DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0806z - - 1008z - - 1344z - - 1608z - - 1908z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.7 - - 28.3 - - 31.7 - - 33.7 - - 31.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 32 - - 106 - - 28 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 837 - - 982 - - 1099 - - 716 - - 635 BL Depth Hcrit 1032 - - 1032 - - 1032 - - 1032 - - 1032 Hcrit BL Top 1907 - - 2052 - - 2169 - - 1786 - - 1705 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 663 - - 239 - - 302 - - 395 - - 510 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 129 - - 199 - - 112 - - 30 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 18 - - 16 - - 13 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 267 - - 260 - - 263 - - 262 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 441 - - 403 - - -90 - - -134 - - 356 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1467 - - 1649 - - 2259 - - 1920 - - 1349 sfcLCL ODpotential 236 - - 202 - - -10589 - - -9202 - - 98 ODpotential blCL 1671 - - 1850 - - 12758 - - 10988 - - 1607 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 91 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.7 - - 28.3 - - 31.7 - - 33.7 - - 31.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 25.0 - - 25.7 - - 29.2 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.0 - - 28.5 - - 31.4 - - 33.8 - - 32.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 25.0 - - 25.7 - - 29.2 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 32 - - 106 - - 28 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 837 - - 982 - - 1099 - - 716 - - 635 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 85 - - 63 - - 63 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 68963 20 053 21 040 18 040 15 037 15 025 68963 59223 13 317 18 259 20 274 14 303 17 277 59223 54320 27 279 31 272 24 267 31 270 36 269 54320 49063 32 277 30 269 35 255 46 259 46 265 49063 45976 42 273 34 271 48 257 45 260 53 266 45976 43044 37 266 28 274 36 253 49 262 51 269 43044 41494 33 265 24 274 31 264 46 261 51 271 41494 40589 30 264 28 274 35 280 41 263 50 265 40589 40092 26 265 34 265 41 283 37 270 49 260 40092 39790 24 265 27 258 44 282 35 274 44 255 39790 39285 23 261 25 252 41 287 37 274 40 256 39285 38940 20 250 24 250 40 282 36 271 39 261 38940 38692 22 257 22 247 37 267 36 263 37 265 38692 38416 23 275 18 254 31 257 34 259 36 266 38416 38143 25 276 19 271 24 251 31 257 35 267 38143 37764 23 255 23 285 22 248 29 258 39 270 37764 37293 21 253 25 271 21 251 30 260 40 253 37293 35979 17 261 21 261 20 247 32 262 42 260 35979 35212 15 288 17 254 19 240 30 244 41 255 35212 34166 15 301 13 261 18 247 28 234 39 247 34166 32553 14 312 11 268 18 256 27 242 38 248 32553 30870 14 320 10 276 17 264 25 257 36 247 30870 28841 14 318 9 277 16 264 26 267 36 249 28841 25381 14 308 12 289 17 278 28 272 36 258 25381 23357 17 304 15 307 18 292 28 271 37 268 23357 22454 20 310 20 321 18 303 27 270 37 274 22454 21656 24 314 23 322 21 310 25 273 37 275 21656 19384 26 315 24 317 25 310 24 279 35 268 19384 16825 24 311 24 315 26 310 25 289 32 269 16825 14851 21 304 24 313 23 308 25 292 33 274 14851 13197 20 290 22 303 24 306 28 297 33 272 13197 11634 19 292 20 297 25 299 31 303 30 280 11634 9506 17 298 18 290 22 297 24 301 25 286 9506 7877 14 294 15 289 17 289 20 292 24 285 7877 6482 13 289 14 289 15 279 19 288 22 297 6482 6012 12 290 13 289 14 272 18 283 22 300 6012 5548 13 295 12 290 14 270 15 279 21 304 5548 5092 14 301 12 295 13 273 13 281 19 305 5092 4643 15 305 13 303 12 280 11 283 16 308 4643 4200 15 307 14 308 11 279 11 295 14 309 4200 3764 16 310 14 310 10 276 12 321 15 310 3764 3335 18 311 15 314 11 274 14 330 17 313 3335 2913 20 306 16 314 11 280 14 327 19 313 2913 2498 22 281 21 277 18*269 15 321 18 305 2498 2095 22*270 23*264 18*264 16*273 18*274 2095 1698 19*267 21*261 17 264 15*263 17*263 1698 1437 18 267 20 261 16 263 14 263 15 262 1437 1243 17 266 18 260 15 263 13 262 14 263 1243 1113 15 266 16 260 13 262 12 261 13 263 1113 1049 12 265 13 260 11 262 10 261 10 263 1049 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography