DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 53.7 - - - - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 414 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5748 - - 7540 - - - - - 1100 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13180 - - 14678 - - - - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14758 - - 16550 - - - - - 10110 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1064 - - 1894 - - - - - 1433 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 550 - - 630 - - - - - 60 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 33 - - - - - 21 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 229 - - - - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 44 - - 42 - - - - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 28 - - - - - -33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3865 - - 3765 - - - - - 1039 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10894 - - 12785 - - - - - 9071 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -866 - - 1592 - - - - - -6321 ODpotential blCL - - - 15624 - - 14958 - - - - - 16431 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 97 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 53.7 - - - - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 22.2 - - - - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 55.4 - - - - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.2 - - 21.3 - - - - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 414 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5748 - - 7540 - - - - - 1100 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 89 - - - - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97874 10 273 16 315 6 325 97874 90509 5 158 6 266 7 047 90509 84859 9 124 5 218 8 351 84859 80167 8 101 7 191 8 030 80167 76119 5 089 6 130 7 023 76119 72525 6 125 3 107 2 072 72525 69255 5 127 3 220 5 145 69255 66231 2 086 7 194 3 069 66231 63418 7 262 4 172 2 285 63418 60678 6 226 6 190 9 175 60678 57809 3 247 3 229 13 220 57809 54845 18 227 12 208 20 220 54845 52018 25 261 16 295 26 254 52018 49465 36 255 36 249 45 240 49465 47179 43 253 49 249 51 227 47179 45096 49 239 57 250 46 234 45096 43183 49 225 57 243 50 234 43183 41428 54 242 62 238 54 224 41428 39807 83 249 77 242 55 225 39807 38303 105 245 95 241 66 238 38303 36916 109 240 108 236 89 239 36916 35620 109 239 110 234 102 233 35620 34342 108 239 109 234 102 230 34342 33048 106 238 109 234 99 229 33048 31737 103 237 109 233 99 228 31737 30400 100 236 107 232 99 226 30400 29027 96 234 104 230 97 224 29027 27625 92 232 101 228 93 220 27625 26198 89 229 99 226 89 213 26198 24746 88 226 98 225 87 210 24746 23269 86 224 97 224 84 206 23269 21765 85 222 93 224 80 202 21765 20229 82 222 87 222 76 198 20229 18689 78 222 76 219 73 198 18689 17219 72 225 64*216 69 203 17219 15884 64*229 54*217 62 208 15884 14692 54*232 46 220 52 214 14692 13622 43 229 39 224 42 222 13622 12655 36 223 34 229 33 234 12655 11778 31 217 32 231 28 250 11778 10983 28 211 29 235 26 271 10983 10264 25 206 27 238 25*290 10264 9613 22 201 26 239 26*305 9613 9016 22 200 26 240 26 315 9016 8476 21 199 25 240 24 325 8476 8016 21 199 24 241 21 334 8016 7656 20 198 23 241 18 339 7656 7404 19 198 22 241 16 341 7404 7250 17 197 19 241 13 342 7250 7162 13 197 14 240 8 342 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography