DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/30 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.8 - - 63.2 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 102 - - 22 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2591 - - 1946 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2384 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3791 - - 3146 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2323 - - 2638 - - 4772 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 276 - - 165 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 11 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 223 - - 222 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1004 - - 319 - - -661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2787 - - 2828 - - 1895 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 108 - - -1261 - - -2051 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3683 - - 4407 - - 3285 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 100 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.8 - - 63.2 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.4 - - 54.6 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.5 - - 63.2 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.3 - - 53.5 - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 102 - - 22 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2591 - - 1946 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 94 - - 85 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98667 15 125 4 089 11 086 98667 91115 9 104 4 172 8 085 91115 85279 8 109 4 185 6 065 85279 80444 8 078 6 087 2 080 80444 76292 9 321 3 024 3 289 76292 72632 3 268 2 294 9 271 72632 69324 6 284 2 140 4 270 69324 66270 9 250 7 264 10 268 66270 63432 8 255 14 251 18 259 63432 60685 21 254 20 247 21 238 60685 57816 28 249 24 246 19 237 57816 54827 33 246 26 240 24 239 54827 51972 36 245 27 239 30 231 51972 49412 37 241 33 239 33 231 49412 47126 38 239 39 229 37 231 47126 45060 39 235 41 225 40 232 45060 43180 47 230 43 229 39 223 43180 41460 53 225 49 228 34 232 41460 39874 59 226 68 228 67 225 39874 38411 67 222 72 223 65 215 38411 37058 71 216 67 221 66 205 37058 35759 67 214 68 223 63 211 35759 34437 64 220 62 225 62 217 34437 33061 59 225 56 222 59 220 33061 31637 54 229 56 223 53 219 31637 30149 53 233 54 224 50 215 30149 28587 53 237 51 226 42 214 28587 26950 54 240 50 229 37 218 26950 25238 55 244 40 235 39 221 25238 23456 53 248 40 236 42 221 23456 21612 46 249 35 237 40 216 21612 19696 47 246 32 231 36 212 19696 17698 48 244 32 228 34 215 17698 15662 43 244 32 241 30 224 15662 13700 37 241 29 244 26 231 13700 11918 31 248 24 245 21 240 11918 10336 25 259 18 241 16 257 10336 8934 20 253 15 222 15 254 8934 7690 19 242 16 217 16 242 7690 6587 20 240 19 227 18 240 6587 5607 19 236 20 235 19 238 5607 4741 19 231 20 236 18 233 4741 3973 18*226 19 234 17 226 3973 3282 18*225 17*227 16 218 3282 2670 18 223 14*222 14 213 2670 2159 17 222 13 222 11 207 2159 1765 16 222 12 222 8 200 1765 1493 15 221 10 222 6 190 1493 1328 13 221 8 222 4*176 1328 1234 9 220 6 221 2*152 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography