DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 59.4 - - - - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 280 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2919 - - 4322 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1771 - - 3609 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3631 - - 5034 - - - - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2956 - - 2281 - - - - - 4227 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 440 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 261 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1095 - - 598 - - - - - -1165 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2536 - - 4436 - - - - - 1893 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7 - - -113 - - - - - -1362 ODpotential blCL - - - 3638 - - 5147 - - - - - 2090 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 85 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 40 - - - - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 59.4 - - - - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.4 - - 42.4 - - - - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 57.9 - - - - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 41.2 - - - - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 280 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2919 - - 4322 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 42 - - - - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97944 18 257 19 261 7 303 97944 90526 7 262 17 251 8 269 90526 84849 3 220 8 249 6 282 84849 80140 7 184 4 317 2 041 80140 76069 7 118 1 074 3 056 76069 72463 10 040 7 084 4 048 72463 69198 1 012 5 047 5 016 69198 66201 3 271 5 263 5 003 66201 63412 3 292 14 238 6 357 63412 60692 16 296 14 271 20 290 60692 57862 23 262 18 284 26 272 57862 54942 20 269 20 272 22 249 54942 52142 31 278 23 268 17 237 52142 49597 40 259 27 280 19 264 49597 47296 43 261 40 273 20 267 47296 45196 52 262 49 261 42 284 45196 43288 58 266 60 269 61 273 43288 41545 74 269 76 271 66 263 41545 39929 86 267 90 266 67 264 39929 38413 90 263 97 259 74 265 38413 36989 91 260 94 256 83 265 36989 35619 91 258 92 257 90 263 35619 34235 90 257 97 260 94 261 34235 32804 89 257 100 259 98 261 32804 31330 91 258 101 258 100 259 31330 29800 92 257 101 259 100 257 29800 28201 91 257 101 261 101 257 28201 26529 89 257 100 261 98 258 26529 24787 88 259 99 259 85 262 24787 22984 86 261 96 257 66 268 22984 21128 85 261 92 253 48 275 21128 19208 85 258 88 256 42 280 19208 17209 82 256 64 269 38 281 17209 15170 70 259 39 280 31 286 15170 13204 49 262 28 285 27 294 13204 11410 34 270 23 291 24 296 11410 9813 25 278 22 297 20 299 9813 8395 19 265 19 304 18 296 8395 7138 17 250 10 290 18 298 7138 6028 17 249 9 259 14 300 6028 5046 17 257 11*255 12 283 5046 4184 16*264 13*257 15 272 4184 3422 15*266 14 259 16 272 3422 2741 15 266 14 260 16 273 2741 2138 14 265 14 261 16 274 2138 1635 13 263 14 262 16 274 1635 1248 13 261 14 262 15 274 1248 982 12 261 13 263 13 274 982 821 11 260 12 263 11 273 821 728 8 259 10 263 8*273 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography