DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1013z - - 1348z - - 1613z - - 1911z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.9 - - 48.6 - - 55.1 - - 50.3 - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 301 - - 290 - - -23 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 379 - - 1622 - - 3376 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5034 - - 5765 - - 7057 - - 5034 - - 5034 Hcrit BL Top 5228 - - 6471 - - 8225 - - 5051 - - 5051 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 588 - - 826 - - 763 - - 2379 - - 456 Hgt.Variab. W* 101 - - 331 - - 417 - - 22 - - 16 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 189 - - 197 - - 208 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2011 - - -2505 - - -1474 - - -3153 - - -1339 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7239 - - 8977 - - 9700 - - 8205 - - 6391 sfcLCL ODpotential -10931 - - -7050 - - -4433 - - -7174 - - -7267 ODpotential blCL 16159 - - 13521 - - 12658 - - 12225 - - 12318 blCL maxRH 83 - - 74 - - 71 - - 62 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.9 - - 48.6 - - 55.1 - - 50.3 - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.4 - - 27.1 - - 30.1 - - 32.0 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.1 - - 46.3 - - 53.0 - - 50.2 - - 42.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.4 - - 27.1 - - 30.1 - - 32.0 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 301 - - 290 - - -23 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 379 - - 1622 - - 3376 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74866 25 261 26 256 26 271 31 267 34 272 74866 61747 35 245 26 241 26 229 20 230 19 250 61747 56316 31 198 28 193 39 202 36 214 31 221 56316 51850 28 234 24 233 26 231 25 252 20 252 51850 47976 35 238 40 243 34 246 20 244 22 237 47976 44953 34 239 35 249 37 254 29 270 34 270 44953 43958 36 232 40 245 40 257 34 268 39 267 43958 42884 31 243 34 251 36 255 26 259 40 262 42884 41965 33 249 33 260 31 256 22 259 39 258 41965 41351 38 250 36 263 33 257 21 269 37 263 41351 41021 42 250 38 263 35 256 29 280 38 265 41021 40764 46 249 38 259 34 254 36 283 38 267 40764 40458 51 247 35 257 29 252 41 284 37 268 40458 39995 43 245 31 258 28 256 42 283 35 266 39995 39431 37 247 29 264 28 260 38 292 36 266 39431 38929 35 245 29 249 28 272 41 293 39 268 38929 38351 37 246 32 240 28 280 46 295 42 271 38351 37271 35 245 31 244 25 285 48 298 43 275 37271 35474 32 246 28 253 38 321 49 301 43 278 35474 30819 25 252 24 265 38 316 44 301 40 283 30819 27534 24 250 18 283 28 292 38 288 41 288 27534 23681 26 255 19 286 25 284 35 280 40 289 23681 21873 29 260 23 283 23 279 32 279 36 282 21873 20300 28 264 24 278 22 276 28 274 31 274 20300 18167 27 264 22 275 21 266 24 264 30 272 18167 16464 27 263 23 270 20 265 22 258 29 275 16464 14972 25 258 24 269 22 263 22 261 34 279 14972 13209 13 245 17 257 22 260 22 268 34 281 13209 12005 11 246 16 248 19 256 21 258 31 284 12005 11593 11 248 16 246 18 254 21 257 29 286 11593 11187 10 251 15 243 18 254 21 255 27 287 11187 10785 9 256 15 240 18 254 21 254 25 287 10785 10387 9 257 14 240 18 249 22 253 24 286 10387 9994 10 257 14 241 18 244 22 253 23 284 9994 9605 11 254 14 242 18 239 22 254 21 282 9605 9220 12 252 15 242 17 234 21 254 20 280 9220 8840 11 247 17 240 17 232 21 254 19 280 8840 8463 10 240 18 238 16*231 21 254 18 281 8463 8091 9 232 19 237 13*224 21 252 15 281 8091 7722 8 226 19 236 11 194 20 250 12 278 7722 7359 7 224 18 235 11 193 16 240 11 258 7359 6999 7 222 15 228 11 193 14 223 14 235 6999 6644 8 211 15*226 11 194 14 212 16 219 6644 6294 7 180 9*188 11 194 14 210 16 204 6294 5948 7 143 9 189 11 195 14 209 19 185 5948 5608 6 114 8 189 11 196 13 208 23 163 5608 5383 5*089 8 188 10 196 13 207 18 164 5383 5217 4*076 7 189 10 197 12 208 14 166 5217 5106 4 074 7 189 9 197 10*207 11*168 5106 5051 4 073 6 188 8 197 8*208 8*170 5051 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography