DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0727z - - 1036z - - 1337z - - 1604z - - 1904z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.7 - - 59.8 - - 62.0 - - 69.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 115 - - 7 - - 137 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2074 - - 2220 - - 3002 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 788 - - 1557 - - 788 - - 2354 - - 788 Hcrit BL Top 804 - - 2834 - - 2980 - - 3762 - - 804 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 117 - - 1049 - - 666 - - 368 - - 3214 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 254 - - 113 - - 310 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 147 - - 017 - - 081 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -364 - - -812 - - -691 - - -1161 - - -2118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1168 - - 3646 - - 3672 - - 4923 - - 2922 sfcLCL ODpotential -12265 - - -12494 - - -7358 - - -9092 - - -8141 ODpotential blCL 13069 - - 15328 - - 10338 - - 12854 - - 8945 blCL maxRH 79 - - 93 - - 101 - - 90 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.7 - - 59.8 - - 62.0 - - 69.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.5 - - 46.7 - - 48.8 - - 50.6 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 58.7 - - 61.7 - - 68.4 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.5 - - 46.7 - - 48.8 - - 50.6 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 115 - - 7 - - 137 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2074 - - 2220 - - 3002 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 72 - - 105 - - 61 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 75302 19 313 19 312 18 327 16 329 9 328 75302 62533 19 331 11 355 9 274 15 302 23 324 62533 57368 35 291 37 317 24 317 20 305 19 312 57368 54251 40 300 45 307 22 280 28 284 38 308 54251 52399 53 301 50 313 41 307 43 301 44 309 52399 50286 58 295 56 306 39 300 44 293 49 302 50286 47531 66 298 64 298 49 305 50 294 56 297 47531 44235 71 292 69 287 57 295 60 296 58 293 44235 42210 75 286 73 280 69 287 65 291 60 289 42210 40407 78 285 74 277 73 282 68 287 60 288 40407 38956 80 279 74 280 72 278 68 285 63 281 38956 36323 79 277 76 284 67 281 61 291 61 295 36323 35966 74 279 72 285 64 281 61 294 64 308 35966 31437 68 286 62 284 60 282 61 293 56 307 31437 27518 59 291 54 286 55 280 51 290 53 294 27518 26437 44 299 42 285 50 279 45 293 45 293 26437 24877 35 285 40 280 45 283 42 294 37 298 24877 22659 33 282 39 284 32 290 40 288 26 298 22659 19863 25 293 37 290 27 309 27 296 26 294 19863 17953 25 293 31 284 28 309 30 303 23 294 17953 15943 27 287 28 280 36 308 29 302 22 299 15943 15103 29 282 27 285 35 307 21 299 22 310 15103 13090 30 287 28 285 33 302 20 312 20 305 13090 12836 31 283 32 286 29 293 21 298 19 302 12836 11199 33 298 31 291 24 286 19 289 14 282 11199 10553 35 308 31 291 20 285 15 295 13 278 10553 8751 31 319 25 307 16 296 13 296 10 270 8751 7657 32 326 26 319 15 307 14 296 7 282 7657 6914 33 330 26 335 14 313 13 314 4 325 6914 6381 32 332 25 340 13 318 12 326 3 009 6381 6052 31 335 22 344 13 317 11 337 4 049 6052 5726 27 338 17 349 11 308 10 350 5 084 5726 5404 22 339 14 353 10 295 9 353 7 101 5404 5086 18 339 11 351 8 289 8 353 8 108 5086 4771 14 343 9 351 6 288 6 003 9 107 4771 4460 10 358 8 004 3 296 6 014 9 109 4460 4153 9 013 7 032 3 008 6 065 9 114 4153 3849 10 024 8 046 5 043 9*085 9 116 3849 3548 11 028 8 049 6 043 10*084 9 113 3548 3250 12 030 8 051 3*035 10 083 9 111 3250 2954 12 032 7*060 2*026 10 083 10 107 2954 2660 11 036 7*066 2 023 9 082 10 102 2660 2368 8 050 5 106 2 023 9 082 10 097 2368 2079 7 066 5 137 2 016 9 081 11 092 2079 1792 8 073 5 165 2 016 9 081 11 088 1792 1507 8 071 5 184 2 016 9 079 12 084 1507 1224 8 068 3 179 2 014 9 079 12 080 1224 1014 9 045 2 179 2 009 8 078 11 076 1014 874 7 031 2 173 2 010 7 078 9 074 874 804 3*023 2 173 2 012 7 077 6*072 804 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography