DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/05 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1043z - - 1342z - - 1611z - - 1909z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.1 - - 65.4 - - 68.8 - - 61.2 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 50 - - 447 - - 601 - - 215 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 116 - - 3659 - - 10120 - - 9859 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 5161 - - 7630 - - 12985 - - 12175 - - 5161 Hcrit BL Top 5177 - - 8720 - - 15181 - - 14920 - - 5177 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 504 - - 2261 - - 1188 - - 1333 - - 7166 Hgt.Variab. W* 76 - - 496 - - 769 - - 540 - - 18 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 31 - - 27 - - 31 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 264 - - 288 - - 333 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 20 - - 21 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -14 - - 48 - - -14 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2097 - - -5647 - - -1120 - - 1112 - - -5868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7274 - - 14367 - - 16301 - - 13809 - - 11045 sfcLCL ODpotential -7467 - - -10846 - - -4602 - - 176 - - -7816 ODpotential blCL 12644 - - 19566 - - 19783 - - 14744 - - 12993 blCL maxRH 77 - - 39 - - 54 - - 88 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.1 - - 65.4 - - 68.8 - - 61.2 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.1 - - 20.0 - - 14.0 - - 18.4 - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 63.0 - - 66.3 - - 59.6 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 20.0 - - 14.0 - - 18.4 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 50 - - 447 - - 601 - - 215 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 116 - - 3659 - - 10120 - - 9859 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74636 9 281 15 288 16 285 24 250 29 248 74636 59881 34 311 14 271 29 252 31 272 31 266 59881 53452 53 284 50 284 52 275 57 289 57 289 53452 49330 62 275 64 278 66 281 74 281 70 282 49330 46800 67 272 67 265 71 279 65 276 79 281 46800 42312 76 273 79 268 83 270 86 280 70 275 42312 39554 88 273 87 270 92 268 92 273 59 278 39554 38061 101 273 92 272 102 266 85 266 60 277 38061 36114 108 273 93 272 107 265 73 263 58 279 36114 35307 112 273 97 271 110 264 69 265 54 283 35307 34740 115 273 105 270 109 264 71 275 55 281 34740 34221 115 272 109 270 107 264 78 276 56 280 34221 33820 114 271 109 270 103 264 85 275 59 278 33820 33216 110 271 108 270 103 264 93 271 61 279 33216 32603 105 270 105 268 105 263 100 268 63 281 32603 31879 99 270 98 265 107 261 106 265 64 281 31879 31120 91 268 87 263 103 259 107 262 65 274 31120 30291 80 267 80 263 97 258 99 262 67 273 30291 28812 69 269 70 259 92 257 89 263 69 270 28812 27880 62 271 61 258 84 255 80 264 66 269 27880 27386 60 270 55 257 78 255 73 264 63 272 27386 26903 61 267 55 257 70 255 65 263 61 274 26903 26412 56 262 54 259 65 255 60 264 59 276 26412 25843 51 257 50 262 63 257 57 266 57 276 25843 25160 41 252 46 266 59 264 51 266 52 277 25160 23555 37 262 42 267 53*275 45 268 45 282 23555 20934 37 264 38 274 41*288 35 266 38 286 20934 17346 36 266 38 276 25 310 25*256 27 291 17346 14538 35 267 38 277 25 293 22*266 21 273 14538 13236 33 268 38 278 26 291 30 323 21 302 13236 9262 31 268 38 278 26 289 30 324 27 334 9262 9016 28 267 37 279 27 287 31 327 28 336 9016 8771 25 264 37*280 27 286 31 329 29 337 8771 8529 23 259 36*280 28 284 32 331 29 339 8529 8287 22 254 34 278 28 282 32 333 29 342 8287 8048 21 249 33 275 29 281 32 334 30 345 8048 7810 21 246 33 273 29 279 33 336 29 347 7810 7574 21 242 32 269 30 278 33 338 28 348 7574 7339 20 239 32 265 30 277 33 339 28 348 7339 7105 19 236 32 263 31 275 33 341 28 349 7105 6873 19 234 32 262 31 274 33 342 27 349 6873 6643 19 232 32 260 31 273 33 343 27 349 6643 6413 19 232 31 259 31 271 33 344 26 349 6413 6186 19 233 31 257 31 271 32 345 26 350 6186 5959 21 235 31 256 31 270 32 345 25 350 5959 5734 23 241 30 255 31 269 32 346 23 350 5734 5510 16 245 29 253 30 268 31 346 21 350 5510 5343 13 245 27 252 29 268 30 347 19 350 5343 5233 11 244 25 251 27 267 28 347 16 350 5233 5177 9*244 22 250 24 267 26 347 12*349 5177 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography