DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 86.3 - - - - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 519 - - 431 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10443 - - 13059 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12961 - - 15018 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15292 - - 17908 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2028 - - 2378 - - - - - 333 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 736 - - 746 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 291 - - - - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2810 - - -618 - - - - - -10274 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18102 - - 18527 - - - - - 15430 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5979 - - -1565 - - - - - -13791 ODpotential blCL - - - 21271 - - 19473 - - - - - 18946 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 97 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 86.3 - - - - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.5 - - 21.5 - - - - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.9 - - 83.3 - - - - - 77.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.4 - - 21.4 - - - - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 519 - - 431 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10443 - - 13059 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 87 - - - - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98188 11 289 25 281 15 285 98188 90683 13 256 17 278 15 328 90683 84891 10 211 5 252 10 355 84891 80108 6 138 7 147 0 036 80108 76021 8 073 10 113 5 136 76021 72439 7 090 10 079 12 108 72439 69224 3 099 5 088 9 134 69224 66293 8 153 6 174 6 145 66293 63583 7 146 8 215 3 227 63583 60950 5 165 8 201 3 176 60950 58204 6 260 9 244 10 266 58204 55359 18 258 20 278 18 257 55359 52642 23 272 27 270 29 267 52642 50202 29 277 33 279 35 281 50202 48026 34 281 37 286 42 290 48026 46070 40 296 48 298 51 304 46070 44297 43 304 57 302 69 311 44297 42657 52 315 77 312 90 313 42657 41118 78 318 95 313 85 308 41118 39669 94 317 95 311 80 300 39669 38305 96 316 90 311 75 297 38305 36990 86 312 85 311 71 297 36990 35664 61 300 81 309 64 296 35664 34302 49 292 77 312 54 295 34302 32908 49 294 72 317 50 295 32908 31472 50 299 62 308 50 294 31472 29984 49 300 51 303 44 299 29984 28446 47 295 42 309 41 301 28446 26864 39 290 37 315 36 298 26864 25248 33 284 38 308 28 295 25248 23597 33 287 39 295 26 297 23597 21897 31 292 33 292 25 304 21897 20146 28 301 28 299 24 312 20146 18379 26 305 22*305 28 302 18379 16681 20*311 17*300 31 291 16681 15133 15*313 16 298 30 284 15133 13745 14 312 16 296 27 282 13745 12497 14 311 16 295 25 282 12497 11371 13 309 15 292 23 283 11371 10354 12 296 15 290 23 285 10354 9438 12 287 15 288 22 287 9438 8616 12 283 15 287 22 288 8616 7877 12 281 15 285 22 289 7877 7204 12 279 15 284 22 290 7204 6601 12 278 14 283 21 291 6601 6090 11 276 14 282 20 291 6090 5694 11 276 14 282 17 290 5694 5419 11 275 14 282 13 287 5419 5251 10 275 13 282 10 283 5251 5155 9 275 12 282 6*278 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography