DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1043z - - 1343z - - 1612z - - 1911z - - 2206z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 72.8 - - 80.1 - - 77.6 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 374 - - 436 - - 120 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 275 - - 5203 - - 7083 - - 7234 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4496 - - 8548 - - 10112 - - 9473 - - 4496 Hcrit BL Top 5103 - - 10031 - - 11911 - - 12062 - - 4514 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 925 - - 1257 - - 842 - - 885 - - 567 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 524 - - 610 - - 402 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 18 - - 17 - - 16 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 145 - - 209 - - 225 - - 230 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 22 - - 25 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 15 - - 23 - - 36 - - 38 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6298 - - -3828 - - -6112 - - -6149 - - -9757 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11401 - - 13860 - - 18024 - - 18211 - - 14272 sfcLCL ODpotential -18844 - - -12519 - - -15324 - - -15408 - - -19198 ODpotential blCL 23947 - - 22550 - - 27235 - - 27470 - - 23712 blCL maxRH 40 - - 32 - - 30 - - 22 - - 22 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 72.8 - - 80.1 - - 77.6 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.0 - - 27.3 - - 16.0 - - 12.8 - - 19.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.3 - - 71.5 - - 78.5 - - 77.8 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.9 - - 27.3 - - 15.9 - - 12.8 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 374 - - 436 - - 120 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 275 - - 5203 - - 7083 - - 7234 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 73690 18 179 18 186 11 178 14 189 11 171 73690 62401 13 252 4 047 21 212 19 230 18 223 62401 58496 35 214 33 255 37 264 31 255 29 237 58496 55510 34 219 35 253 43 240 41 246 39 251 55510 53119 38 253 36 246 42 252 44 255 43 246 53119 49915 48 242 53 244 52 241 59 242 61 240 49915 46460 48 232 59 236 63 228 59 240 62 246 46460 44137 53 243 63 242 61 236 65 248 71 250 44137 41902 63 247 74 245 73 245 73 248 79 249 41902 38354 68 248 84 249 87 246 78 249 88 247 38354 34712 69 249 84 249 92 247 81 249 88 250 34712 32180 67 250 77 249 81 248 79 249 85 254 32180 30754 64 248 69 244 71 246 75 250 79 255 30754 29853 64 234 64 239 66 238 69 249 73 253 29853 28572 63 229 67 235 64 241 65 243 69 248 28572 26345 59 231 65 240 63 245 63 246 64 245 26345 23905 58 235 62 248 59 249 55 253 56 251 23905 21550 57 239 57 248 51 251 46 254 49 255 21550 19774 54 242 52 243 45 252 40 256 43 259 19774 17792 49 239 49 240 42 250 32 252 34 263 17792 16278 47 236 47 241 41 244 33 248 32 263 16278 14913 46 235 43 243 39 242 32 245 31 258 14913 14035 44 237 39 242 36 243 31 243 28 255 14035 13123 41 237 37 241 31*242 29*245 26 245 13123 11864 37 232 34 235 29*244 23*248 22 235 11864 10425 32 229 31*228 25 245 16 244 15 228 10425 9995 30 228 28*223 20 241 16 242 12 224 9995 9721 29 228 28 222 20 241 16 240 11 226 9721 9450 29 229 27 221 19 240 16 240 10 226 9450 9180 28 229 26 220 18 240 16 238 10 229 9180 8913 27 230 26 219 18 239 16 236 11 230 8913 8647 25 231 25 217 17 237 16 235 11 231 8647 8383 24 232 24 216 17 235 16 233 12 232 8383 8121 22 232 22 213 16 230 16 230 12 232 8121 7861 21 232 19 210 16 226 16 228 13 233 7861 7602 19 232 17 206 16 222 16 226 13 234 7602 7346 18 230 16 203 16 218 16 224 13 235 7346 7091 16 228 15 201 16 214 16 221 13 236 7091 6837 15 224 15 199 16 210 16 219 14 237 6837 6586 15 220 14 197 16 207 16 217 14 237 6586 6336 14 214 14 195 16 202 16 216 14 237 6336 6087 14 210 13 193 16 200 16 214 14 238 6087 5841 13 204 13 191 15 188 16 213 14 238 5841 5595 12 199 12 189 15 186 16 212 14 237 5595 5352 11*187 12 187 15 185 16 211 14 237 5352 5110 9*172 12 186 14 185 16 211 13 235 5110 4869 6 151 11 184 14 185 15 210 11 232 4869 4690 5 127 10 183 14 185 14 209 8 233 4690 4571 4 120 10 182 13 184 12 208 5*240 4571 4513 4 117 9 182 12 184 10 208 3*250 4513 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography