DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/22 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0705z - - 1005z - - 1347z - - 1607z - - 1905z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.1 - - 71.5 - - 84.5 - - 77.9 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 65 - - 101 - - 303 - - 74 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 612 - - 702 - - 6657 - - 2876 - - 604 BL Depth Hcrit 66 - - 67 - - 4825 - - 1345 - - 67 Hcrit BL Top 692 - - 782 - - 6737 - - 2956 - - 684 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 604 - - 1286 - - 1625 - - 2715 - - 2648 Hgt.Variab. W* 139 - - 174 - - 519 - - 270 - - 50 W* B/S 4 - - 115 - - 30 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 0 - - 3 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 208 - - 279 - - 214 - - 177 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - 17 - - 9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -238 - - -751 - - 1242 - - 49 - - -1428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 930 - - 1533 - - 5496 - - 2907 - - 2112 sfcLCL ODpotential -2933 - - -2581 - - 1756 - - -572 - - -2924 ODpotential blCL 3625 - - 3363 - - 4981 - - 3528 - - 3608 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 95 - - 100 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 540 - - 960 - - 1580 - - 1500 CAPE Temp@2m 67.1 - - 71.5 - - 84.5 - - 77.9 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.8 - - 64.7 - - 60.1 - - 65.1 - - 65.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.6 - - 70.8 - - 82.6 - - 77.3 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.1 - - 65.1 - - 60.5 - - 65.5 - - 66.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 65 - - 101 - - 303 - - 74 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 612 - - 702 - - 6657 - - 2876 - - 604 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 100 - - 80 - - 102 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 13 - - 11 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98277 23 217 4 258 8 194 20 191 14 261 98277 90811 11 225 7 235 5 206 10 198 17 265 90811 85023 4 276 5 247 7 204 6 235 12 259 85023 80274 1 110 1 256 6 242 2 216 5 250 80274 76217 5 065 2 062 5 265 1 047 2 289 76217 72649 9 008 6 062 2 245 2 033 2 356 72649 69413 9 330 4 040 2 061 2 321 4 009 69413 66434 7 268 3 016 3 070 2 023 2 033 66434 63696 7 208 7 282 1 270 5 349 2 086 63696 61137 6 198 11 260 5 247 5 275 4 153 61137 58396 1 129 12 251 13 236 8 237 10 196 58396 55411 13 239 15 244 20 238 13 220 18 200 55411 52588 20 231 21 236 27 232 22 225 25 207 52588 50067 23 237 25 227 31 225 29 226 31 209 50067 47784 26 241 27 218 34 224 33 226 33 210 47784 45697 28 233 27 207 36 222 37 228 30 214 45697 43789 25 221 23 199 37 215 38 228 30 228 43789 42048 21 213 18 209 35 204 34 226 33 233 42048 40458 17 217 16 225 28 192 25 228 29 236 40458 38995 18 224 14 229 17 210 16 231 23 241 38995 37630 21 222 13 232 23 228 15 230 19 236 37630 36336 17 220 13 233 21 229 15 210 14 240 36336 34992 14 221 11 230 19 225 15 202 12 248 34992 33576 12 236 9 228 16 220 14 206 13 247 33576 32126 11 275 8 222 13 219 12 214 16 238 32126 30594 10 285 7 223 12 220 11 220 18 223 30594 28975 9 274 8 225 10 222 11 222 19 215 28975 27272 9 266 10 243 9 219 12 226 16 217 27272 25486 10 254 12 258 10 206 14 232 13 225 25486 23615 8 240 11 268 9 206 15 234 10 240 23615 21675 6 225 11 285 8 213 14 237 9 278 21675 19651 8 212 11 292 7 224 10 242 9 280 19651 17532 9 206 12 288 5 237 7 249 8 254 17532 15335 11 203 14 282 5 261 3 263 9 230 15335 13221 14 204 15 265 7 275 3 320 6 242 13221 11335 13 208 16 255 11 267 7 297 8 290 11335 9662 13 229 18 251 14 256 10 281 12 291 9662 8173 13 246 19 252 14 252 9 261 13 283 8173 6849 11 251 16 253 11*250 8 244 14 278 6849 5672 12 257 13 262 7*239 8 224 13 271 5672 4632 13 261 12 277 3 212 10 207 13 247 4632 3716 11 257 12 288 3 210 11*204 14 227 3716 2916 9 256 11 294 3 211 10*198 15 218 2916 2193 9 263 8 293 3 209 10 188 15 209 2193 1544 9 272 5 289 3 205 10 179 15 198 1544 1010 10*257 2*277 2 203 11 169 15*179 1010 598 9*220 0*266 2 203 11 166 12*165 598 322 5 203 0 279 2 200 10 163 11 164 322 163 5 201 0 335 2 198 10 164 10 163 163 84 4 200 0 255 2 198 8 163 7 163 84 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography