DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 52.2 - - 57.9 - - 58.2 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 192 - - 370 - - 137 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1210 - - 2236 - - 3037 - - 624 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3553 - - 4473 - - 4685 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 4270 - - 5297 - - 6098 - - 3685 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 596 - - 847 - - 1281 - - 1569 - - 1418 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 260 - - 390 - - 312 - - 83 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 132 - - 216 - - 235 - - 250 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1994 - - -805 - - -937 - - -1256 - - -162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5071 - - 5075 - - 6235 - - 7355 - - 3847 sfcLCL ODpotential -11122 - - -5521 - - -3734 - - -4691 - - -3525 ODpotential blCL 14198 - - 9791 - - 9031 - - 10789 - - 7210 blCL maxRH 61 - - 68 - - 70 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 52.2 - - 57.9 - - 58.2 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.6 - - 40.7 - - 41.3 - - 36.7 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.6 - - 50.8 - - 55.8 - - 57.2 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 39.5 - - 40.4 - - 36.0 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 192 - - 370 - - 137 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1210 - - 2236 - - 3037 - - 624 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 89 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97166 46 276 50 274 49 282 44 285 32 281 97166 89776 39 275 37 265 47 276 46 284 44 275 89776 84092 37 276 26 269 36 266 37 275 43 273 84092 79389 31 271 24 272 30 258 32 267 32 280 79389 75311 23 264 24 263 30 254 31 266 23 288 75311 71679 17 270 22 254 27 256 28 272 26 284 71679 68403 19 283 18 262 25 259 30 274 31 274 68403 65429 24 282 22 274 24 266 31 265 32 267 65429 62694 30 282 29 278 29 276 32 262 26 261 62694 60044 40 282 39 276 40 279 33 274 25 268 60044 57259 43 283 47 273 53 275 49 277 44 273 57259 54345 51 289 52 274 58 271 61 267 61 269 54345 51552 59 289 58 281 63 276 65 270 70 269 51552 49043 72 289 75 283 78 279 78 274 76 268 49043 46813 83 286 87 279 90 276 89 272 85 270 46813 44813 84 283 87 277 93 275 93 272 92 272 44813 43004 79 288 82 280 87 277 95 275 94 278 43004 41357 81 293 79 282 87 280 94 277 100 278 41357 39839 87 291 77 282 89 279 94 277 106 277 39839 38424 86 289 78 282 89 277 96 274 101 275 38424 37095 80 289 78 281 88 277 96 272 96 273 37095 35814 77 287 75 281 88 277 95 271 92 270 35814 34516 72 288 73 281 86 276 92 272 90 269 34516 33174 67 289 71 281 82 275 87 272 89 269 33174 31792 64 292 67 282 76 275 81 271 90 268 31792 30356 59 292 62 281 71 277 76 269 90 267 30356 28856 55 292 57 279 68 276 73 269 88 267 28856 27294 52 289 55 277 65 274 72 269 85 267 27294 25671 51 289 53 275 62 271 70 269 82 267 25671 23989 50 291 51 276 60 271 65 269 79 267 23989 22251 47 291 48 277 58 272 60 269 72 268 22251 20453 41 288 45 275 54 270 54 268 64 267 20453 18590 38 284 41 272 49 267 49 266 55 264 18590 16697 34 281 38 271 43 267 43 266 48 262 16697 14878 30 281 34 273 35 269 35 267 39 262 14878 13224 25 282 28 274 28 272 27 266 33 261 13224 11751 21 282 22 272 21 270 21 263 28 259 11751 10435 17 282 18 267 18 263 19 259 23 254 10435 9260 14 284 15 261 16 257 18 255 19 247 9260 8211 12 287 13 255 13 253 15 252 16 237 8211 7276 10 288 10 251 11 246 13 252 13 224 7276 6447 8 285 7 242 9 238 12*253 12 219 6447 5711 6 274 7 227 8*234 11*252 11 230 5711 5049 5 249 8 213 8*234 12 251 11 249 5049 4462 5 220 8*211 8 234 12 250 12 264 4462 3970 7 196 8*213 8 235 12 249 12*271 3970 3590 8 183 8 215 8 236 11 249 11*271 3590 3328 7 170 7 217 8 236 11 249 11 269 3328 3168 6 162 7 217 8 237 10 249 9 268 3168 3077 2*132 6 217 7 236 8 248 7 266 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography