DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1040z - - 1340z - - 1609z - - 1908z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.4 - - 85.0 - - 91.8 - - 83.4 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 115 - - 393 - - 394 - - -5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 886 - - 4626 - - 10485 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5034 - - 8136 - - 12854 - - 5034 - - 5034 Hcrit BL Top 5735 - - 9475 - - 15334 - - 5051 - - 5051 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 831 - - 4151 - - 2019 - - 10412 - - 654 Hgt.Variab. W* 197 - - 514 - - 675 - - 30 - - 24 W* B/S 3 - - 13 - - 23 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 239 - - 237 - - 351 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -10 - - 8 - - -2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -461 - - -2366 - - 976 - - -6131 - - -2835 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6196 - - 11842 - - 14359 - - 11182 - - 7887 sfcLCL ODpotential -4377 - - -6296 - - -1082 - - -7951 - - -5722 ODpotential blCL 10112 - - 15771 - - 16416 - - 13002 - - 10773 blCL maxRH 78 - - 75 - - 87 - - 99 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 7 - - 0 - - 15 - - 88 - - 125 CAPE Temp@2m 70.4 - - 85.0 - - 91.8 - - 83.4 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.9 - - 50.1 - - 45.6 - - 51.5 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.2 - - 82.1 - - 88.7 - - 83.3 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.9 - - 50.1 - - 45.6 - - 51.5 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 115 - - 393 - - 394 - - -5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 886 - - 4626 - - 10485 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 1 - - 48 - - 96 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 7 - - 6 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 71715 15 092 21 102 16 110 12 109 14 113 71715 64241 24 086 12 090 18 070 26 103 20 104 64241 59650 17 071 13 090 15 136 10 044 18 088 59650 57222 23 163 3 294 7 173 7 160 13 359 57222 54994 19 175 7 183 9 181 13 155 0 155 54994 53341 18 156 20 180 19 206 9 198 5 169 53341 50803 7 144 11 196 17 199 11 173 12 169 50803 47616 12 249 12 245 16 199 13 174 9 207 47616 44592 20 244 17 247 19 222 13 221 14 250 44592 41619 23 233 22 243 23 232 18 229 19 246 41619 37203 23 229 23 230 22 236 18 237 22 258 37203 32551 23 247 20 236 23 242 20 246 20 256 32551 29380 19 226 23 235 22 236 21 241 14 230 29380 26132 20 234 19 251 19 232 21 238 14 222 26132 24663 13 267 16 238 21 213 25 228 21 224 24663 23375 12 292 17 236 21 214 23 230 22 225 23375 21209 11 260 17 232 19 211 22 230 21 239 21209 19782 17 213 19 232 17 220 20 228 18 252 19782 16539 6 241 21 226 19 223 17 239 19 252 16539 13398 7 267 7 238 15*222 14 230 15 232 13398 13205 7 293 5 277 9*252 3 239 16 229 13205 11890 6 299 2 226 4 237 2 036 9 245 11890 11609 7 292 2 212 4 237 2 039 8 255 11609 11329 7 284 2 196 3 234 2 042 8 268 11329 11051 7 277 2 157 3 231 2 050 8 280 11051 10775 7 270 3 139 3 231 2 046 7 284 10775 10502 7 263 4 129 3 228 2 046 7 288 10502 10230 6 255 5 127 4 228 2 046 7 290 10230 9960 6 246 6 132 4 234 2 042 6 292 9960 9693 7 237 6*135 5 235 2 042 5 292 9693 9427 8 232 5*143 5 239 2 037 5 294 9427 9163 10 233 4 165 6 242 2 037 5 291 9163 8900 11 235 4 200 6 245 2 037 4 292 8900 8640 12 236 5 226 7 247 2 033 3 288 8640 8381 14 239 7 238 7 250 2 028 1 287 8381 8124 15 241 9 246 7 253 2 025 0 181 8124 7868 16 244 9 249 8 253 2 020 2 125 7868 7615 17 247 9 250 7 253 2 012 4 120 7615 7363 18 248 9 250 7 249 2 011 6 119 7363 7113 18 248 9 250 7 245 2 011 8 118 7113 6864 19 247 9 249 7 238 2 006 9 118 6864 6617 19 244 9 247 8 229 2 006 11 119 6617 6372 19 238 9 244 8 218 3 006 12 119 6372 6128 20 229 7 238 6 198 3 001 13 120 6128 5886 19*220 7 237 6 199 3 001 14 119 5886 5645 15*213 7 237 6 199 3 357 14 120 5645 5406 12 215 7 237 6 200 3 357 14 122 5406 5228 11 216 6 236 5 200 3 353 10 127 5228 5110 10 218 6 236 5 200 3*353 7*131 5110 5051 9 218 6 237 5 198 2*351 5*131 5051 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography