DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 63.9 - - 70.6 - - 70.4 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 65 - - 476 - - 454 - - 58 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 540 - - 3496 - - 5134 - - 4072 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7303 - - 8585 - - 6492 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5389 - - 8345 - - 9983 - - 8921 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1418 - - 951 - - 1188 - - 2222 - - 252 Hgt.Variab. W* 137 - - 496 - - 556 - - 259 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 16 - - 18 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 214 - - 223 - - 212 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -10 - - -10 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8835 - - -8382 - - -7473 - - -8599 - - -10235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14225 - - 16728 - - 17457 - - 17521 - - 15389 sfcLCL ODpotential -17534 - - -14807 - - -12192 - - -13197 - - -17615 ODpotential blCL 22923 - - 23152 - - 22175 - - 22118 - - 22769 blCL maxRH 49 - - 41 - - 44 - - 58 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 63.9 - - 70.6 - - 70.4 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.8 - - 8.6 - - 11.6 - - 11.3 - - 9.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 61.0 - - 67.8 - - 69.7 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.7 - - 8.3 - - 11.3 - - 11.3 - - 9.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 65 - - 476 - - 454 - - 58 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 540 - - 3496 - - 5134 - - 4072 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97243 20 298 17 291 23 310 31 318 20 322 97243 90036 18 351 11 355 8 352 14 326 24 345 90036 84491 11 042 6 055 4 027 6 020 6 014 84491 79811 5 095 9 143 4 212 2 102 4 120 79811 75720 4 227 3 284 1 206 4 170 10 198 75720 72094 18 215 16 240 13 228 7 237 11 222 72094 68836 23 252 20 260 20 249 17 247 9 237 68836 65874 23 257 25 259 29 258 25 252 19 268 65874 63161 25 259 29 260 36 259 41 259 34 268 63161 60571 36 267 41 265 45 263 54 262 46 266 60571 57881 52 270 56 267 58 266 63 263 60 265 57881 55084 64 271 66 266 65 266 69 264 69 261 55084 52401 69 274 69 272 71 271 75 269 74 263 52401 49975 76 279 77 277 84 274 82 274 81 270 49975 47796 85 280 87 278 89 275 89 276 88 274 47796 45814 89 279 91 278 92 277 94 277 94 276 45814 43992 91 279 94 280 94 282 96 280 99 280 43992 42309 88 283 89 283 88 284 92 283 97 282 42309 40747 85 287 83 284 75 282 79 283 89 283 40747 39296 81 291 75 290 70 284 68 280 81 283 39296 37942 77 295 72 293 71 283 64 278 76 283 37942 36648 72 293 73 293 73 281 65 278 72 283 36648 35344 66 288 74 293 74 280 67 276 69 280 35344 34001 57 283 72 292 73 282 68 276 69 276 34001 32625 55 282 70 291 69 285 67 279 68 274 32625 31206 55 283 67 290 65 286 64 283 64 275 31206 29739 54 285 57 292 61 286 60 286 59 277 29739 28223 51 286 45 290 53 283 57 287 56 279 28223 26660 46 285 42 288 45 278 54 285 52 280 26660 25054 42 280 41 287 40 276 49 281 48 279 25054 23408 39 277 35 281 36 275 44 279 42 278 23408 21720 35 275 33 278 31 273 37 281 35 277 21720 19981 31 274 30 278 27 275 30 284 29 274 19981 18222 27 275 27 277 24 277 25 285 26 271 18222 16530 24 278 23 276 23 277 23 284 26 271 16530 14986 20 280 20 273 21 275 20 278 27 271 14986 13604 18 282 17 269 20 270 19 271 26 271 13604 12364 17 283 17 261 21 256 19 260 23 270 12364 11247 16 279 17 254 23 243 20 241 20 266 11247 10242 14 267 18 246 19*231 19 222 18 253 10242 9339 12 249 18 237 19*227 19*215 20 225 9339 8531 11 229 16*223 18 225 18*214 22 206 8531 7807 11 216 16*216 18 224 18 213 20 194 7807 7150 12 207 16 214 18 222 18 212 21 182 7150 6561 14 199 16 214 18 221 18 212 22 171 6561 6064 15 191 16 214 17 220 17 212 22 163 6064 5678 14 188 15 213 17 220 17 212 19 161 5678 5411 11*187 15 213 16 219 16 211 14 162 5411 5248 8*189 14 213 15 219 15 212 8*161 5248 5154 6 191 12 213 13 219 12 211 4*157 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography