DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 64.8 - - 56.2 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 500 - - 531 - - 215 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12435 - - 14891 - - 3843 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16454 - - 18541 - - 9149 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 19120 - - 21576 - - 10528 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1912 - - 5128 - - 7671 - - 6694 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 784 - - 851 - - 401 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 26 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 224 - - 291 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -26 - - -15 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3545 - - 4240 - - -1366 - - -3619 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15575 - - 17337 - - 11894 - - 10418 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1919 - - 2916 - - -3127 - - -5659 ODpotential blCL - - - 17201 - - 18660 - - 13655 - - 12458 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 85 - - 64 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 260 - - 490 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 64.8 - - 56.2 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.7 - - 11.4 - - 27.5 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 62.0 - - 54.9 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.2 - - 10.8 - - 27.6 - - 27.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 500 - - 531 - - 215 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12435 - - 14891 - - 3843 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98209 26 256 16 281 22 278 20 288 98209 90726 26 263 15 274 23 270 22 282 90726 84968 16 246 19 261 23 273 18 279 84968 80226 5 242 14 235 13 279 14 289 80226 76173 2 190 8 191 7 222 11 277 76173 72615 3 257 6 171 3 169 4 223 72615 69386 6 195 5 207 4 167 8 142 69386 66391 8 133 6 199 12 241 10 229 66391 63637 2 108 16 142 9 222 12 251 63637 60993 24 256 10 277 21 265 23 262 60993 58202 31 237 26 250 29 227 32 242 58202 55252 33 256 34 242 34 236 35 238 55252 52387 48 249 51 244 46 246 43 242 52387 49778 52 241 58 240 55 244 47 243 49778 47428 54 236 58 237 53 248 43 247 47428 45300 55 235 57 237 49 251 39 250 45300 43358 54 236 54 238 50 248 37 258 43358 41574 55 236 50 236 50 243 39 258 41574 39924 58 232 46 231 47 245 35 262 39924 38392 61 227 45 229 46 248 36 264 38392 36972 64 224 48 230 42 243 34 256 36972 35635 69 222 54 226 35 239 27 261 35635 34315 74 218 57 220 33 243 22 255 34315 32986 77 215 55 216 31 243 15 267 32986 31660 80 213 49 216 22 240 7 275 31660 30335 81 212 45 218 18 250 8 185 30335 28986 80 212 42 221 21 228 3 222 28986 27599 75 211 38 226 26 207 2 117 27599 26175 66 211 33 230 25 206 2 093 26175 24717 55 211 28 230 23 216 1 241 24717 23234 46 212 24 228 22 232 6 276 23234 21720 39 215 23*227 20 242 10 279 21720 20171 30*223 20*224 15 246 9 276 20171 18612 19*232 18 222 12 256 10 278 18612 17119 15 235 17 221 10 272 13 292 17119 15759 12 233 16 221 10 284 15 308 15759 14541 9 225 16 221 10 291 17 319 14541 13443 9 222 16 223 10 295 17 318 13443 12449 8 223 15 224 12 296 16 301 12449 11547 8 223 15 225 14 296 17 286 11547 10728 8 225 15 226 17*295 18 280 10728 9989 8 226 15 227 20*294 20 277 9989 9318 8 228 15 228 23 293 21 275 9318 8703 8 229 15 229 27 292 22 274 8703 8147 8 231 14 230 28 291 22 272 8147 7674 8 232 14 230 29 290 21 272 7674 7305 8 233 14 231 29 290 19 270 7305 7047 7 233 14 231 28 290 15 270 7047 6890 7 234 13 231 26 289 13*269 6890 6799 7 234 12 231 20 289 9*269 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography