DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 84.9 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 508 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7419 - - 9312 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10399 - - 11995 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12247 - - 14140 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2536 - - 1853 - - - - - 7697 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 627 - - 702 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 24 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 223 - - - - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 48 - - 54 - - - - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3370 - - -2050 - - - - - -13150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15617 - - 16191 - - - - - 17526 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6418 - - -5150 - - - - - -18548 ODpotential blCL - - - 18665 - - 19290 - - - - - 22923 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 68 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 84.9 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.6 - - 28.1 - - - - - 10.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 83.4 - - - - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 27.6 - - - - - 10.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 508 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7419 - - 9312 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97972 13 245 25 279 19 310 97972 90530 8 285 13 261 24 300 90530 84822 10 260 8 251 14 307 84822 80097 1 270 3 210 3 002 80097 76040 0 003 4 234 1 075 76040 72454 6 229 3 023 8 126 72454 69205 8 234 7 308 7 130 69205 66213 10 181 7 194 8 139 66213 63442 7 223 13 240 5 247 63442 60768 20 228 16 233 12 269 60768 57967 11 251 20 275 21 264 57967 55071 27 253 39 254 35 256 55071 52336 33 248 41 242 34 242 52336 49893 37 262 35 256 33 259 49893 47708 44 273 37 275 49 266 47708 45745 48 279 51 282 60 266 45745 43962 60 279 72 282 68 268 43962 42318 79 279 82 278 76 269 42318 40778 89 276 82 274 81 269 40778 39326 82 269 73 272 81 269 39326 37955 76 269 67 269 78 269 37955 36637 72 276 64 264 71 268 36637 35310 73 286 62 265 65 263 35310 33947 69 291 58 276 64 261 33947 32554 58 292 49 280 59 257 32554 31115 44 283 42 269 49 245 31115 29619 42 271 44 262 47 235 29619 28068 43 268 45 263 43 236 28068 26466 41 266 42 265 34 246 26466 24821 35 262 39 263 31 251 24821 23135 31 258 37 255 30 246 23135 21398 33 258 37 248 31 246 21398 19602 34 256 35 245 32 251 19602 17781 31 248 32 238 33 255 17781 16031 30 234 29 235 35 257 16031 14437 31 230 26*234 35 254 14437 13015 30*232 24*230 33 248 13015 11742 26*230 24 229 31 239 11742 10600 24 224 24 227 30 235 10600 9571 23 218 24 226 30 236 9571 8648 22 211 25 224 29 239 8648 7822 22 208 25 222 29 241 7822 7083 22 207 25 221 29 242 7083 6411 22 206 25 220 28 243 6411 5810 21 205 24 218 26 243 5810 5302 21 204 24 218 22 243 5302 4909 20 204 23 217 18 241 4909 4636 19 203 22 217 14 238 4636 4470 18 203 21 216 11*234 4470 4374 16 203 18 216 5*226 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography