DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 58.4 - - - - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 506 - - - - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2596 - - 4121 - - - - - 920 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4780 - - 6015 - - - - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5656 - - 7181 - - - - - 3980 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 933 - - 1309 - - - - - 1000 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 429 - - 529 - - - - - 102 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 265 - - - - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 13 - - - - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -471 - - 816 - - - - - -1730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6127 - - 6365 - - - - - 5710 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8405 - - 640 - - - - - -7089 ODpotential blCL - - - 14061 - - 6541 - - - - - 11069 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 90 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 58.4 - - - - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 41.0 - - - - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 55.6 - - - - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 40.4 - - - - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 506 - - - - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2596 - - 4121 - - - - - 920 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 60 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98014 21 259 25 264 11 310 98014 90565 7 244 11 262 11 295 90565 84849 3 140 6 228 5 241 84849 80120 6 133 2 177 1 227 80120 76042 7 102 1 144 9 063 76042 72440 8 057 8 097 6 063 72440 69191 3 278 7 056 4 102 69191 66202 5 202 7 302 3 016 66202 63430 6 242 8 247 7 307 63430 60741 9 261 13 243 10 324 60741 57918 20 282 15 264 21 273 57918 54987 26 270 23 271 25 257 54987 52200 28 260 25 267 21 257 52200 49689 34 258 31 269 21 262 49689 47433 44 261 44 266 33 272 47433 45397 52 265 50 261 45 271 45397 43541 62 267 59 264 57 261 43541 41833 70 263 71 267 67 258 41833 40252 69 258 78 265 77 261 40252 38785 65 257 78 262 82 263 38785 37412 64 261 77 263 81 264 37412 36090 65 263 77 262 82 265 36090 34751 65 262 75 260 85 263 34751 33371 65 260 74 262 88 260 33371 31954 65 258 74 265 89 256 31954 30488 66 258 74 265 88 256 30488 28961 67 261 75 263 87 260 28961 27370 68 263 73 263 88 262 27370 25716 70 264 70 262 88 261 25716 24004 70 265 70 260 88 262 24004 22236 69 265 71 258 86 261 22236 20404 67 264 70 255 83 259 20404 18507 63 263 67 253 77 258 18507 16593 58 260 64 254 59 263 16593 14769 53 257 61 256 41 272 14769 13121 48 255 57 259 29 282 13121 11659 45 256 49 262 23 292 11659 10357 39 257 34 259 18 298 10357 9194 30 258 16 244 11 296 9194 8156 21 254 7 235 6 281 8156 7232 15 247 7*237 6 279 7232 6411 11 248 7*244 9 290 6411 5683 9*259 9 258 13 299 5683 5027 9*263 10 266 17 307 5027 4446 9 265 11 268 19*311 4446 3960 10 265 12 270 19*313 3960 3585 10 266 12 270 19 313 3585 3325 9 266 12 270 17 313 3325 3167 9 266 11 271 15 313 3167 3076 8 265 10 269 10 312 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography