DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1014z - - 1349z - - 1614z - - 1912z - - 2205z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 6.0 - - 22.2 - - 29.0 - - 26.0 - - 14.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 65 - - 65 - - -32 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 116 - - 677 - - 1127 - - 116 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 5161 - - 5161 - - 5161 - - 5161 - - 5161 Hcrit BL Top 5177 - - 5738 - - 6188 - - 5177 - - 5177 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 40 - - 510 - - 676 - - 1125 - - 21 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 150 - - 180 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 037 - - 048 - - 065 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -637 - - -858 - - -473 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5177 - - 6376 - - 7046 - - 5650 - - 5177 sfcLCL ODpotential -12116 - - -8279 - - -7507 - - -6833 - - -10298 ODpotential blCL 17293 - - 14017 - - 13695 - - 12010 - - 15475 blCL maxRH 74 - - 70 - - 61 - - 68 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 6.0 - - 22.2 - - 29.0 - - 26.0 - - 14.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.3 - - 12.9 - - 16.7 - - 19.7 - - 13.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 6.1 - - 21.4 - - 28.2 - - 26.0 - - 14.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 2.3 - - 12.9 - - 16.7 - - 19.7 - - 13.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 65 - - 65 - - -32 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 116 - - 677 - - 1127 - - 116 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70716 30 106 36 104 36 101 37 105 37 100 70716 58174 19 089 8 105 9 076 14 049 13 059 58174 53213 8 001 11 010 7 056 8 031 7 352 53213 49255 6 338 10 355 12 336 11 358 11 345 49255 45597 10 023 13 355 10 006 11 311 19 331 45597 43537 14 017 9 002 16 340 18 328 21 326 43537 42386 13 015 12 359 22 345 18 339 22 329 42386 41257 19 009 14 012 24 341 18 344 23 331 41257 40572 24 007 15 036 24 338 17 349 22 331 40572 40049 25 010 17 043 24 341 18 002 19 337 40049 39531 24 008 18 036 26 346 21 007 19 345 39531 39030 21 004 20 031 27 354 24 003 22 343 39030 38546 20 007 24 025 27 004 23 358 24 340 38546 38046 21 014 27 023 27 014 20 004 25 336 38046 37528 18 026 33 021 27 018 19 014 27 333 37528 36826 18 034 34 020 30 022 21 025 29 328 36826 35905 23 034 34 020 34 024 24 029 28 328 35905 35225 29 038 32 025 38 023 27 029 26 331 35225 34553 35 045 34 031 40 021 31 025 24 335 34553 33629 41 049 39 034 40 023 33 019 25 340 33629 32981 44 050 42 035 41 030 37 011 29 342 32981 32197 46 049 46 037 43 036 40 010 30 350 32197 30813 49 046 49 039 46 036 40 011 30 359 30813 29271 50 045 53 040 49 034 39 012 33 005 29271 27795 51 044 53 039 51 038 39 016 33 004 27795 25343 49 045 50 040 49 042 37 027 30 005 25343 21571 48 048 44 044 42 044 32 036 24 012 21571 18869 44 048 38 048 35 048 25 034 20 017 18869 15590 37 054 29 056 27 056 18 031 18 012 15590 13733 28 061 23 060 21 057 13 037 15 022 13733 12461 20 061 18 050 18 051 12 039 11 044 12461 11710 17 052 16 059 15 062 11 041 9 071 11710 10891 19 073 20 077 16 082 8 079 7 121 10891 10164 19 079 22 088 16 092 8 102 8 134 10164 9520 15 075 20 094 14 094 10 102 9 137 9520 9153 14 073 19 095 14 094 10 101 9 143 9153 8789 12 071 17 094 14 093 11 100 9 144 8789 8430 11 066 16 089 14 092 12 097 8 137 8430 8076 9 061 16 083 14 088 12 095 7 119 8076 7725 9 054 17 077 15 083 12 091 8 100 7725 7380 10 050 19 071 16 079 12 084 8 085 7380 7038 13 050 20 065 16 076 13 078 8 078 7038 6701 16 047 21 059 16 073 13 077 8 072 6701 6368 16 045 22 054 16*059 14 067 8 072 6368 6038 16 045 20*047 14*049 14 065 8 063 6038 5712 14 040 15*037 13 047 13 065 9 059 5712 5496 14 026 14 037 12 047 12 065 9 049 5496 5336 14 360 13 037 11 048 10 065 10 027 5336 5230 10 357 11 037 10 048 8 065 10 005 5230 5177 6*355 9 037 8 048 5*065 4*345 5177 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography