DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1043z - - 1342z - - 1611z - - 1909z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.1 - - 51.2 - - 51.9 - - 47.7 - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 450 - - 606 - - 168 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4638 - - 7450 - - 7603 - - 3607 BL Depth Hcrit 7410 - - 12375 - - 14758 - - 14235 - - 7410 Hcrit BL Top 7428 - - 13648 - - 16460 - - 16613 - - 12617 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2151 - - 1384 - - 1057 - - 1996 - - 2610 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 550 - - 711 - - 468 - - 74 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 23 - - 25 - - 26 - - 24 BL Wind Direction 301 - - 308 - - 322 - - 332 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 18 - - 28 - - 24 - - 16 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -21 - - -32 - - -29 - - -33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3715 - - -560 - - 3470 - - 4775 - - 3359 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11143 - - 14209 - - 12991 - - 11839 - - 9259 sfcLCL ODpotential -10943 - - -8106 - - -1010 - - 1819 - - -90 ODpotential blCL 18371 - - 21754 - - 17470 - - 14794 - - 12707 blCL maxRH 39 - - 86 - - 59 - - 63 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 26 - - 3 CAPE Temp@2m 44.1 - - 51.2 - - 51.9 - - 47.7 - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.4 - - 14.5 - - 20.5 - - 21.7 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 50.2 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.4 - - 14.5 - - 20.5 - - 21.7 - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 450 - - 606 - - 168 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4638 - - 7450 - - 7603 - - 3607 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 73413 12 274 18 263 23 254 34 243 28 254 73413 60686 35 300 25 290 28 275 35 271 43 264 60686 54604 47 281 41 282 49 267 53 285 53 292 54604 49668 58 275 54 281 66 276 61 281 58 288 49668 45947 62 274 64 268 70 271 79 287 71 289 45947 41701 70 276 77 269 88 277 83 274 55 290 41701 39739 82 277 84 271 95 276 64 279 57 292 39739 38226 93 278 90 274 100 271 62 292 57 295 38226 36338 100 278 90 274 100 268 66 294 58 305 36338 35129 104 278 95 274 96 267 72 293 60 312 35129 34507 107 277 101 274 91 266 76 289 58 311 34507 34047 110 276 106 274 87 268 78 285 56 308 34047 33657 110 275 109 274 87 270 82 280 56 305 33657 33108 105 274 108 273 93 270 85 277 58 302 33108 32455 99 273 107 271 99 268 87 276 59 299 32455 31732 95 274 99 267 102 266 88 274 59 297 31732 31029 91 273 91 266 104 264 86 272 58 297 31029 30259 84 272 90 265 104 261 80 271 57 298 30259 29035 75 270 82 262 101 261 73 272 56 301 29035 28028 67 270 72 262 94 262 64 275 54 303 28028 27486 62 270 67 261 86 263 61 279 53 304 27486 26898 57 266 64 257 73 267 59 283 53 304 26898 26192 57 263 64 257 64 272 56 283 52 303 26192 25403 54 262 60 262 61 274 51 282 50 302 25403 24620 50 261 53 265 55 278 46 283 47 300 24620 23591 46 264 47 269 46 284 41 289 44 297 23591 20676 40 266 42*276 40*289 38 301 40 298 20676 17875 39 266 36*290 35*301 30*308 38 309 17875 15785 38 267 29 304 32 316 28*320 35 323 15785 14293 37 267 27 307 24 328 25 335 30*333 14293 10959 36 268 26 308 24 331 28 337 27*342 10959 10672 35 269 24 311 25 333 28 336 26 347 10672 10467 34 270 22 315 25 334 28 335 26 350 10467 10263 33 271 20 318 26 334 28 334 26 352 10263 10060 31 272 19 319 26 334 28 333 26 352 10060 9858 30 273 19 319 26 332 27 332 26 352 9858 9658 28 275 19 318 26 331 27 331 26 352 9658 9458 27 276 19 319 26 328 26 331 25 352 9458 9260 26 277 19 319 26 325 26 330 25 352 9260 9062 24 279 18 318 25 323 25 329 25 352 9062 8866 23 281 17 318 24 319 24 327 24 352 8866 8671 23 283 16 317 22 316 24 327 24 353 8671 8477 23 285 16 316 20 312 23 327 23 352 8477 8284 23 287 15 314 19 310 23 327 22 352 8284 8091 23 294 15 314 19 310 22 327 20 352 8091 7900 19 299 15 314 18 309 22 326 18 351 7900 7710 14 303 14 313 17 308 20 325 16 351 7710 7568 11 305 13 313 16 307 18 325 13 351 7568 7474 9*306 11 312 14 305 15 324 10 349 7474 7427 5*307 9 310 11 303 12 322 6 348 7427 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography