DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0706z - - 1008z - - 1349z - - 1610z - - 1907z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.9 - - 70.0 - - 76.4 - - 80.6 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 259 - - 414 - - 311 - - 39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4256 - - 5151 - - 5963 - - 5658 BL Depth Hcrit 549 - - 3388 - - 4275 - - 4796 - - 2747 Hcrit BL Top 566 - - 4851 - - 5746 - - 6558 - - 6253 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 198 - - 673 - - 729 - - 778 - - 762 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 420 - - 523 - - 501 - - 253 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 15 - - 11 - - 8 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 010 - - 010 - - 020 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1044 - - -2529 - - -3021 - - -3578 - - -3646 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1610 - - 7380 - - 8767 - - 10136 - - 9899 sfcLCL ODpotential -8843 - - -8490 - - -7887 - - -8533 - - -9303 ODpotential blCL 9409 - - 13341 - - 13633 - - 15091 - - 15556 blCL maxRH 81 - - 65 - - 63 - - 57 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.9 - - 70.0 - - 76.4 - - 80.6 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 39.5 - - 39.9 - - 37.8 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 68.6 - - 74.0 - - 78.7 - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 39.6 - - 40.0 - - 38.0 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 259 - - 414 - - 311 - - 39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4256 - - 5151 - - 5963 - - 5658 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98252 9 216 14 252 7 194 17 235 5 208 98252 90934 5 168 13 230 7 167 12 238 5 308 90934 85259 3 186 11 216 6 146 5 234 3 240 85259 80555 4 189 7 222 3 074 1 025 5 146 80555 76490 5 135 4 169 3 273 4 032 3 132 76490 72897 6 123 3 126 8 221 5 314 0 069 72897 69625 7 104 2 180 9 216 9 281 4 311 69625 66608 4 066 5 199 8 228 8 267 6 291 66608 63832 6 296 7 219 11 260 8 278 7 318 63832 61224 8 278 8 235 12 249 13 263 12 295 61224 58421 13 278 13 258 9 242 9 243 16 265 58421 55377 23 264 20 262 13 269 8 288 15 259 55377 52522 28 260 19 265 19 277 17 310 13 296 52522 50005 20 260 17 285 17 284 21 300 19 310 50005 47754 16 281 21 301 18 301 20 297 19 303 47754 45717 19 291 28 306 24 314 20 310 16 310 45717 43858 19 297 32 311 28 321 21 322 19 327 43858 42156 19 315 31 320 26 330 22 332 20 337 42156 40591 21 345 29 332 30 343 24 346 22 357 40591 39141 33 001 33 355 39 343 31 351 29 005 39141 37785 46 001 44 355 41 339 34 348 31 359 37785 36503 56 358 47 351 37 340 31 345 32 352 36503 35175 59 357 47 348 34 347 27 346 31 349 35175 33776 56 358 46 346 33 352 25 353 28 353 33776 32344 52 359 44 347 33 353 26 357 26 001 32344 30831 50 001 40 353 31 353 27 359 27 010 30831 29232 48 002 37 002 28 354 26 360 27 016 29232 27551 44 004 36 009 26 356 23 356 24 016 27551 25787 35 002 34 015 26 357 20 355 20 008 25787 23935 29 358 30 016 25 358 18 357 17 356 23935 22008 27 360 25 008 22 358 16 356 15 353 22008 19992 23 356 20 359 21 356 15 353 12 001 19992 17878 20 343 17 358 20 351 13 347 11 008 17878 15683 18 342 18 351 19 346 13 341 11 012 15683 13569 16 353 20 349 19 348 14 345 13 014 13569 11689 16 005 18 352 19 355 16 351 14 015 11689 10026 16 358 16 355 16 001 15 357 11 012 10026 8551 15 350 16 356 13 006 11 360 7 011 8551 7243 14 355 17 358 12 019 10*016 6*023 7243 6086 17 008 18 009 14*023 8*019 7*027 6086 5064 21 019 17*019 7*010 8 019 6 017 5064 4161 22 023 14*019 7 010 8 020 6 016 4161 3371 18 019 11 013 7 010 8 021 6 017 3371 2657 13 010 10 009 7 010 8 020 6 016 2657 2015 15 027 10 009 6 010 8 021 5 017 2015 1485 16 030 10 008 6 010 8 022 5 018 1485 1077 11 006 9 006 6 010 8 023 5 019 1077 803 10 335 9 005 6 012 7 021 5 019 803 646 7*323 8 004 6 010 7 023 4 017 646 567 4*320 7 003 5 010 6 022 4 019 567 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography