DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/25 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1553z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 60.3 - - 56.1 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 243 - - 137 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1389 - - 2551 - - 2200 - - 982 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1166 - - 2220 - - 1717 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2101 - - 3263 - - 2912 - - 1694 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1059 - - 1591 - - 1422 - - 1469 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 242 - - 351 - - 276 - - 76 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 16 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 282 - - 286 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 499 - - 405 - - 683 - - 143 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1602 - - 2859 - - 2229 - - 1551 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 571 - - 221 - - 579 - - -142 ODpotential blCL - - - 1530 - - 3042 - - 2333 - - 1836 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 60.3 - - 56.1 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.0 - - 50.4 - - 49.0 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 58.9 - - 55.3 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 49.3 - - 48.4 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 243 - - 137 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1389 - - 2551 - - 2200 - - 982 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 84 - - 96 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98117 24 270 25 282 25 289 23 281 98117 90685 9 254 17 289 19 296 15 304 90685 84952 3 186 7 254 14 291 11 340 84952 80214 6 090 7 157 5 238 10 352 80214 76157 6 084 7 134 2 111 9 037 76157 72564 6 128 7 139 5 160 4 062 72564 69299 6 187 5 207 2 231 3 311 69299 66283 8 229 8 242 6 249 8 270 66283 63478 15 230 15 235 11 250 12 268 63478 60751 19 236 20 243 14 257 15 273 60751 57887 21 251 22 253 17 272 22 283 57887 54908 24 262 25 266 26 279 29 277 54908 52070 23 275 26 281 26 288 26 291 52070 49527 26 290 35 293 35 303 34 299 49527 47259 29 297 34 289 38 305 40 303 47259 45216 26 307 37 309 45 307 51 297 45216 43363 40 321 46 316 53 308 52 294 43363 41666 46 319 52 312 56 315 54 303 41666 40100 49 329 57 320 66 312 69 315 40100 38640 63 333 65 321 69 309 86 314 38640 37267 65 333 65 319 74 315 96 305 37267 35941 63 334 65 321 79 317 80 291 35941 34592 63 335 67 324 77 315 85 292 34592 33191 62 333 68 325 75 314 92 300 33191 31741 63 332 65 325 74 311 100 308 31741 30228 57 333 65 324 72 310 93 308 30228 28643 52 330 62 326 68 311 83 304 28643 26981 54 327 56 319 65 308 82 300 26981 25235 55 329 56 317 64 309 75 297 25235 23411 47 331 54 324 56 311 63 298 23411 21514 38 326 43 324 51 312 54 298 21514 19536 32 322 36 319 44 317 47 299 19536 17479 25 326 27 310 34 313 39 300 17479 15387 19 330 23 303 26 305 33 303 15387 13374 14 330 18 307 22 302 29 303 13374 11547 13 324 16 314 21 309 26 305 11547 9926 14 325 17 319 20 315 22 310 9926 8487 14 330 16 325 19 319 21 314 8487 7208 14 331 14 330 19 321 21 312 7208 6075 14 327 14 332 19 320 20 310 6075 5075 13 322 12 324 18 316 20 309 5075 4198 12 314 11 310 15 303 23 309 4198 3428 11 301 11*305 15*297 25 306 3428 2742 10 282 11*291 16*291 23 302 2742 2137 11*266 12 285 17 288 20*294 2137 1634 10*261 12 281 17 286 18*287 1634 1248 10 260 12 279 16 284 16 284 1248 982 10 258 11 278 15 283 14 282 982 821 9 257 10 277 14 282 12 280 821 728 7 257 9 276 11 281 8 278 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography