DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Panoche 2275ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1031z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 60.5 - - 70.2 - - 69.9 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 380 - - 523 - - 263 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 717 - - 2021 - - 4561 - - 4481 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2275 - - 3523 - - 5579 - - 5258 - - 2275 Hcrit BL Top 2992 - - 4296 - - 6836 - - 6757 - - 2291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 366 - - 972 - - 516 - - 295 - - 805 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 375 - - 547 - - 433 - - 5 W* B/S 3 - - 13 - - 21 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 011 - - 017 - - 001 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -4 - - 18 - - 25 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 701 - - -1285 - - -940 - - -336 - - -1463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2291 - - 5581 - - 7777 - - 7094 - - 3754 sfcLCL ODpotential 411 - - -9447 - - -7325 - - -6237 - - -8665 ODpotential blCL 2581 - - 13743 - - 14161 - - 12994 - - 10956 blCL maxRH 100 - - 77 - - 86 - - 84 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 60.5 - - 70.2 - - 69.9 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.7 - - 43.9 - - 43.8 - - 46.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 58.2 - - 67.4 - - 68.4 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 43.9 - - 43.8 - - 46.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 380 - - 523 - - 263 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 717 - - 2021 - - 4561 - - 4481 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 8 - - 43 - - 35 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 76306 15 246 19 267 15 277 17 308 15 292 76306 61316 25 291 13 315 14 292 20 275 23 298 61316 57750 36 282 33 284 32 283 26 287 22 291 57750 54428 41 274 38 286 34 279 38 279 34 287 54428 51400 44 286 45 292 45 297 42 273 43 283 51400 47824 57 283 57 288 53 289 44 276 47 287 47824 45617 60 283 55 284 49 283 51 279 48 289 45617 42084 64 289 56 290 53 292 53 284 49 294 42084 40232 66 284 61 291 56 292 56 296 51 308 40232 39427 65 281 62 287 55 291 58 301 54 313 39427 38701 61 280 60 285 53 290 59 306 54 317 38701 37942 57 282 54 283 50 291 57 310 52 325 37942 37084 55 286 50 284 45 295 52 312 54 333 37084 35774 54 289 48 284 43 301 42 317 53 336 35774 34343 54 291 44 286 38 313 41 320 48 335 34343 32240 51 292 40 293 36 320 41 326 41 333 32240 29218 46 303 40 294 33 325 36 328 35 336 29218 24814 46 314 37 293 34 327 29 335 31 333 24814 18751 48 323 36 312 32 325 26 335 26 332 18751 17076 47 327 34 319 27 324 21 324 26 329 17076 16145 45 333 34 324 25 326 19 322 23 329 16145 15258 42 339 32 331 25 330 16 323 19 328 15258 14532 39 343 30 336 23 333 13 329 17 331 14532 12764 36 343 28 338 22 334 11 330 15 335 12764 11398 33 339 24 339 20 333 9 336 12 333 11398 10363 30 337 21 339 17 332 9 343 11 341 10363 9420 28 345 19 340 13 329 8 346 10 341 9420 8528 18 340 18 350 10 333 7 345 11 334 8528 7783 14 327 14 329 10 349 6 007 10 326 7783 7476 15 328 14 329 10 347 6 015 8 327 7476 7173 15 335 14 332 9 348 5 018 7 332 7173 6872 16 339 13 337 6*346 5*010 6 346 6872 6575 16 343 12 342 3*321 8*020 6 357 6575 6280 16 345 11 351 3 321 9 018 7 002 6280 5988 15 347 10 357 3 332 10 016 8 005 5988 5699 15 350 9 005 3 346 10 013 9 010 5699 5413 15 352 8 014 3 352 11 010 10 011 5413 5130 15 353 8 021 3 357 11 008 11 013 5130 4848 15 352 7 022 5 006 11 004 12 012 4848 4570 12 347 7*021 5 014 12 002 13 010 4570 4294 10 343 7*023 6 019 12 360 14 008 4294 4019 7 349 7 023 7 022 13 357 15 005 4019 3747 6 360 6 021 7 025 13 356 15 360 3747 3477 6 003 5 012 7 029 13 356 16 356 3477 3209 6*347 5 008 7 031 13 354 17 347 3209 2944 8*308 5 003 7 032 13 352 17 332 2944 2681 7 303 4 001 7 033 13 351 14 325 2681 2486 7 302 4 358 7 034 12 350 12 322 2486 2356 6 300 4 355 6 034 11 349 10 322 2356 2291 5 298 4 354 6 035 9 349 8*323 2291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography