DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 58.5 - - - - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 190 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 585 - - 3320 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 2518 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1129 - - 3864 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2534 - - 3236 - - - - - 3709 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 354 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 271 - - - - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -6 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 83 - - 515 - - - - - -1280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1046 - - 3349 - - - - - 1840 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -263 - - -462 - - - - - -1811 ODpotential blCL - - - 1392 - - 4326 - - - - - 2371 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 85 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 60 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 58.5 - - - - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 45.7 - - - - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 57.4 - - - - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 44.6 - - - - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 190 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 585 - - 3320 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 40 - - - - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97981 22 260 24 263 11 297 97981 90549 8 248 16 253 13 277 90549 84846 3 145 4 249 4 294 84846 80128 3 156 2 244 1 163 80128 76063 10 112 1 108 5 077 76063 72458 5 094 11 091 6 072 72458 69191 1 267 3 103 3 076 69191 66198 5 320 4 248 5 002 66198 63423 6 250 11 271 5 256 63423 60717 11 270 16 265 7 288 60717 57889 22 282 18 252 25 284 57889 54970 27 276 17 271 24 250 54970 52181 29 254 24 281 14 250 52181 49650 32 256 35 270 22 263 49650 47365 43 263 41 263 34 263 47365 45293 52 271 51 272 45 264 45293 43406 67 272 65 272 57 277 43406 41674 74 264 75 266 76 276 41674 40081 74 259 82 263 90 262 40081 38601 74 260 87 261 86 257 38601 37208 76 262 89 261 85 265 37208 35864 75 260 88 260 97 267 35864 34500 73 259 86 261 100 262 34500 33080 73 261 86 261 100 257 33080 31609 75 263 87 261 99 255 31609 30072 76 262 88 262 98 257 30072 28461 75 262 87 262 99 261 28461 26772 73 261 84 261 100 263 26772 25002 72 261 82 259 99 261 25002 23154 72 260 80 258 97 259 23154 21235 73 258 77 259 89 262 21235 19250 74 257 79 261 68 272 19250 17204 73 260 78 261 45 275 17204 15133 69 264 63 262 33 283 15133 13141 59 264 40 264 25 291 13141 11327 50 256 27 277 21 292 11327 9712 38 250 23 288 18 290 9712 8277 16 239 18 290 17 295 8277 7004 16 254 12 284 16 304 7004 5882 17 261 12 275 16 309 5882 4893 19 266 13 270 15 308 4893 4025 20 267 14*271 16 299 4025 3260 20 267 14*272 17 291 3260 2576 20 266 14 271 17 287 2576 1972 19 264 15 271 17 283 1972 1468 18*263 14 271 16 280 1468 1081 16*261 14 271 15 277 1081 814 14 260 13 270 13 275 814 653 12 260 12 270 11 274 653 560 8 259 9 270 6*272 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography