DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Panoche 2275ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1341z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.2 - - 56.7 - - 60.5 - - 57.8 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -35 - - 71 - - 244 - - 0 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1180 - - 3017 - - 2259 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2275 - - 2275 - - 4122 - - 2275 - - 2275 Hcrit BL Top 2291 - - 3455 - - 5292 - - 4534 - - 2291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 45 - - 1626 - - 1895 - - 1923 - - 1677 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 181 - - 370 - - 61 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 22 - - 23 - - 21 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 158 - - 189 - - 187 - - 186 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -12 - - -19 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3883 - - -6528 - - -4313 - - -3625 - - -3673 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6174 - - 9983 - - 9605 - - 8160 - - 5964 sfcLCL ODpotential -12747 - - -12293 - - -9551 - - -8234 - - -6532 ODpotential blCL 15038 - - 15748 - - 14843 - - 12768 - - 8823 blCL maxRH 83 - - 85 - - 88 - - 98 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.2 - - 56.7 - - 60.5 - - 57.8 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.7 - - 21.1 - - 26.2 - - 30.0 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.6 - - 56.5 - - 59.2 - - 57.7 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.7 - - 21.1 - - 26.2 - - 30.0 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -35 - - 71 - - 244 - - 0 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1180 - - 3017 - - 2259 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 39 - - 53 - - 92 - - 105 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74625 21 081 17 078 17 077 17 081 15 088 74625 60992 7 050 8 041 6 088 5 246 2 255 60992 56144 18 320 13 322 11 307 9 299 4 256 56144 52385 23 311 23 297 30 295 28 288 22 269 52385 48023 39 320 39 305 33 296 23 295 13 289 48023 44101 50 316 50 310 46 303 44 286 40 276 44101 43077 56 313 52 308 42 303 39 287 41 275 43077 41976 55 312 51 309 42 299 39 290 39 281 41976 41125 53 311 50 309 43 297 39 291 38 285 41125 40477 52 311 49 307 43 295 41 289 38 288 40477 39884 52 310 47 302 44 291 43 288 39 289 39884 39502 52 307 46 299 46 288 45 289 40 288 39502 39130 49 304 45 298 45 286 46 290 36 288 39130 38848 46 301 44 296 42 285 47 290 30 292 38848 38539 42 298 44 293 41 284 44 290 26 298 38539 38244 38 294 42 289 40 281 43 290 24 305 38244 38014 34 290 39 282 37 276 40 287 22 314 38014 37901 33 289 34 272 37 277 39 286 22 322 37901 33508 29 282 30 272 44 275 38 286 25 275 33508 25617 26 284 35 276 41 278 31 273 43 250 25617 24359 27 286 32 275 30 280 23 247 38 250 24359 21832 26 281 23 276 19 275 20 237 32 250 21832 20588 22 269 20 264 20 256 22 237 32 252 20588 19240 15 257 16 245 24 240 25 237 31 254 19240 17818 11 243 17 236 22 225 28 228 31 256 17818 16378 13 230 18 224 20 217 26 199 29 255 16378 15129 16 218 16 199 16 205 25 186 29 245 15129 13884 12 214 14 185 18 178 24 191 31 224 13884 12690 8 221 11 184 20 183 23 191 32 190 12690 11908 5 204 11 180 19 186 22 187 31 170 11908 10375 4 173 13 179 19 184 23 191 30 169 10375 8980 5 167 15 174 19 178 23 191 28 175 8980 8420 6 164 17 172 22 176 23 192 27 179 8420 7965 9 164 20 171 25 176 26 189 27 184 7965 7517 12 167 22 173 27 176 29 185 27 188 7517 7076 15 172 25 175 27 177 32 182 29 188 7076 6639 18 177 26 177 28 178 34 181 33 187 6639 6208 21 178 28 180 28 180 35 179 35 184 6208 5781 22 179 29 185 28 182 35 178 36 183 5781 5360 22 179 30 189 28*183 32 178 36 183 5360 4942 21 179 31 192 28*185 26*180 35 184 4942 4531 20 178 32 194 26 186 24*183 34 186 4531 4124 19 176 33 196 24 186 23 184 33 187 4124 3723 18 174 32*197 23 187 22 185 31 186 3723 3326 18 172 28*191 22 188 22 187 27 183 3326 2934 18 173 24 189 21 189 21 188 22 181 2934 2676 18 171 22 189 20 190 19 189 19 181 2676 2483 16 165 20 189 18 190 17 189 17 181 2483 2355 9 161 17 189 17 190 15 189 14 181 2355 2291 4*158 13 190 15 190 11 189 10*181 2291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography