DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Hernandez 2868ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1031z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1901z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 61.1 - - 69.7 - - 70.1 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 394 - - 525 - - 253 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 2799 - - 4590 - - 4840 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2868 - - 4716 - - 6202 - - 6116 - - 2868 Hcrit BL Top 2980 - - 5668 - - 7458 - - 7709 - - 2885 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 196 - - 639 - - 448 - - 458 - - 2180 Hgt.Variab. W* 59 - - 425 - - 552 - - 441 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 20 - - 31 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 008 - - 336 - - 000 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 11 - - 37 - - 17 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -161 - - -1353 - - -1040 - - -771 - - -2874 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3141 - - 7021 - - 8498 - - 8480 - - 5759 sfcLCL ODpotential -10412 - - -9712 - - -7434 - - -6982 - - -10687 ODpotential blCL 13392 - - 15380 - - 14892 - - 14691 - - 13572 blCL maxRH 88 - - 73 - - 78 - - 74 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 61.1 - - 69.7 - - 70.1 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.2 - - 40.2 - - 42.1 - - 42.7 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.8 - - 58.7 - - 66.7 - - 68.6 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 40.2 - - 42.1 - - 42.7 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 394 - - 525 - - 253 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 2799 - - 4590 - - 4840 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 76483 14 241 20 259 18 258 15 293 15 281 76483 61369 24 285 11 304 14 274 20 274 21 302 61369 57941 34 279 31 287 31 287 25 274 20 280 57941 54035 42 271 40 281 39 276 37 280 35 283 54035 51342 44 277 43 290 40 285 43 274 45 287 51342 48186 59 284 57 286 52 290 48 270 51 283 48186 45502 65 280 60 280 54 282 52 276 51 286 45502 42988 65 282 57 283 52 284 57 279 53 289 42988 40107 67 283 60 287 55 289 56 286 52 297 40107 38983 69 280 62 283 56 289 59 295 55 309 38983 38279 69 276 62 279 56 288 59 302 56 313 38279 37605 66 275 57 279 53 287 57 306 54 319 37605 36822 59 278 53 277 48 291 51 308 51 329 36822 35636 58 282 51 277 43 295 44 313 50 334 35636 34221 56 283 48 279 40 303 43 316 46 334 34221 32286 53 286 44 284 37 309 40 323 38 331 32286 28911 47 294 43 284 34 314 35 325 33 334 28911 24712 44 309 37 284 34 320 28 331 29 335 24712 18991 46 322 35 306 30 321 24 331 26 335 18991 17124 46 329 33 315 26 321 20 324 25 329 17124 16152 43 333 32 321 25 322 18 325 22 327 16152 15256 41 339 29 329 24 327 16 325 18 325 15256 14061 38 343 27 337 22 331 13 327 17 330 14061 12167 35 342 25 340 21 333 10 328 14 331 12167 10951 32 338 23 340 19 331 8 325 13 331 10951 10072 29 336 21 342 16 332 7 335 13 340 10072 9328 26 344 22 344 12 335 7 344 13 343 9328 8595 18 326 19 343 11 354 7 003 14 341 8595 8217 18 320 18 330 12 358 7 012 13 339 8217 7921 18 320 18 328 12 357 6*019 12 342 7921 7627 18 321 18 329 12*001 4*355 10 343 7627 7336 18 324 17 333 8*001 4 341 7 341 7336 7048 18 329 16 338 6 355 4 340 5 340 7048 6762 18 332 14 343 5 344 5 346 4 344 6762 6479 17 335 13 350 4 343 6 350 4 351 6479 6198 17 337 11 358 4 338 6 355 4 000 6198 5920 17 338 9*007 4 328 7 357 4 012 5920 5644 16 340 7*014 4 327 8 359 6 017 5644 5371 15 340 5 020 4 330 8 001 9 016 5371 5101 13 338 4 015 3 334 9 002 12 015 5101 4833 10 333 4 009 3 332 9 002 14 013 4833 4566 7 323 4 009 3 331 10 003 15 012 4566 4303 5 311 4 006 2 328 10 005 16 012 4303 4041 4 305 4 007 2 327 10 006 17 011 4041 3781 3 318 3 007 2 323 10 007 17 011 3781 3522 3 347 3 003 2 318 10 007 17 009 3522 3266 4 357 3 360 2 318 10 007 15 009 3266 3075 6*019 3 355 2 313 9 007 12 010 3075 2948 6*023 2 349 1 307 8 007 10*012 2948 2885 4 022 2 347 1 292 7 007 6*012 2885 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography