DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1031z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 68.3 - - 73.1 - - 66.5 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 466 - - 825 - - 294 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2337 - - 3101 - - 1096 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2343 - - 5074 - - 5798 - - 4052 - - 2343 Hcrit BL Top 2360 - - 5874 - - 6638 - - 4633 - - 2360 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 824 - - 877 - - 965 - - 456 - - 732 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 422 - - 560 - - 281 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 14 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 334 - - 269 - - 278 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 15 - - 25 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -32 - - 16 - - 58 - - 30 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2895 - - -1708 - - -929 - - -1536 - - -1881 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5256 - - 7582 - - 7567 - - 6169 - - 4241 sfcLCL ODpotential -14799 - - -10741 - - -8394 - - -10332 - - -12697 ODpotential blCL 17159 - - 16615 - - 15032 - - 14965 - - 15057 blCL maxRH 57 - - 62 - - 68 - - 72 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 68.3 - - 73.1 - - 66.5 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.0 - - 43.0 - - 47.8 - - 47.5 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.4 - - 66.5 - - 71.8 - - 65.7 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 43.0 - - 47.8 - - 47.5 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 466 - - 825 - - 294 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2337 - - 3101 - - 1096 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 75832 32 218 28 223 26 227 27 230 29 222 75832 62727 11 327 13 261 22 228 23 241 23 267 62727 58101 49 267 31 284 27 276 25 287 25 295 58101 55237 49 263 33 270 38 258 38 261 36 264 55237 52120 54 265 43 271 45 260 45 263 45 268 52120 48675 64 262 52 268 55 266 55 267 53 272 48675 46500 69 263 62 266 65 268 65 269 61 270 46500 44124 75 262 70 262 72 265 72 270 67 267 44124 41346 79 260 75 257 76 263 77 269 71 265 41346 39249 84 257 78 255 77 260 80 268 71 266 39249 37387 86 256 77 254 77 259 77 267 69 269 37387 35480 85 254 73 254 75 260 68 268 63 269 35480 32632 80 253 71 255 71 260 63 273 47 277 32632 30971 76 254 66 258 63 261 52 276 43 283 30971 29872 71 255 64 261 58 267 47 279 38 285 29872 28733 65 253 59 260 51 268 46 283 34 294 28733 25607 57 260 52 260 45 271 39 286 34 301 25607 22538 51 268 46 261 36 279 32 286 29 305 22538 20211 45 278 37 266 29 282 23 291 24 299 20211 17335 39 284 30 282 21 286 18 295 20 297 17335 15270 36 285 27 292 17 294 16 294 18 306 15270 13656 34 286 25 296 18 293 14 293 17 319 13656 12374 32 290 24 300 17 299 12 300 17 327 12374 11316 31 296 22 304 12 328 10 309 16 330 11316 10577 30 303 20 308 10 352 6 318 13 328 10577 9738 28 307 18 317 12 012 3 003 8 336 9738 8739 26 309 17 329 12 015 3 036 3 354 8739 8177 25 311 17 340 13 024 2 067 1 056 8177 7842 23 310 17 349 14 038 3 068 1 079 7842 7535 22 311 17 355 16 043 4 056 0 048 7535 7232 22 312 17 358 16 037 5 045 1 349 7232 6931 21 313 17 359 15 033 7 037 2 329 6931 6634 20 314 17 360 14*026 9 031 3 323 6634 6339 19 314 16 360 11*018 11 028 5 320 6339 6047 17 314 16*360 10 007 12 025 6 319 6047 5757 16 314 15*359 8 351 12 024 7 316 5757 5471 16 315 14 358 6 330 11 020 8 315 5471 5187 16 316 11 355 6 302 9 011 8 311 5187 4905 16 318 9 350 7 281 7*349 9 309 4905 4626 16 321 8 344 9 267 7*318 9 309 4626 4350 16 324 7 339 10 259 9 296 10 309 4350 4076 16 328 7 334 11 253 10 284 10 312 4076 3805 15 333 7 326 13 248 11 280 9 316 3805 3536 14 344 6 319 14 245 12 278 8 320 3536 3270 14 352 6 311 15 243 12 276 7 327 3270 3007 14 015 6 304 15 240 12 273 6 338 3007 2746 13 036 6 296 15 238 12 270 6 352 2746 2552 11 044 6 288 15 237 11 268 5 005 2552 2423 8*047 5 286 14 236 11 267 5*021 2423 2359 5*047 5 279 12 235 10 265 4*039 2359 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography