DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0740z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.8 - - 26.5 - - 29.8 - - 31.0 - - 24.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 94 - - 82 - - 26 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3003 - - 4123 - - 4294 - - 1877 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 10465 - - 11178 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 12013 - - 13133 - - 13304 - - 10887 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3996 - - 1302 - - 1060 - - 1117 - - 2353 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 287 - - 307 - - 217 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 27 - - 49 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 203 - - 261 - - 303 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 4 - - -14 - - -15 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -720 - - 3294 - - 3919 - - 3705 - - 2372 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7882 - - 8719 - - 9214 - - 9600 - - 8516 sfcLCL ODpotential -4918 - - -567 - - 134 - - -71 - - -2379 ODpotential blCL 12079 - - 12580 - - 12999 - - 13375 - - 13266 blCL maxRH 68 - - 66 - - 66 - - 71 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 15.8 - - 26.5 - - 29.8 - - 31.0 - - 24.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.2 - - 13.8 - - 14.8 - - 14.3 - - 12.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.8 - - 29.5 - - 32.8 - - 34.5 - - 33.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.8 - - 12.8 - - 13.7 - - 13.1 - - 11.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 94 - - 82 - - 26 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3003 - - 4123 - - 4294 - - 1877 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97599 10 277 20 270 18 274 20 277 18 283 97599 90299 8 239 8 227 15 272 16 265 17 293 90299 84670 7 256 5 257 8 259 7 281 8 280 84670 79968 10 262 7 226 8 270 6 268 6 277 79968 75893 8 266 2 225 8 244 10 260 13 280 75893 72289 10 292 6 263 8 257 10 290 8 277 72289 69016 20 278 9 271 13 275 18 304 15 316 69016 66001 15 265 16 277 18 273 22 288 21 291 66001 63205 18 300 18 291 22 291 21 288 19 286 63205 60488 29 290 27 296 27 296 25 293 24 293 60488 57641 35 287 34 289 33 289 31 292 31 290 57641 54671 41 287 40 288 40 286 37 292 34 286 54671 51819 47 285 46 288 44 285 41 286 36 284 51819 49242 49 288 48 288 45 286 44 283 39 285 49242 46933 52 291 51 287 48 287 48 285 43 289 46933 44846 56 290 52 286 51 287 54 287 48 290 44846 42951 61 289 54 289 59 287 60 289 53 289 42951 41224 66 291 62 291 68 286 69 292 59 291 41224 39640 70 290 72 290 76 286 81 290 71 291 39640 38179 74 292 78 287 82 285 90 288 83 289 38179 36829 81 295 79 287 81 283 95 286 92 286 36829 35551 87 296 80 291 76 286 97 283 95 283 35551 34279 91 296 84 293 77 290 93 282 94 283 34279 32984 90 294 87 293 80 290 88 284 92 284 32984 31669 88 294 88 292 81 288 87 287 92 284 31669 30323 88 293 87 291 80 287 87 289 92 286 30323 28938 88 293 86 292 80 287 86 290 89 288 28938 27520 87 294 85 292 80 288 84 290 86 291 27520 26073 86 295 83 292 79 288 80 291 82 292 26073 24602 85 297 81 292 76 288 78 291 78 293 24602 23111 82 299 79 294 74 289 75 290 75 293 23111 21600 76 301 75 298 71 289 72 288 72 290 21600 20065 67 300 65 298 66 289 70 288 68 287 20065 18531 56 299 54 296 59 288 64 289 62 287 18531 17072 45 303 42 295 48 289 54 288 52 287 17072 15753 34 312 30 298 34 291 41 287 41 286 15753 14579 22 323 19 304 20 292 26 285 32 284 14579 13525 12 333 10 303 9*289 13*290 22 278 13525 12573 6 347 4*284 4*283 7*304 14 271 12573 11708 4 350 2*241 2 272 5 311 8 264 11708 10924 3 332 2 223 1 257 5 306 4*265 10924 10216 2 289 2 213 1 249 4 302 2*295 10216 9574 1 217 2 205 1 245 3 297 3 332 9574 8985 2 163 2 195 1 234 2 286 3 346 8985 8453 2 155 2 187 1 228 1 279 4 357 8453 7999 2 127 2 178 0 229 0 283 3 009 7999 7645 2 093 2 176 0 224 0 270 3 016 7645 7399 2 041 2 172 0 217 0 204 2 021 7399 7247 3*009 2 172 0 213 0 090 2 023 7247 7161 3*019 1 171 0 207 0 043 2 016 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography