DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Hollister 381ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1341z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 61.2 - - 69.5 - - 65.9 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -58 - - 50 - - 217 - - -21 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 762 - - 4303 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 381 - - 381 - - 3122 - - 381 - - 381 Hcrit BL Top 397 - - 1143 - - 4684 - - 397 - - 397 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 226 - - 735 - - 2023 - - 5066 - - 1339 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 137 - - 396 - - 11 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 18 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 168 - - 178 - - 179 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -5 - - 13 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4560 - - -7039 - - -4529 - - -7393 - - -4379 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4958 - - 8182 - - 9213 - - 7791 - - 4776 sfcLCL ODpotential -13668 - - -13336 - - -9844 - - -11245 - - -6008 ODpotential blCL 14065 - - 14479 - - 14528 - - 11642 - - 6405 blCL maxRH 42 - - 47 - - 87 - - 37 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 61.2 - - 69.5 - - 65.9 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.9 - - 26.9 - - 30.2 - - 33.1 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.0 - - 61.0 - - 68.4 - - 66.2 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.9 - - 26.9 - - 30.2 - - 33.1 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -58 - - 50 - - 217 - - -21 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 762 - - 4303 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74722 20 080 17 074 18 077 18 079 15 088 74722 60851 8 040 8 032 7 060 4 249 4 270 60851 55971 17 318 11 314 10 301 9 296 4 274 55971 52392 21 310 22 296 30 292 27 281 19 261 52392 47428 40 314 37 301 32 293 21 294 13 288 47428 43980 50 315 48 307 46 299 44 281 39 273 43980 43029 53 311 49 305 42 299 41 282 40 272 43029 41917 52 310 49 304 41 296 39 285 38 277 41917 41052 51 309 49 304 41 294 38 287 39 280 41052 40450 50 309 48 302 41 293 39 286 39 281 40450 39946 50 308 46 297 42 289 40 285 39 281 39946 39596 49 305 45 295 45 284 41 286 39 281 39596 39310 48 302 43 294 45 280 42 288 36 279 39310 39150 44 299 42 293 43 278 45 288 31 279 39150 38894 42 297 42 290 41 277 41 286 26 281 38894 38422 38 293 39 287 38 275 40 285 19 291 38422 38332 32 287 36 284 35 269 37 280 17 300 38332 38163 32 287 34 271 31 272 36 279 15 304 38163 32972 25 274 27 265 30 282 33 278 25 259 32972 25772 25 277 32 271 38 278 32 268 43 245 25772 24287 26 280 31 273 28 273 23 247 40 244 24287 21753 24 276 24 268 18 265 20 237 33 240 21753 20354 20 264 21 257 16 252 23 232 32 240 20354 19064 16 246 18 232 24 238 26 228 31 241 19064 17652 13 225 19 228 25 219 29 223 32 241 17652 16207 14 216 21 218 23 209 32 215 32 240 16207 14898 19 209 21 199 21 193 31 184 32 240 14898 13586 15 209 19 182 24 177 30 182 30 236 13586 12536 10 217 14 183 24 179 27 186 31 215 12536 11746 9 185 15 175 21 185 25 185 34 181 11746 10412 11 175 14 167 20 181 24 192 34 172 10412 8536 12 181 13 168 21 179 25 191 30 170 8536 7674 12 180 16 179 27 179 28 189 27 171 7674 6632 12 179 19 179 28 180 29 186 25 176 6632 6138 13 177 21 181 28 181 30 184 25 181 6138 5651 15 179 23 183 28 184 31 182 25 184 5651 5170 16 180 25 185 27 187 31 180 26 186 5170 4695 18 181 27 186 27*189 30 179 29 186 4695 4226 18 182 28 188 25*188 28 177 30 185 4226 3763 19 181 30 189 22 182 25 174 30 185 3763 3305 19 179 31 190 20 179 23 173 30 185 3305 2852 18 176 32 189 20 177 22 172 29 184 2852 2406 18 172 32 187 19 176 21 172 29 182 2406 1965 18 166 31 183 18 175 20 172 29 179 1965 1530 19 159 27*175 16 175 19 173 27 170 1530 1100 21 153 19*168 15 175 17 174 23 165 1100 818 20 143 15 167 13 175 15 175 19 162 818 607 14 119 13 168 11 176 12 176 16 160 607 467 10 115 11 168 10 175 10 178 13 160 467 397 6*114 8 168 8 175 7*179 9*159 397 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography