196 23 192 18 198 5339 4420 26 187 22 205 19*193 22 192 22 189 4420 3609 26 188 22 205 18 190 21 186 23 172 3609 2884 22 195 20*203 16 183 20 177 24 161 2884 2242 18*203 16*191 16 180 19 168 24 159 2242 1706 15*207 14 184 15 178 18 164 24 158 1706 1295 15 208 13 182 15 177 17 162 22 155 1295 1012 14 208 12 181 14 176 15*160 17 151 1012 841 13 208 12 180 13 176 13*159 15 150 841 743 11 208 10 179 11 175 10 158 8*148 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography