DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 78.4 - - 77.8 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 509 - - 185 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6654 - - 9504 - - 8811 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7059 - - 9394 - - 8223 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8754 - - 11604 - - 10911 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3909 - - 1715 - - 2173 - - 6866 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 608 - - 692 - - 482 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 17 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 268 - - 273 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -6 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1795 - - -1250 - - -2665 - - -9304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10550 - - 12855 - - 13577 - - 11448 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3085 - - -3107 - - -5133 - - -13782 ODpotential blCL - - - 11839 - - 14711 - - 16044 - - 15926 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 60 - - 49 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 78.4 - - 77.8 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 28.6 - - 24.9 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 75.6 - - 76.5 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 28.5 - - 24.9 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 509 - - 185 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6654 - - 9504 - - 8811 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98283 7 317 3 224 7 326 10 323 98283 90821 7 220 9 218 12 304 15 312 90821 85055 10 198 10 236 12 255 15 296 85055 80266 12 209 8 236 10 252 8 268 80266 76159 5 167 7 177 6 227 8 250 76159 72556 2 156 5 136 7 152 8 165 72556 69329 5 187 1 252 5 215 1 313 69329 66384 12 193 10 211 11 199 4 245 66384 63667 9 159 11 199 18 217 11 230 63667 61030 14 186 17 189 25 195 19 236 61030 58257 19 251 25 255 31 243 32 243 58257 55354 41 237 40 236 34 241 39 253 55354 52533 42 220 40 231 47 250 49 255 52533 49957 43 233 47 246 55 254 53 258 49957 47639 49 246 55 253 58 256 52 263 47639 45547 58 255 60 256 58 261 56 265 45547 43644 68 256 67 257 62 265 56 273 43644 41902 74 253 71 255 66 267 59 272 41902 40296 74 253 70 257 67 267 50 273 40296 38799 77 254 70 260 68 267 49 293 38799 37406 79 254 68 261 63 268 56 301 37406 36080 81 254 67 264 59 274 56 300 36080 34745 83 254 71 269 62 276 51 300 34745 33367 87 256 78 272 64 276 47 301 33367 31949 93 257 88 271 63 275 45 307 31949 30478 99 255 90 267 63 274 44 310 30478 28940 102 252 76 266 62 274 40 302 28940 27336 97 251 66 263 60 275 42 291 27336 25664 82 252 57 265 58 278 46 289 25664 23928 62 253 52 274 57 282 47 291 23928 22132 51 257 51 279 55 287 46 284 22132 20265 46 260 44 280 50 293 44 280 20265 18322 39 266 38 282 41 297 39 285 18322 16346 35 272 34 276 29 293 28 290 16346 14448 27 279 29 277 20 292 20 291 14448 12722 21 291 19*278 14 279 15 287 12722 11184 20 287 16*271 14*273 11 272 11184 9815 19*274 16 270 15*272 9 269 9815 8593 19*264 16 270 15 272 11 273 8593 7501 19 256 17 269 16 273 13 276 7501 6527 19 250 17 268 17 273 14 278 6527 5664 20 248 17 267 17 273 15 280 5664 4896 20 248 17 267 17 273 16 281 4896 4205 20 247 17 267 18 274 17 281 4205 3590 20 247 17 267 18 273 18 282 3590 3076 19 247 17 266 17 274 18 283 3076 2679 19 247 16 266 17 274 17 282 2679 2406 18 247 16 267 17 274 14 281 2406 2239 17 247 15 266 16 274 10 280 2239 2144 15 247 13 266 13 274 6*276 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography