DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/28 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 35.6 - - 44.7 - - 47.3 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 63 - - 187 - - 81 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 73 - - 1034 - - 3277 - - 2713 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit 816 - - 816 - - 2708 - - 1824 - - 817 Hcrit BL Top 833 - - 1794 - - 4037 - - 3473 - - 834 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 345 - - 961 - - 1163 - - 1529 - - 2383 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 167 - - 354 - - 256 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 251 - - 246 - - 264 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1126 - - -361 - - 324 - - -63 - - -981 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1959 - - 2155 - - 3713 - - 3536 - - 1815 sfcLCL ODpotential -4665 - - -2925 - - -3249 - - -2761 - - -2735 ODpotential blCL 5498 - - 4719 - - 7286 - - 6234 - - 3569 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 95 - - 95 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 35.6 - - 44.7 - - 47.3 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.8 - - 29.4 - - 31.5 - - 34.9 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.5 - - 35.2 - - 43.6 - - 46.8 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.6 - - 28.3 - - 30.4 - - 33.7 - - 37.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 63 - - 187 - - 81 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 73 - - 1034 - - 3277 - - 2713 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 81 - - 81 - - 80 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96950 15 272 9 283 9 262 10 245 14 267 96950 89748 13 287 6 267 7 274 11 262 9 220 89748 84230 12 287 10 255 11 264 18 256 16 259 84230 79616 12 283 11 273 8 250 15 239 17 270 79616 75593 11 261 15 260 15 252 17 245 16 262 75593 71991 13 255 17 234 22 237 22 240 17 244 71991 68702 17 251 16 231 23 232 23 239 19 238 68702 65660 24 249 16 239 24 233 24 243 20 234 65660 62830 25 241 21 250 25 232 25 240 23 232 62830 60084 24 243 26 247 28 241 25 234 26 234 60084 57212 27 241 26 244 27 242 21 232 30 230 57212 54210 31 247 29 255 33 259 30 254 27 237 54210 51325 35 245 37 249 37 257 32 257 34 264 51325 48726 34 243 36 237 35 257 39 266 40 270 48726 46397 35 243 33 252 38 259 42 269 42 270 46397 44288 34 249 35 254 35 262 45 272 44 274 44288 42370 37 257 31 261 36 269 47 271 45 274 42370 40613 39 254 38 273 34 274 45 271 46 278 40613 38994 34 253 42 268 37 279 39 278 44 282 38994 37501 36 268 37 260 40 279 40 286 44 289 37501 36115 38 271 32 274 38 282 38 290 47 295 36115 34794 38 271 38 289 39 295 38 296 52 299 34794 33473 39 275 48 294 50 305 41 304 59 301 33473 32118 41 276 57 292 60 305 46 309 59 304 32118 30724 41 275 60 291 65 303 50 312 62 308 30724 29276 40 277 61 290 68 301 54 314 63 309 29276 27756 41 278 61 290 68 299 56 313 64 311 27756 26162 42 279 59 291 66 298 57 311 65 312 26162 24492 44 281 56 291 62 298 57 310 65 312 24492 22746 47 283 52 292 57 296 57 308 60 312 22746 20927 51 282 52 295 52 294 55 305 52 311 20927 19032 53 282 53 296 50 293 53 301 47 306 19032 17060 53 283 52 294 51 290 50 299 43 299 17060 15050 48 284 52 292 52 288 49 295 43 293 15050 13119 44 281 53 289 53 286 54 292 53 289 13119 11365 43 280 52 286 56 283 60 289 54 284 11365 9799 46 276 51 280 55 282 58 282 50 281 9799 8403 47 278 52 277 49 281 52 281 45 278 8403 7162 44 282 46 278 43 280 44 284 40 281 7162 6060 41 281 38 275 33 278 36 284 35 283 6060 5088 37 277 35 274 25 263 27 276 30 278 5088 4233 29 275 29 272 20*254 19 261 25 272 4233 3481 23 269 23 282 15*247 16*260 20 272 3481 2809 18 267 19 279 15 246 16*262 16 281 2809 2217 13 274 15*265 14 245 15 263 13 295 2217 1723 10 277 12*256 14 245 14 265 12 303 1723 1344 10 269 10 250 13 245 14 266 11 307 1344 1083 9 254 9 249 12 245 13 266 9 308 1083 924 7*242 8 249 12 245 12 267 7*309 924 834 3*228 7 248 10 245 10 267 4*309 834 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography