DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 68.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 81 - - 33 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2095 - - 1144 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1112 - - 557 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2690 - - 1739 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1091 - - 2206 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 231 - - 147 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 072 - - 089 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 72 - - 480 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2618 - - 1259 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1605 - - -4 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4295 - - 1743 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 80 - - 710 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 68.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.2 - - 64.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.4 - - 68.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.6 - - 63.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 81 - - 33 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2095 - - 1144 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 102 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97869 17 223 18 255 97869 90465 10 228 11 248 90465 84780 5 249 8 238 84780 80074 4 275 2 189 80074 76035 6 275 6 053 76035 72470 6 274 6 021 72470 69253 5 255 7 322 69253 66302 6 218 12 291 66302 63561 8 192 16 262 63561 60894 7 200 16 245 60894 58102 6 224 14 219 58102 55207 6 252 9 190 55207 52443 13 240 10 210 52443 49949 16 220 14 208 49949 47703 15 220 13 207 47703 45654 13 218 11 188 45654 43775 10 223 5 153 43775 42045 14 192 4 201 42045 40442 16 166 5 199 40442 38956 16 135 5 147 38956 37573 19 109 7 099 37573 36246 20 081 10 069 36246 34901 24 075 11 071 34901 33507 26 073 9 119 33507 32066 22 079 16 118 32066 30557 15 115 5 118 30557 28965 18 160 6 117 28965 27290 18 167 6 108 27290 25532 13 170 6 101 25532 23693 11 139 9 101 23693 21775 15 123 11 111 21775 19773 15 126 13 112 19773 17685 13 116 16 111 17685 15558 16 111 17 110 15558 13508 20 112 17 110 13508 11647 18 117 16 116 11647 9997 18 111 17 111 9997 8532 17 095 15 099 8532 7231 17 080 14 088 7231 6078 14 068 14 083 6078 5058 13 068 15 082 5058 4160 13 074 16 081 4160 3367 13*075 16 082 3367 2659 13*073 16 084 2659 2034 13 072 15*085 2034 1513 13 072 15*087 1513 1112 13 071 15 089 1112 837 13 071 14 090 837 670 12 070 13 090 670 574 10 070 10 090 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography