DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0727z - - 1036z - - 1337z - - 1604z - - 1904z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.4 - - 53.7 - - 62.3 - - 63.8 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 81 - - 216 - - 91 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 827 - - 3119 - - 2894 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 1032 - - 1032 - - 2949 - - 2343 - - 1032 Hcrit BL Top 1050 - - 1897 - - 4189 - - 3964 - - 1154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 302 - - 1274 - - 514 - - 655 - - 2162 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 167 - - 361 - - 270 - - 25 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 20 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 001 - - 025 - - 022 - - 051 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -5 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -15 - - -738 - - -199 - - -937 - - -1654 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1065 - - 2636 - - 4388 - - 4901 - - 2808 sfcLCL ODpotential -13222 - - -12024 - - -8553 - - -10777 - - -11107 ODpotential blCL 14272 - - 13921 - - 12742 - - 14741 - - 12261 blCL maxRH 94 - - 83 - - 89 - - 90 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.4 - - 53.7 - - 62.3 - - 63.8 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.5 - - 45.9 - - 46.8 - - 46.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.0 - - 53.2 - - 60.9 - - 63.3 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 45.9 - - 46.8 - - 46.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 81 - - 216 - - 91 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 827 - - 3119 - - 2894 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 31 - - 57 - - 59 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 76124 12 313 13 314 16 335 11 339 10 003 76124 62042 31 325 26 345 12 312 17 314 23 322 62042 56626 53 299 48 309 31 302 31 316 30 305 56626 54239 43 287 40 289 31 309 39 318 45 313 54239 51344 60 307 57 300 45 296 48 303 44 305 51344 48493 73 300 65 300 50 293 52 293 60 292 48493 46799 78 293 76 294 58 293 57 295 65 295 46799 44328 80 287 83 291 67 289 72 297 71 295 44328 42343 81 284 86 289 73 291 75 300 72 297 42343 40354 84 287 87 287 76 290 74 296 72 299 40354 38463 88 289 87 285 76 290 73 290 72 304 38463 37264 89 293 85 285 74 290 72 289 74 305 37264 36152 87 297 81 287 65 285 68 289 75 308 36152 33787 92 290 79 288 58 282 59 290 66 304 33787 31504 80 293 61 292 54 282 51 293 59 301 31504 28171 70 291 41 289 52 291 41 296 48 300 28171 26464 51 290 39 290 32 283 41 287 38 297 26464 22886 33 307 32 279 37 306 34 288 33 301 22886 20569 28 313 24 291 27 302 35 315 27 312 20569 18259 22 301 21 294 24 287 17 288 15 299 18259 17005 26 288 29 273 28 285 16 283 20 280 17005 16078 25 300 24 300 31 296 13 304 21 282 16078 14452 26 307 22 312 29 304 15 311 14 308 14452 12491 25 309 21 316 22 306 15 307 12 314 12491 11253 24 311 22 318 22 308 18 297 14 298 11253 10129 24 313 24 317 20 308 18 297 15 303 10129 9340 26 315 26 315 19 312 18 305 17 318 9340 8370 27 321 24 323 17 315 17 302 17 311 8370 7278 27 326 22 337 15 317 18 304 19 309 7278 6535 26 332 19 345 18 308 18 311 19 318 6535 6210 25 337 16 353 16 307 17 317 18 324 6210 5888 22 343 13 352 14 304 14 317 17 328 5888 5569 19 346 10 347 11 310 10 320 12 340 5569 5255 16 345 9 344 8 328 6 341 9 006 5255 4945 15 358 8 347 7 354 5 042 9 038 4945 4638 15 001 7 359 7 009 8 063 11 053 4638 4335 15 004 6 018 6*019 10 063 13 059 4335 4035 16 004 6 038 6*030 11*057 13 060 4035 3738 16 005 7 053 4 033 12*051 13 060 3738 3444 16 007 8 059 4 033 12 051 13 057 3444 3153 16 008 9 059 4 033 12 051 14 054 3153 2865 16 008 9 058 4 031 11 051 14 055 2865 2579 16 007 9 058 4 026 11 051 14 059 2579 2296 15 004 10 046 3 013 10 050 14 065 2296 2015 15 003 11*030 2 359 10 050 14 069 2015 1737 16 005 11*027 2 359 10 051 13 072 1737 1460 16 007 7 026 2 359 9 051 13 073 1460 1254 12 003 6 024 2 359 9 051 11*074 1254 1117 8*002 5 025 2 359 8 051 10*075 1117 1049 6*001 5 025 2 359 7 052 8 076 1049 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography