DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0727z - - 1036z - - 1337z - - 1604z - - 1904z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.1 - - 58.5 - - 66.8 - - 68.4 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 174 - - 306 - - 159 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1954 - - 4032 - - 4373 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 952 - - 1946 - - 3704 - - 3663 - - 952 Hcrit BL Top 970 - - 2958 - - 5036 - - 5377 - - 970 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 63 - - 1583 - - 887 - - 460 - - 4358 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 286 - - 439 - - 366 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 273 - - 311 - - 316 - - 335 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -2 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7 - - -2116 - - -227 - - 43 - - -2364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 977 - - 5074 - - 5263 - - 5335 - - 3334 sfcLCL ODpotential -4452 - - -14566 - - -9094 - - -9022 - - -3197 ODpotential blCL 5422 - - 17524 - - 14130 - - 14399 - - 4167 blCL maxRH 91 - - 88 - - 91 - - 82 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.1 - - 58.5 - - 66.8 - - 68.4 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.3 - - 39.8 - - 47.1 - - 48.4 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 57.5 - - 64.9 - - 67.6 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.3 - - 39.8 - - 47.1 - - 48.4 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 174 - - 306 - - 159 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1954 - - 4032 - - 4373 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 53 - - 63 - - 28 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 75868 18 262 19 277 13 294 11 281 8 261 75868 61745 21 342 16 325 17 301 24 312 30 317 61745 57432 44 314 36 332 24 340 30 334 36 314 57432 53803 53 298 46 309 42 296 40 317 44 320 53803 51747 60 297 51 314 46 309 47 308 55 312 51747 49615 69 301 63 305 66 308 58 300 63 305 49615 47061 74 301 73 303 72 304 62 301 65 299 47061 44589 82 294 78 298 79 298 73 300 72 303 44589 42461 85 289 83 290 83 295 79 297 78 303 42461 40494 86 289 85 286 83 292 81 290 81 300 40494 37961 92 289 86 290 87 289 82 287 81 299 37961 35888 96 289 88 290 86 290 80 288 77 303 35888 35320 88 298 83 293 80 290 78 287 74 304 35320 33282 91 301 80 300 70 288 68 286 66 305 33282 31934 81 302 78 303 63 288 52 289 65 302 31934 29689 74 304 68 302 53 298 44 297 50 306 29689 24678 59 305 51 295 43 300 45 294 44 299 24678 22281 42 310 49 303 36 300 36 300 36 330 22281 20168 40 294 39 294 32 294 26 294 34 296 20168 17271 37 299 39 291 32 292 26 283 37 302 17271 15565 34 300 35 294 33 296 26 291 30 305 15565 14252 34 301 31 298 32 304 24 304 27 317 14252 13235 34 305 30 301 30 306 24 300 28 322 13235 12206 32 306 30 310 31 305 25 309 28 322 12206 11208 32 306 31 310 29 307 26 309 28 316 11208 10140 33 307 30 306 27 311 26 309 28 314 10140 8935 33 310 28 304 26 321 26 312 26 305 8935 8008 32 312 26 306 25 328 26 321 24 305 8008 7401 31 313 24 308 24 333 25 328 21 306 7401 7011 30 315 22 311 22 332 23 333 16 313 7011 6627 29 315 21 319 22 329 23 339 13 317 6627 6284 26 321 21 327 22 329 23 347 12 354 6284 5725 25 326 21 345 19 337 22*354 12 006 5725 5196 18 323 20 346 17*341 16*349 10 002 5196 4888 15 329 19 349 15*343 13 339 9 349 4888 4584 15 334 18 349 10 332 13 338 10 340 4584 4281 14 338 16 350 9 326 12 338 10 339 4281 3981 13 344 15 352 8 323 13 337 11 337 3981 3684 13 351 13 354 8 322 12 336 11 338 3684 3389 12 359 12 359 8 319 12 335 11 337 3389 3097 10 004 11*001 8 315 12 334 12 337 3097 2806 9 009 9*360 7 313 12 333 12 338 2806 2518 7 012 8 351 7 308 12 333 12 337 2518 2231 5 010 6 310 7 306 12 331 12 337 2231 1947 4 005 7 298 7 303 12 331 13 337 1947 1665 3 010 7 295 6 300 11 330 13 336 1665 1385 3 015 7 293 6 299 11 330 12 335 1385 1176 3 326 6 291 6 299 10 329 11 334 1176 1038 4*295 6 290 5 296 9 328 9*333 1038 969 3*273 5 290 5 296 8 328 6*331 969 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography