DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Hernandez 2868ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1341z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.8 - - 54.4 - - 58.0 - - 56.2 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -51 - - 136 - - 332 - - 60 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1209 - - 3083 - - 2610 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2868 - - 3084 - - 4879 - - 2868 - - 2868 Hcrit BL Top 2885 - - 4077 - - 5951 - - 5478 - - 2885 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 63 - - 1528 - - 1660 - - 1449 - - 1108 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 226 - - 415 - - 222 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 19 - - 21 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 127 - - 190 - - 188 - - 185 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 5 - - 11 - - 9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4469 - - -5805 - - -3459 - - -2623 - - -3057 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7354 - - 9882 - - 9410 - - 8101 - - 5942 sfcLCL ODpotential -12481 - - -11482 - - -8709 - - -7048 - - -5407 ODpotential blCL 15366 - - 15559 - - 14660 - - 12526 - - 8292 blCL maxRH 84 - - 85 - - 88 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.8 - - 54.4 - - 58.0 - - 56.2 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.1 - - 21.3 - - 26.7 - - 30.7 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.4 - - 53.7 - - 56.6 - - 55.8 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.1 - - 21.3 - - 26.7 - - 30.7 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -51 - - 136 - - 332 - - 60 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1209 - - 3083 - - 2610 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 40 - - 52 - - 90 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74723 21 081 17 081 18 078 18 081 16 084 74723 61085 6 050 9 040 7 087 5 242 2 232 61085 56243 16 321 14 321 12 308 10 306 4 255 56243 52480 24 310 23 297 30 295 29 289 22 270 52480 48129 39 321 39 308 34 299 24 296 16 294 48129 44323 51 317 51 312 47 306 45 288 41 278 44323 43257 58 314 54 310 44 305 40 290 42 277 43257 42065 57 313 54 310 44 300 41 293 40 282 42065 41156 56 313 53 311 45 297 42 293 39 287 41156 40477 55 313 51 309 45 295 43 291 39 289 40477 39854 54 311 49 304 45 291 45 290 40 290 39854 39433 53 308 48 301 47 288 46 290 41 290 39433 39019 50 306 46 300 46 287 47 291 40 291 39019 38662 47 303 46 298 43 287 48 292 35 292 38662 38346 45 301 46 294 43 285 45 292 31 297 38346 37716 40 298 43 289 41 284 43 293 26 309 37716 37625 37 285 40 281 37 282 42 288 26 318 37625 37601 36 281 36 273 39 286 42 288 26 327 37601 35119 29 284 32 273 57 275 40 289 24 289 35119 25467 28 288 37 279 46 278 33 275 40 253 25467 24257 29 287 33 278 30 288 23 248 37 255 24257 21741 27 281 24 281 21 279 20 239 30 257 21741 20324 24 271 19 269 23 256 21 241 30 258 20324 18997 18 266 16 254 25 242 24 246 31 259 18997 17650 12 259 17 247 21 232 28 236 31 259 17650 16314 13 239 16 234 18 220 22 201 31 255 16314 15141 15 224 13 209 15 205 22 187 31 243 15141 14036 11 219 11 184 16 181 23 197 32 217 14036 12910 7 233 11 183 19 191 23 196 31 189 12910 12073 5 227 13 186 20 193 23 194 30 175 12073 10671 3 208 15 186 20 191 23 195 29 178 10671 9505 4 196 17 181 20 185 23 195 27 186 9505 8825 5 174 20 179 22 181 23 196 26 192 8825 8386 8 175 23 177 25 179 25 194 26 194 8386 7953 14 179 25 176 25 176 28 190 29 192 7953 7526 18 177 26 177 26 176 30 187 31 185 7526 7103 21 175 26 177 26 175 31 183 32 178 7103 6685 22 175 26 179 26 177 29 178 32 173 6685 6272 22 175 26 182 27*180 27 175 31 170 6272 5863 22 176 27 186 28*182 23*175 30 170 5863 5459 21 176 27 190 27 185 20*177 29 171 5459 5060 19 174 29 193 23 187 18 181 28 175 5060 4666 19 173 30 196 21 188 17 183 28 179 4666 4275 18 170 30*196 20 189 17 185 28 183 4275 3890 18 169 26*193 19 190 17 187 25 183 3890 3509 18 166 21 190 18 190 16 188 20 183 3509 3258 18 161 19 189 17 191 15 189 16 181 3258 3070 14 152 17 187 16 191 14 191 12 178 3070 2946 10*138 14 186 14 191 12 191 10*175 2946 2885 6*127 11 185 12 191 9 191 6*173 2885 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography