DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 67.7 - - - - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 450 - - 522 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 2064 - - - - - 582 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4113 - - 4896 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4585 - - 5601 - - - - - 4119 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 912 - - 1024 - - - - - 1173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 423 - - - - - 56 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 209 - - - - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - 56 - - - - - 41 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -28 - - -1197 - - - - - -485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4613 - - 6798 - - - - - 4604 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6472 - - -9040 - - - - - -8795 ODpotential blCL - - - 11057 - - 14641 - - - - - 12914 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 83 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 67.7 - - - - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.2 - - 46.8 - - - - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 65.6 - - - - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 46.2 - - - - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 450 - - 522 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 2064 - - - - - 582 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 31 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98075 23 258 28 274 16 303 98075 90579 12 247 20 264 16 305 90579 84834 5 164 12 231 10 304 84834 80090 3 170 7 207 5 335 80090 76007 5 115 5 144 3 154 76007 72410 3 107 5 115 11 134 72410 69169 3 212 2 125 4 121 69169 66196 2 240 4 294 5 010 66196 63436 8 278 7 307 7 252 63436 60763 18 257 15 273 5 283 60763 57963 22 258 23 249 20 274 57963 55059 22 252 24 252 34 264 55059 52301 28 265 32 261 33 259 52301 49836 43 262 42 265 30 259 49836 47644 51 270 53 267 43 266 47644 45663 69 270 63 264 57 261 45663 43851 82 269 74 268 64 256 43851 42177 87 264 80 267 70 257 42177 40619 84 260 81 265 78 258 40619 39159 74 261 79 265 83 259 39159 37784 65 265 75 265 84 259 37784 36459 62 257 67 259 78 261 36459 35123 61 256 59 251 69 263 35123 33745 59 265 53 250 65 261 33745 32326 60 277 48 259 61 261 32326 30848 52 274 44 261 57 260 30848 29301 45 261 43 253 53 257 29301 27687 46 254 45 250 52 248 27687 26005 44 259 47 253 53 249 26005 24258 38 262 50 259 53 256 24258 22450 34 262 50 260 51 259 22450 20576 32 262 49 259 50 256 20576 18632 32 262 50 261 51 254 18632 16656 35 261 54 263 52 257 16656 14757 38 263 54 264 53 259 14757 13031 39 264 49 265 51 260 13031 11498 38 263 44 266 47 261 11498 10134 36 263 39 267 44 262 10134 8918 32 262 34 267 40 262 8918 7837 29 261 29 267 34 262 7837 6879 25 261 23 265 26 260 6879 6035 21 259 15*251 20 254 6035 5288 14 249 12*226 15 250 5288 4619 9*224 12 209 11*241 4619 4024 9*195 12 206 9*231 4024 3526 9 185 13 206 9 228 3526 3141 10 184 13 206 9 227 3141 2876 10 185 12 206 8 227 2876 2714 9 186 12 206 8 226 2714 2622 8 187 10 207 5 228 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography