DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/22 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0705z - - 1005z - - 1347z - - 1607z - - 1905z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.0 - - 71.1 - - 73.9 - - 69.8 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 60 - - 186 - - 187 - - 105 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 980 - - 3114 - - 4695 - - 2448 - - 490 BL Depth Hcrit 1174 - - 3025 - - 4252 - - 2254 - - 1174 Hcrit BL Top 2180 - - 4314 - - 5895 - - 3648 - - 1690 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 878 - - 2657 - - 2041 - - 2180 - - 2394 Hgt.Variab. W* 163 - - 347 - - 412 - - 267 - - 66 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 14 - - 10 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 165 - - 167 - - 168 - - 156 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 14 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -4 - - 18 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 350 - - 503 - - 1334 - - 320 - - 223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1830 - - 3811 - - 4561 - - 3328 - - 1467 sfcLCL ODpotential 115 - - -805 - - 895 - - -398 - - -436 ODpotential blCL 2065 - - 5119 - - 5000 - - 4046 - - 2126 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 300 - - 500 - - 380 - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m 63.0 - - 71.1 - - 73.9 - - 69.8 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.9 - - 58.2 - - 57.7 - - 59.0 - - 61.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.9 - - 70.0 - - 72.9 - - 69.2 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.2 - - 58.5 - - 58.0 - - 59.3 - - 62.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 60 - - 186 - - 187 - - 105 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 980 - - 3114 - - 4695 - - 2448 - - 490 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98337 15 177 9 229 7 179 7 100 8 231 98337 91119 9 164 6 205 6 178 3 084 6 263 91119 85496 7 216 3 106 2 102 2 128 4 298 85496 80824 8 223 7 052 3 055 3 185 3 316 80824 76792 6 224 8 028 4 038 2 161 5 290 76792 73228 3 212 5 357 4 014 3 102 5 270 73228 69985 2 215 4 293 5 331 3 039 3 287 69985 66991 3 284 5 272 7 315 5 310 3 004 66991 64230 5 295 8 260 7 308 8 284 2 306 64230 61646 4 290 10 260 9 291 8 269 5 251 61646 58875 4 281 11 263 15 263 13 246 12 230 58875 55862 10 274 14 259 23 248 21 237 20 231 55862 53024 15 271 18 258 29 240 27 234 27 235 53024 50501 19 266 19 254 30 236 31 234 31 237 50501 48225 20 255 19 247 29 233 33 234 34 234 48225 46157 21 231 21 237 27 231 34 236 35 227 46157 44279 24 218 24 219 24 232 33 238 35 222 44279 42575 28 210 27 199 21 235 32 240 34 224 42575 41022 32 202 28 194 21 234 28 239 32 229 41022 39587 34 195 29 191 22 218 24 229 31 236 39587 38241 33 192 31 184 26 202 24 218 30 238 38241 36967 32 189 31 182 28 196 24 216 28 236 36967 35645 33 188 30 189 27 199 25 220 25 235 35645 34252 33 189 29 199 27 203 25 226 22 237 34252 32825 30 191 30 203 26 203 25 233 19 242 32825 31314 27 195 29 204 24 204 25 233 18 250 31314 29717 26 197 26 199 22 207 26 229 19 257 29717 28037 24 201 20 188 19 209 25 224 20 257 28037 26272 22 209 16 193 18 211 23 227 19 245 26272 24422 20 212 17 210 16 217 20 234 18 232 24422 22501 17 207 18 223 14 222 16 241 14 229 22501 20495 14 209 16 228 11 230 13 250 9 248 20495 18397 14 206 12 231 9 239 10 261 9 272 18397 16220 16 204 9 245 8 242 7 255 11 279 16220 14122 20 198 9 240 6 238 8 238 14 276 14122 12252 22 191 9 215 6 197 10 224 14 269 12252 10595 21 192 9 187 9 172 11 213 11 265 10595 9125 18 196 9 175 11 169 10 212 8 270 9125 7821 16 200 11 171 12 175 10 216 6 279 7821 6665 16 202 14 172 13*180 9 213 3 277 6665 5642 17 200 17 175 13*177 8 203 2 195 5642 4744 18 196 20*174 11 169 10 187 4 153 4744 3960 18 197 20*176 10 164 12*174 5 139 3960 3253 19 198 16 170 10 165 13*164 6 133 3253 2618 20*191 13 164 10 167 11 154 6 134 2618 2095 20*172 12 163 9 167 11 154 6 130 2095 1693 17 164 12 162 9 168 10 155 6*125 1693 1423 15 163 11 162 8 168 9 156 5*109 1423 1268 12 162 10 161 8 167 8 156 3 101 1268 1191 8 162 7 161 6 168 5 156 2 101 1191 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography