DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 61.4 - - 61.8 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 201 - - 169 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1005 - - 3845 - - 3441 - - 1976 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 3002 - - 2599 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1600 - - 4440 - - 4036 - - 2571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 769 - - 1934 - - 2534 - - 1857 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 202 - - 384 - - 344 - - 76 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 030 - - 000 - - 031 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -838 - - 668 - - 80 - - -882 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2438 - - 3772 - - 3956 - - 3454 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3110 - - 25 - - -497 - - -3144 ODpotential blCL - - - 4710 - - 4415 - - 4533 - - 5715 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 81 - - 91 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 61.4 - - 61.8 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 47.1 - - 46.7 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 60.2 - - 60.7 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 45.9 - - 45.5 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 201 - - 169 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1005 - - 3845 - - 3441 - - 1976 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 25 - - 65 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98370 10 248 11 214 19 226 17 263 98370 90891 16 218 16 216 17 233 15 252 90891 85106 15 221 19 230 22 236 15 253 85106 80284 13 238 21 239 18 245 18 245 80284 76125 13 250 11 254 12 254 14 251 76125 72467 14 284 16 297 12 291 15 274 72467 69167 13 277 22 293 22 290 24 294 69167 66141 23 303 28 286 29 296 30 309 66141 63338 36 300 33 289 37 296 40 305 63338 60625 34 296 36 292 41 296 44 302 60625 57792 40 300 40 293 46 298 50 304 57792 54845 48 302 47 300 53 299 57 305 54845 52023 54 300 51 301 56 296 61 301 52023 49485 57 300 55 304 56 297 62 296 49485 47220 63 300 62 303 60 299 60 295 47220 45179 70 296 67 297 67 299 62 299 45179 43324 70 293 70 293 76 297 71 298 43324 41624 69 293 75 291 82 295 77 296 41624 40058 72 292 79 290 86 295 81 295 40058 38604 76 294 80 289 91 297 84 295 38604 37242 83 298 79 291 93 298 87 297 37242 35929 89 299 83 293 89 297 89 297 35929 34592 89 298 87 295 83 297 85 297 34592 33202 88 295 90 295 82 298 80 295 33202 31760 86 292 88 294 83 299 77 296 31760 30250 85 290 83 291 84 300 73 301 30250 28658 82 291 74 290 79 300 69 304 28658 26986 80 294 69 290 73 299 63 305 26986 25234 78 295 69 294 68 298 58 304 25234 23405 76 298 65 296 59 299 55 303 23405 21501 63 300 57 296 54 299 51 303 21501 19514 42 304 44 295 44 299 46 303 19514 17446 35 309 30 303 29 295 35 303 17446 15343 30 314 27 308 22 301 24 306 15343 13317 28 318 24 314 21 299 22 298 13317 11471 23 324 20 320 17 300 19 299 11471 9831 17 327 17 324 14 306 15 300 9831 8376 15 332 13 328 14 293 14 314 8376 7088 17 337 12 329 11 292 15 303 7088 5952 18 343 13 331 11 295 15 294 5952 4951 16 349 12*332 9 306 12 299 4951 4071 16 352 9*341 7*343 7 343 4071 3296 17 354 7 357 8*014 7 020 3296 2605 15 358 7 000 11 029 12*049 2605 1996 11*021 7 004 11 031 13*053 1996 1487 8*030 6 006 12 033 13 055 1487 1097 7 030 6 008 12 034 13 057 1097 829 7 031 6 010 11 035 12 057 829 666 6 030 6 009 11 035 11 058 666 573 5 030 5 010 10 035 8 058 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography