DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 MtDiablo 655ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1341z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.2 - - 53.1 - - 64.7 - - 62.0 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -50 - - 24 - - 123 - - -27 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 98 - - 2768 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 655 - - 655 - - 1990 - - 655 - - 655 Hcrit BL Top 671 - - 752 - - 3423 - - 671 - - 671 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 57 - - 454 - - 2029 - - 3731 - - 388 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 56 - - 286 - - 13 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 15 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 084 - - 112 - - 178 - - 172 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2974 - - -5154 - - -4819 - - -6307 - - -4224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3645 - - 5907 - - 8243 - - 6978 - - 4895 sfcLCL ODpotential -13045 - - -12735 - - -10355 - - -10756 - - -7940 ODpotential blCL 13716 - - 13487 - - 13778 - - 11427 - - 8611 blCL maxRH 45 - - 40 - - 88 - - 37 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.2 - - 53.1 - - 64.7 - - 62.0 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 30.0 - - 30.7 - - 33.7 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.6 - - 53.0 - - 63.9 - - 62.3 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 30.0 - - 30.7 - - 33.7 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -50 - - 24 - - 123 - - -27 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 98 - - 2768 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 53 - - 0 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74865 20 083 18 077 22 080 22 081 18 096 74865 60257 9 036 5 035 6 038 4 245 4 357 60257 55933 14 304 9 312 10 283 10 290 4 308 55933 51816 20 308 21 295 24 293 23 286 19 261 51816 47799 38 312 35 298 30 292 21 288 6 265 47799 43689 45 311 43 302 42 297 40 283 35 273 43689 42716 50 308 45 300 38 294 36 283 37 270 42716 41793 47 306 44 301 37 289 34 282 35 271 41793 41081 45 306 43 302 36 288 34 281 33 273 41081 40506 43 307 42 302 36 288 36 279 32 274 40506 39866 42 307 41 298 37 285 36 278 29 275 39866 39693 41 306 40 296 40 281 36 278 26 275 39693 39047 41 304 39 295 40 279 37 278 22 277 39047 38917 41 301 38 293 37 279 39 280 20 279 38917 38839 36 297 39 290 33 280 38 280 19 280 38839 38790 29 299 37 286 30 279 38 277 16 283 38790 38735 29 287 35 280 30 272 37 270 13 290 38735 38625 30 282 32 265 28 267 37 271 11 297 38625 31677 27 265 26 259 24 268 39 269 33 247 31677 25982 25 269 25 263 31 276 30 260 45 243 25982 25005 23 273 25 264 25 264 17 246 41 240 25005 21880 21 270 22 257 16 249 15 231 34 236 21880 20849 18 260 20 243 14 232 20 220 31 235 20849 19337 14 229 20 223 16 222 24 219 30 235 19337 17898 14 213 21 212 19 206 29 213 30 235 17898 16362 14 209 22 202 21 200 31 193 31 234 16362 15099 17 203 23 184 24 201 31 179 31 233 15099 13792 16 208 23 182 25 182 32 177 31 225 13792 12426 12 208 18 188 24 174 31 175 33 198 12426 11527 11 186 18 176 25 183 27 184 36 169 11527 10361 12 163 19 171 25 183 25 185 36 162 10361 8437 12 163 21 168 27 175 26 186 33 165 8437 7450 13 167 22 169 29 172 28 186 31 171 7450 6815 14 174 23 171 29 173 29 186 30 177 6815 6328 15 179 24 173 29 174 30 186 30 182 6328 5847 17 184 25 176 29 177 30 185 30 187 5847 5373 18 185 26 179 28 180 30 184 31 190 5373 4905 18 187 27 181 28 182 30 181 32 190 4905 4443 19 186 27 183 28 184 29 178 32 190 4443 3987 19 184 27 184 27 184 29 173 31 188 3987 3536 19 182 27 185 26*184 27 169 31 185 3536 3091 19 179 27 184 21*179 24 167 31 183 3091 2651 19 178 26 184 18 176 21 165 30 181 2651 2217 18 174 26 181 16 176 18 167 28 180 2217 1787 18 169 25 174 15 178 16 169 27 177 1787 1364 19 162 20 157 14 179 14 171 24 170 1364 1084 19 151 13 135 12 180 12 173 18 162 1084 877 15 122 9*122 11 181 10 174 13 155 877 740 11*097 8*115 9 182 7*175 10*151 740 671 6*084 5 110 7 182 5*172 6*148 671 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography