DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0736z - - 0738z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.4 - - 50.9 - - 48.1 - - 49.1 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 83 - - 62 - - 10 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 15 - - 1866 - - 1560 - - 1786 - - 685 BL Depth Hcrit 1069 - - 1438 - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top 1085 - - 2936 - - 2630 - - 2856 - - 1755 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 240 - - 832 - - 1141 - - 1669 - - 2957 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 227 - - 193 - - 116 - - 39 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 11 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 320 - - 209 - - 245 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -7 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -609 - - -262 - - 742 - - 862 - - 540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1694 - - 3198 - - 1888 - - 1994 - - 1215 sfcLCL ODpotential -9885 - - -5707 - - -5 - - 310 - - -140 ODpotential blCL 10970 - - 8643 - - 2635 - - 2546 - - 1895 blCL maxRH 72 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 20 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.4 - - 50.9 - - 48.1 - - 49.1 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 40.8 - - 43.7 - - 44.2 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 50.6 - - 47.8 - - 49.4 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.3 - - 39.6 - - 42.7 - - 43.5 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 83 - - 62 - - 10 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 15 - - 1866 - - 1560 - - 1786 - - 685 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97523 5 257 15 254 12 257 13 247 14 241 97523 90246 6 332 4 225 6 228 6 257 4 253 90246 84673 8 341 7 042 3 227 7 289 7 005 84673 80024 6 350 6 067 0 305 6 280 7 343 80024 75980 4 310 2 033 3 033 5 274 7 307 75980 72388 5 230 1 343 4 173 7 233 8 283 72388 69118 9 210 4 277 3 263 6 259 7 257 69118 66095 12 212 12 258 11 257 18 251 13 254 66095 63285 11 220 16 242 17 261 13 247 19 270 63285 60557 12 257 15 238 28 256 25 253 20 260 60557 57711 25 267 22 268 29 249 22 260 25 267 57711 54754 38 266 31 257 31 258 41 265 43 263 54754 51932 39 277 28 277 52 263 54 258 51 261 51932 49396 52 280 55 272 58 254 59 259 57 265 49396 47126 59 268 63 257 53 250 64 257 64 264 47126 45065 59 257 55 255 51 257 60 253 66 262 45065 43179 51 256 48 266 62 266 62 258 71 263 43179 41452 49 272 63 273 78 264 77 260 84 259 41452 39877 75 283 78 269 82 257 85 254 92 252 39877 38430 87 275 81 264 80 256 87 249 96 246 38430 37081 87 269 78 259 77 255 89 246 93 243 37081 35782 86 266 77 257 74 252 89 244 88 241 35782 34462 86 262 76 256 71 248 86 244 83 239 34462 33091 84 260 73 256 68 245 80 245 76 237 33091 31671 79 259 67 254 65 241 75 245 70 232 31671 30187 69 262 65 254 61 237 72 243 66 229 30187 28623 55 263 64 254 66 236 70 240 63 227 28623 26977 49 263 59 250 68 238 70 238 61 226 26977 25249 47 261 53 247 61 242 68 240 59 226 25249 23443 46 251 50 244 59 240 68 245 58 227 23443 21562 44 248 48 246 58 236 66 249 57 231 21562 19605 45 254 46 252 49 242 61 250 56 237 19605 17568 47 262 46 245 46 254 57 245 56 240 17568 15494 49 266 55 234 42 262 53 236 51 239 15494 13499 41 261 59 230 42 256 53 236 48 236 13499 11688 39 252 49 227 48 247 51 236 44 238 11688 10084 41 248 46 223 44 239 46 234 40 244 10084 8666 30 252 28 221 35 236 35 238 30 245 8666 7416 22 271 19 222 31 241 22 247 16 239 7416 6314 20 281 10 254 27 236 16 250 11 268 6314 5343 16 286 12 297 18 223 13 257 14 294 5343 4491 14 288 13 310 9 219 8 268 13 291 4491 3741 12 284 13 315 5 235 5 273 12 284 3741 3070 10 291 13*319 4*224 5*266 11 278 3070 2476 9 311 13*320 5*214 5*253 10 271 2476 1980 10 324 12 320 5 210 5 247 9*263 1980 1599 11 323 11 320 6 208 5 242 8*255 1599 1336 8 292 10 320 5 207 5 242 7 248 1336 1177 5 276 9 319 5 207 5 240 6 244 1177 1085 2*229 8 319 4 206 4 238 4 241 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography