DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1014z - - 1349z - - 1614z - - 1912z - - 2205z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 7.2 - - 18.2 - - 24.9 - - 17.5 - - 8.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -75 - - -8 - - -5 - - -41 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 253 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7410 - - 7410 - - 7410 - - 7410 - - 7410 Hcrit BL Top 7428 - - 7428 - - 9263 - - 7428 - - 7428 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 117 - - 632 - - 1323 - - 473 - - 91 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 12 - - 39 - - 7 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 024 - - 055 - - 110 - - 053 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 9 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -14 - - 10 - - -8 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -330 - - 666 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7427 - - 7758 - - 8597 - - 7427 - - 7427 sfcLCL ODpotential -10201 - - -7934 - - -7203 - - -8183 - - -10924 ODpotential blCL 17629 - - 15362 - - 16466 - - 15611 - - 18352 blCL maxRH 68 - - 69 - - 58 - - 67 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 7.2 - - 18.2 - - 24.9 - - 17.5 - - 8.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.9 - - 10.8 - - 13.7 - - 12.4 - - 4.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 11.5 - - 22.2 - - 28.8 - - 22.0 - - 13.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.9 - - 10.8 - - 13.7 - - 12.4 - - 4.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -75 - - -8 - - -5 - - -41 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 253 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70716 29 104 34 106 36 102 37 107 37 104 70716 58108 21 088 12 089 7 099 12 059 13 060 58108 53238 7 350 14 002 13 035 10 034 7 009 53238 49352 8 007 8 330 13 347 14 332 16 337 49352 45679 12 352 11 020 11 326 14 329 17 341 45679 43458 12 355 16 352 18 331 15 339 22 336 43458 42479 12 347 17 345 20 332 16 340 25 331 42479 41407 13 024 15 343 19 336 19 338 26 325 41407 40794 18 036 12 357 18 341 19 336 25 324 40794 40196 23 036 11 018 18 349 17 339 23 328 40196 39610 27 033 13 023 22 357 16 352 24 329 39610 39139 28 026 16 024 26 000 18 003 25 326 39139 38703 24 017 20 023 29 002 21 003 25 321 38703 38243 20 012 23 023 27 007 22 354 23 318 38243 37732 20 009 27 026 20 026 21 343 20 315 37732 37109 21 009 32 026 21 034 18 348 19 314 37109 36131 21 008 35 022 26 030 18 352 21 315 36131 35366 23 010 36 018 30 026 21 359 25 317 35366 34841 25 023 32 020 31 017 28 359 27 325 34841 34196 32 037 34 027 30 012 28 354 24 328 34196 33521 37 041 36 029 31 011 30 355 25 334 33521 32715 40 042 38 031 35 012 32 002 26 343 32715 31394 42 043 40 032 38 015 33 006 27 352 31394 29037 43 044 42 034 38 023 34 007 29 360 29037 27700 42 044 42 036 40 035 34 010 27 355 27700 23278 42 044 40 040 36 043 25 028 19 354 23278 19211 38 044 33 045 30 050 18 026 16 344 19211 16315 32 045 25 043 23 056 12 014 14 346 16315 14785 26 049 18 046 15 052 10 356 10 347 14785 13546 19 057 13 059 9 047 6 017 5 350 13546 12657 14 048 10 052 8 035 6 046 3 017 12657 12080 13 053 10 073 7 061 6 063 2 105 12080 11754 12 064 11 091 7 090 6 083 4 149 11754 11437 11 075 12 102 9 112 7 104 6 161 11437 11123 12 080 13 109 11 119 8 120 8 166 11123 10812 12 087 14 112 12 124 10 131 10 167 10812 10505 12 093 14 116 13 127 11 138 12 168 10505 10201 12 097 15 117 13 129 13 142 13 169 10201 9901 12 101 14 118 13 130 13 144 13 168 9901 9604 12 104 14 120 13 132 14 145 14 168 9604 9310 11 108 13 121 13*134 14 146 14 164 9310 9020 10 113 13 124 13*135 14 146 15 161 9020 8732 10 117 12 125 14 132 15 143 15 157 8732 8447 9 120 12 127 15 120 16 138 15 151 8447 8165 9 120 13 118 14 105 15 128 15 144 8165 7885 10 106 14 102 11 088 14 113 13 136 7885 7699 12 083 12 072 9 082 11 097 11 122 7699 7562 13 047 9 052 7 078 9 081 9 085 7562 7471 10*029 7*043 5 075 6*064 7*045 7471 7427 6*020 4*036 3 072 4*043 5*023 7427 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography