DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1341z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.3 - - 60.5 - - 65.0 - - 60.3 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -59 - - 226 - - 374 - - 7 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1686 - - 4116 - - 720 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2343 - - 4391 - - 6377 - - 2343 - - 2343 Hcrit BL Top 2360 - - 5223 - - 7653 - - 4257 - - 2360 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 43 - - 2098 - - 1082 - - 2183 - - 565 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 297 - - 473 - - 73 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 064 - - 158 - - 164 - - 187 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - 21 - - 30 - - 16 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5211 - - -6334 - - -4367 - - -8714 - - -8534 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7571 - - 11557 - - 12021 - - 12971 - - 10894 sfcLCL ODpotential -14150 - - -12017 - - -9699 - - -16611 - - -15817 ODpotential blCL 16510 - - 17240 - - 17352 - - 20868 - - 18177 blCL maxRH 85 - - 74 - - 74 - - 83 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.3 - - 60.5 - - 65.0 - - 60.3 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.0 - - 17.9 - - 20.1 - - 11.6 - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.6 - - 60.0 - - 63.8 - - 61.0 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.0 - - 17.9 - - 20.1 - - 11.6 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -59 - - 226 - - 374 - - 7 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1686 - - 4116 - - 720 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 34 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 76830 11 083 12 090 15 083 14 082 15 075 76830 61278 6 052 11 049 5 036 4 350 6 256 61278 56640 10 353 11 309 15 308 17 314 10 326 56640 52655 27 318 33 303 30 309 33 308 29 299 52655 49016 30 327 41 317 39 313 31 298 25 297 49016 45087 52 328 57 320 52 314 52 305 52 290 45087 43539 62 322 62 317 55 312 50 305 49 295 43539 41857 64 320 62 318 54 311 55 304 47 301 41857 40891 63 318 59 319 53 311 57 303 47 301 40891 40327 61 319 55 319 54 306 58 302 48 302 40327 39795 59 319 55 314 55 301 57 302 49 303 39795 39315 56 318 53 310 55 300 58 304 50 305 39315 38888 53 316 52 308 53 301 58 304 51 306 38888 38458 50 316 53 303 52 301 57 306 49 307 38458 38325 50 314 50 298 51 299 52 306 45 306 38325 38269 50 306 47 294 50 299 49 304 43 306 38269 36992 48 300 44 289 49 299 45 300 39 304 36992 36890 45 298 42 285 50 303 43 297 39 304 36890 36880 44 295 38 288 57 298 41 294 37 304 36880 25767 39 286 39 292 40 304 36 287 32 290 25767 24829 34 283 36 299 38 291 37 282 29 292 24829 22155 30 285 31 296 33 278 37 278 29 291 22155 20473 30 290 30 281 33 261 32 271 34 278 20473 19092 30 289 30 270 30 264 29 260 34 271 19092 17908 27 289 23 276 22 261 22 256 35 261 17908 16978 20 289 12 288 10 261 17 251 27 246 16978 16315 12 295 5 273 9 233 16 242 17 242 16315 15594 11 296 3 296 6 217 16 241 15 236 15594 14266 13 283 3 318 5 203 13 240 16 237 14266 10668 13 277 6 265 8 223 12 244 12 230 10668 9471 8 269 5 211 9 213 11 235 10 227 9471 8999 4 282 5 183 8 178 12 222 10 224 8999 8533 1 304 8 168 9 158 11 199 10 213 8533 8075 3 097 10 165 9*149 11 174 12 196 8075 7622 5 110 10 165 10*140 12 157 16 180 7622 7176 6 119 11 160 10 132 12 143 18 172 7176 6736 7 132 11 157 9 129 13 138 19 166 6736 6302 8 132 12 154 8 133 12 127 19 161 6302 5873 8 136 12 146 8 135 11 119 18 156 5873 5449 9 138 13*142 8 142 10 118 17 152 5449 5031 10 139 13*141 8 155 8 122 16 150 5031 4617 10 139 13 142 9 169 7*131 15 148 4617 4208 10 138 12 149 10 178 6*148 14 147 4208 3803 10 136 11 156 10 185 5 169 12 146 3803 3403 9 136 10 165 11 189 6 189 11 142 3403 3008 8 128 9 172 11 192 6 198 10 136 3008 2747 6 126 9 175 11 194 6 202 10 131 2747 2552 6 122 8 179 11 195 6 203 9 101 2552 2423 11*080 7 181 10 196 5 203 9*082 2423 2359 6*064 6 185 10 198 4 202 6*074 2359 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography