DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1553z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 51.8 - - 54.2 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 102 - - 97 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 55 - - 264 - - 1281 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3592 - - 3801 - - 4818 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1716 - - 2322 - - 1225 - - 2317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 68 - - 125 - - 210 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 213 - - 232 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 42 - - 31 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 971 - - 948 - - 1174 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2621 - - 2853 - - 3644 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 387 - - 199 - - 426 - - -614 ODpotential blCL - - - 3205 - - 3602 - - 4392 - - 3237 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 51.8 - - 54.2 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 48.3 - - 47.3 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 51.7 - - 54.2 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 47.8 - - 46.5 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 102 - - 97 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 55 - - 264 - - 1281 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 93 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98285 11 248 16 270 14 270 18 291 98285 90792 8 234 13 235 14 268 17 306 90792 84993 5 232 9 227 9 260 14 288 84993 80193 5 200 6 224 6 284 8 295 80193 76102 10 118 10 157 2 248 3 345 76102 72517 11 097 14 132 6 134 4 156 72517 69283 11 160 8 179 5 139 5 163 69283 66307 12 200 12 210 5 228 3 252 66307 63536 18 218 20 225 17 230 11 265 63536 60844 19 220 22 216 22 225 19 243 60844 58017 20 237 16 232 25 245 23 250 58017 55055 35 253 31 263 33 262 32 269 55055 52225 42 258 38 267 39 271 41 274 52225 49691 38 258 36 265 37 276 40 278 49691 47434 32 269 33 283 37 290 40 293 47434 45405 30 286 37 303 45 301 40 303 45405 43567 37 302 44 302 43 306 38 312 43567 41883 43 306 40 313 43 320 46 316 41883 40331 40 313 46 321 43 319 50 314 40331 38889 41 339 48 328 44 324 53 316 38889 37538 51 355 49 336 52 328 53 318 37538 36237 61 001 52 340 58 329 53 320 36237 34918 67 000 54 340 58 330 54 323 34918 33552 68 357 55 339 57 331 56 324 33552 32142 64 353 55 340 55 332 57 324 32142 30673 53 346 56 341 51 330 55 325 30673 29135 41 338 55 343 46 325 50 325 29135 27529 35 334 46 341 48 320 48 322 27529 25855 33 334 45 336 52 324 48 320 25855 24117 33 331 42 333 51 331 48 319 24117 22317 31 322 36 330 44 330 44 321 22317 20450 29 318 31 323 40 325 39 321 20450 18514 27 321 27 317 36 322 36 320 18514 16551 24 317 24 320 30 320 33 321 16551 14666 20 299 23 323 25 317 29 324 14666 12952 17 287 21 321 21 315 25 323 12952 11429 15 291 18 315 19 314 23 319 11429 10075 16 299 17 309 17 313 22 316 10075 8868 17 300 16 308 17 316 23 318 8868 7794 16 300 14 313 17 325 22 322 7794 6843 13 301 9 308 15 329 18 320 6843 6005 9 295 6 297 10 325 13 310 6005 5264 7 267 6 260 6*314 9 292 5264 4599 6 232 7 229 4*263 6 264 4599 4009 6*216 9*218 5 237 5 235 4009 3515 6*212 9*215 6 229 5 220 3515 3135 6 210 9 214 6 226 5 217 3135 2873 6 208 9 212 7 225 5 216 2873 2713 5 206 8 212 6 224 5*215 2713 2622 5 206 7 211 6 224 4*216 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography