DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Truckee 6856ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1341z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 12.6 - - 25.1 - - 33.5 - - 31.7 - - 23.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -74 - - -28 - - -12 - - -28 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6856 - - 6856 - - 6856 - - 6856 - - 6856 Hcrit BL Top 6872 - - 6872 - - 6872 - - 6872 - - 6872 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 45 - - 173 - - 531 - - 268 - - 76 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 15 - - 15 - - 11 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 202 - - 197 - - 187 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1104 - - -939 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6872 - - 7976 - - 7812 - - 6872 - - 6872 sfcLCL ODpotential -10884 - - -9440 - - -6528 - - -5553 - - -7280 ODpotential blCL 17756 - - 16312 - - 13400 - - 12425 - - 14152 blCL maxRH 68 - - 68 - - 76 - - 80 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 12.6 - - 25.1 - - 33.5 - - 31.7 - - 23.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.0 - - 14.6 - - 23.5 - - 26.5 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 13.2 - - 25.2 - - 33.6 - - 31.9 - - 24.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.0 - - 14.6 - - 23.4 - - 26.5 - - 20.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -74 - - -28 - - -12 - - -28 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 20 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 72891 25 097 24 092 29 096 31 102 27 106 72891 60320 11 036 9 067 6 051 8 017 10 034 60320 55681 10 305 9 321 13 341 12 333 7 003 55681 50966 19 316 19 302 24 307 23 289 17 296 50966 47559 29 322 25 319 25 314 23 302 22 291 47559 44279 39 314 38 318 34 311 30 309 21 293 44279 42739 43 312 43 312 36 306 30 308 21 300 42739 41369 45 311 46 312 37 306 28 308 24 302 41369 40762 46 310 48 310 37 306 29 306 27 300 40762 40457 46 309 48 309 37 306 33 300 28 299 40457 40234 45 308 47 309 36 306 36 298 28 301 40234 40056 44 308 44 310 35 306 38 296 28 302 40056 39884 42 310 41 311 34 305 38 293 30 304 39884 39696 40 312 40 312 33 304 38 290 33 304 39696 39453 34 307 39 310 33 302 38 286 38 303 39453 38695 26 310 37 307 32 300 41 283 48 292 38695 38508 27 311 35 303 31 297 41 276 52 287 38508 38443 26 313 36 295 32 291 36 272 54 285 38443 32759 25 323 30 295 33 281 31 273 42 285 32759 27808 27 312 26 297 28 279 25 273 21 293 27808 26187 26 314 22 301 18 286 21 286 7 281 26187 24514 18 323 17 305 13 295 15 274 4 197 24514 23150 18 326 14 291 11 285 13 249 12 193 23150 20848 16 327 13 284 7 283 10 216 17 191 20848 19094 15 320 8 296 1 297 10 201 17 183 19094 18058 15 311 4 337 4 123 10 198 18 180 18058 17494 12 313 3 348 5 122 9 192 18 178 17494 16451 7 316 1 318 4 181 12 176 21 169 16451 12825 3 301 3 168 10 161 15 178 24 184 12825 12475 3 296 5 153 13 158 17 178 25 186 12475 12129 2 268 7 154 15 162 17 178 25 188 12129 11787 2 220 9 164 16 164 18 179 26 190 11787 11448 2 197 12 168 17 167 19 181 27 192 11448 11114 3 195 13 169 17 170 20 184 27 193 11114 10782 3 193 14 170 16 172 21 188 28 195 10782 10455 4 183 14 172 16 175 22 191 29 196 10455 10130 5 164 14 177 15 177 23 193 30 197 10130 9810 6 150 15 182 15 178 24 194 30 197 9810 9492 6 151 16 188 16 181 25 194 31 198 9492 9178 8 174 17 192 17 186 24 194 31 199 9178 8867 11 181 19 194 18 191 24 194 30 201 8867 8559 13 182 20 198 19 196 23 196 28 203 8559 8254 14 179 21 201 20 200 22 197 25 206 8254 7952 15 171 21 203 20 203 21 198 24 206 7952 7653 18 160 21 201 19 205 19 195 23 203 7653 7356 21 151 21 191 15 201 16 179 22 196 7356 7160 21 150 18 182 10 196 12 171 19 190 7160 7015 14 158 11 188 7 197 8 178 13 192 7015 6920 8 171 7 196 5 198 5 185 8 199 6920 6872 4*186 4*202 2*197 3*187 4*208 6872 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography