DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 51.3 - - - - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 208 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3414 - - 1808 - - - - - 1050 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4589 - - 3233 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5736 - - 4129 - - - - - 3371 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1519 - - 1548 - - - - - 1070 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 431 - - 296 - - - - - 81 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - - - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 293 - - - - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -14 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 877 - - 543 - - - - - -965 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4859 - - 3586 - - - - - 4337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 533 - - 297 - - - - - -6054 ODpotential blCL - - - 5203 - - 3832 - - - - - 9425 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 98 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 51.3 - - - - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.3 - - 43.6 - - - - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 49.9 - - - - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 43.5 - - - - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 208 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3414 - - 1808 - - - - - 1050 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 91 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98001 21 259 25 262 11 303 98001 90556 8 250 12 264 12 291 90556 84847 2 111 5 231 3 266 84847 80120 5 144 2 192 1 108 80120 76052 7 121 2 284 7 074 76052 72453 9 062 9 105 7 070 72453 69192 4 290 4 069 4 093 69192 66198 3 240 5 275 5 001 66198 63425 6 256 10 281 4 269 63425 60732 6 275 10 252 14 293 60732 57905 16 291 12 254 23 275 57905 54975 27 276 19 271 22 260 54975 52188 32 259 24 272 14 250 52188 49670 34 253 32 270 16 273 49670 47410 40 258 44 264 34 261 47410 45367 49 265 49 267 40 259 45367 43492 62 269 61 269 47 268 43492 41757 72 264 74 267 66 270 41757 40159 74 260 79 263 83 264 40159 38688 72 261 80 263 85 259 38688 37310 72 263 81 262 83 264 37310 35981 72 263 81 259 90 267 35981 34634 71 262 80 257 95 263 34634 33244 72 263 79 259 98 259 33244 31813 73 262 79 262 99 254 31813 30327 74 263 80 263 95 254 30327 28775 74 264 80 263 94 261 28775 27156 73 263 77 262 96 264 27156 25473 72 261 74 261 95 261 25473 23725 72 259 72 261 95 259 23725 21912 72 259 71 259 91 257 21912 20033 70 259 71 257 84 257 20033 18093 65 260 70 257 68 265 18093 16142 60 259 68 257 46 275 16142 14278 56 258 63 256 29 280 14278 12588 52 256 58 256 22 281 12588 11083 48 255 47 259 21 286 11083 9741 39 256 33 259 19 294 9741 8546 29 255 20 243 13 301 8546 7482 19 254 15 216 10 309 7482 6537 15*255 13 217 10 315 6537 5702 14*257 12 231 13 315 5702 4963 14 259 12 258 17 311 4963 4301 13 261 14*281 20 307 4301 3715 13 263 15*290 21*305 3715 3225 13 264 15 292 20*305 3225 2847 12 265 15 293 19 305 2847 2587 11 266 14 294 17 304 2587 2428 11 266 13 294 15 304 2428 2337 9 266 10 294 9 303 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography