DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1017z - - 1350z - - 1616z - - 1914z - - 2207z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.8 - - 30.8 - - 31.7 - - 30.6 - - 22.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 70 - - 49 - - -13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 1708 - - 2255 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6632 - - 6632 - - 6632 - - 6632 - - 6632 Hcrit BL Top 7027 - - 8393 - - 8940 - - 6650 - - 6650 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1611 - - 1874 - - 2540 - - 5650 - - 56 Hgt.Variab. W* 47 - - 212 - - 208 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 252 - - 320 - - 272 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - -2 - - -14 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 379 - - 1745 - - 1948 - - 2 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6649 - - 6649 - - 6992 - - 6649 - - 6649 sfcLCL ODpotential 126 - - 701 - - 562 - - -1597 - - -2958 ODpotential blCL 6901 - - 7692 - - 8378 - - 8247 - - 9608 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 92 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 22 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.8 - - 30.8 - - 31.7 - - 30.6 - - 22.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.7 - - 26.0 - - 24.4 - - 25.1 - - 21.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.8 - - 30.2 - - 31.2 - - 31.0 - - 22.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.7 - - 26.0 - - 24.4 - - 25.1 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 70 - - 49 - - -13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 1708 - - 2255 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 104 - - 102 - - 95 - - 68 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74134 20 109 21 099 25 097 24 113 24 112 74134 59853 7 204 8 278 11 269 8 288 6 303 59853 54984 20 221 22 251 24 266 23 277 21 294 54984 49498 25 270 28 258 30 260 27 257 28 272 49498 45936 33 266 34 260 35 263 41 284 39 293 45936 42747 35 269 34 260 32 277 39 280 35 286 42747 40527 41 257 36 273 33 287 32 289 31 296 40527 39298 40 263 39 274 36 285 41 294 39 309 39298 38637 40 268 38 276 41 280 46 290 43 302 38637 38077 41 268 40 281 41 278 44 284 49 301 38077 37506 42 268 45 284 42 288 42 285 50 300 37506 37081 45 269 49 283 51 294 42 284 55 296 37081 36504 46 270 50 277 54 292 46 288 58 290 36504 35370 48 269 47 276 55 289 51 284 53 285 35370 34208 48 265 48 281 56 285 53 282 54 285 34208 33166 50 260 52 282 58 283 56 283 53 287 33166 32354 54 261 55 278 61 284 60 283 54 290 32354 31424 55 263 59 275 68 284 68 285 60 290 31424 30364 52 266 62 275 74 284 74 287 67 290 30364 29286 54 267 66 276 75 281 78 286 71 289 29286 28427 57 265 67 277 74 279 78 284 74 286 28427 27671 57 263 68 277 73 277 77 281 72 284 27671 27022 56 262 66 277 72 276 75 280 62 282 27022 26511 54 261 65 277 70 276 70 279 51 278 26511 26208 52 260 63 276 67 274 64 280 47 276 26208 25966 51 259 60 273 63 272 57 280 45 277 25966 25639 49 259 54 269 56 270 51 279 39 278 25639 25136 48 261 48 261 48 267 47 273 32 279 25136 24518 43 259 45 265 48 255 44 261 30 279 24518 23699 35 262 35 263 42 262 38 269 26 286 23699 20177 28 264 28 262 33 267 26 281 14 296 20177 18227 24 268 21 264 23 265 13 287 6 303 18227 13401 20 263 15 242 16 263 10 286 9 289 13401 10915 19 256 11 246 9 270 13 292 13 288 10915 10573 17 249 11 247 8 277 12 294 14 289 10573 10246 17 248 11 247 8 280 12 296 14 291 10246 9921 15 246 12 248 8 280 12 298 15 292 9921 9601 15 247 12 248 8 283 10 298 14 294 9601 9283 14 248 13 248 8 286 9 295 14 296 9283 8968 13 248 13 248 8*291 9 293 13 300 8968 8656 14 245 12*248 5*312 9 291 13 307 8656 8347 15 241 11*249 4 320 9 289 13 314 8347 8040 17 234 9 251 4 320 9 289 13 323 8040 7737 18 228 8 251 4 322 9 287 13 326 7737 7436 17 221 8 251 4 321 9 285 13 327 7436 7138 14*217 7 253 4 323 8 282 12 325 7138 6941 12*217 7 255 4 321 8 280 10 325 6941 6794 11 216 6 256 3 319 7 277 7 335 6794 6697 9 215 6 258 3 319 5*274 5*359 6697 6649 7 215 5 258 3 322 4*272 2*002 6649 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography