DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 MtDiablo 655ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1031z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1901z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.1 - - 64.5 - - 72.4 - - 69.7 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 400 - - 526 - - 283 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2086 - - 4310 - - 1731 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 655 - - 1952 - - 3749 - - 1601 - - 655 Hcrit BL Top 671 - - 2740 - - 4965 - - 2386 - - 671 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1119 - - 1070 - - 1156 - - 2658 - - 660 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 380 - - 531 - - 319 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 16 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 289 - - 331 - - 311 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -216 - - -935 - - -535 - - -2527 - - -2084 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 887 - - 3675 - - 5501 - - 4913 - - 2755 sfcLCL ODpotential -3511 - - -2340 - - -4929 - - -7778 - - -10112 ODpotential blCL 4182 - - 5080 - - 9894 - - 10164 - - 10783 blCL maxRH 100 - - 87 - - 76 - - 67 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.1 - - 64.5 - - 72.4 - - 69.7 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.5 - - 50.6 - - 50.4 - - 50.4 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 62.4 - - 69.6 - - 68.3 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.4 - - 50.6 - - 50.4 - - 50.4 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 400 - - 526 - - 283 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2086 - - 4310 - - 1731 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 49 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 75754 14 334 20 337 21 322 20 311 17 323 75754 62044 22 301 18 306 20 283 32 309 27 289 62044 57225 32 290 28 295 25 301 24 278 30 282 57225 54031 45 294 41 292 39 297 37 297 35 293 54031 50938 40 295 43 299 44 294 43 289 39 291 50938 46856 55 300 48 301 43 292 43 289 39 301 46856 44618 55 297 52 306 50 304 49 304 45 312 44618 42809 54 298 56 306 56 303 57 310 48 317 42809 41460 50 303 57 303 55 303 60 311 49 321 41460 40589 50 307 56 303 52 306 59 312 51 325 40589 39775 49 310 52 305 50 313 56 313 53 329 39775 39017 49 314 49 309 51 317 52 314 54 333 39017 38061 49 315 47 314 47 317 46 321 57 338 38061 36620 48 314 46 319 46 327 44 332 60 340 36620 34535 46 317 44 324 43 335 42 333 57 342 34535 32333 46 322 43 325 43 338 40 332 49 337 32333 30287 47 323 39 327 37 339 36 334 43 333 30287 25033 48 326 40 331 36 339 32 343 35 337 25033 19418 50 328 39 325 35 332 31 339 27 346 19418 16885 46 326 37 330 30 327 26 332 23 346 16885 16178 46 330 36 331 28 329 23 327 20 344 16178 15433 43 337 36 333 25 332 18 324 19 343 15433 14553 42 341 35 336 23 336 16 323 18 341 14553 13346 39 342 32 338 22 341 13 334 17 338 13346 12117 36 340 30 340 21 341 12 346 14 340 12117 11077 32 339 27 341 19 338 12 354 12 346 11077 10084 31 341 23 341 17 334 14 003 12 359 10084 9084 30 348 20 344 13 331 12 006 10 016 9084 7836 25 356 16 354 9 331 9 345 8 009 7836 6651 19 353 14 355 6 324 10 327 9 358 6651 6009 15 360 12 348 6 334 8 327 7 013 6009 5607 13 001 10 352 3 339 5 352 8 022 5607 5285 11 006 9 358 3*017 5 021 8 025 5285 4967 11 013 9 002 3*037 7 034 9 025 4967 4652 11 014 9 007 4 033 8 039 9 022 4652 4340 12 013 9 012 5 025 8 037 8 016 4340 4031 13 011 10 017 6 022 9 030 8 008 4031 3724 12 010 10 020 6 016 9 022 8 360 3724 3420 10 008 10 020 6 002 9 016 9 352 3420 3119 7 007 10 021 6 347 9 008 10 346 3119 2820 3 022 9*015 7 337 10 358 11 341 2820 2524 1 094 5*341 7 327 10*346 12 335 2524 2231 2 245 6 300 8 321 11*333 13 329 2231 1940 5 264 7 291 9 314 13 323 15 326 1940 1652 6 265 7 288 9 310 14 315 18 324 1652 1368 7 255 8 284 10 307 14 309 18 321 1368 1087 6 248 7 283 10 304 14 305 12 309 1087 878 5 238 7 280 10 301 14 303 9 301 878 740 4*236 7 278 10 300 13 301 7*298 740 671 3*234 6 277 9 299 11 300 5*295 671 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography