DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 76.0 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 477 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8499 - - 12397 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13194 - - 16398 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15184 - - 19082 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1807 - - 847 - - - - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 685 - - 772 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 19 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 243 - - - - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 18 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -10 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1132 - - 2072 - - - - - -9387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16317 - - 17010 - - - - - 16188 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5111 - - 821 - - - - - -12896 ODpotential blCL - - - 20295 - - 18261 - - - - - 19696 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 72 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 76.0 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 24.3 - - - - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 73.4 - - - - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.3 - - 23.5 - - - - - 17.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 477 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8499 - - 12397 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97937 20 261 21 267 16 299 97937 90545 10 254 16 267 20 311 90545 84863 5 238 12 259 12 317 84863 80136 6 207 8 247 3 316 80136 76064 4 153 3 193 3 082 76064 72478 4 114 5 179 5 107 72478 69236 2 134 4 179 6 124 69236 66248 10 190 9 216 6 208 66248 63472 9 181 10 186 9 189 63472 60773 14 232 11 251 4 251 60773 57963 22 236 23 247 27 237 57963 55068 22 238 24 243 26 236 55068 52299 27 251 28 246 28 260 52299 49815 32 258 36 257 42 266 49815 47626 31 270 40 263 45 265 47626 45675 35 287 38 267 46 272 45675 43898 40 289 37 277 58 283 43898 42251 41 285 36 284 68 285 42251 40710 40 280 36 287 72 283 40710 39263 35 277 38 285 67 278 39263 37909 30 283 39 282 62 272 37909 36617 28 295 36 279 60 270 36617 35323 28 297 30 277 59 272 35323 34000 28 297 27 279 57 276 34000 32652 25 302 22 282 52 280 32652 31272 21 309 16 284 40 280 31272 29853 19 311 14 285 30 278 29853 28399 19 307 17 281 26 269 28399 26911 19 291 16 277 25 255 26911 25394 18 280 16 269 26 245 25394 23852 16 276 14 257 25 247 23852 22282 22 277 16 266 25 254 22282 20680 29 276 28*259 23 245 20680 19071 30 270 28*252 21 231 19071 17531 28 265 24 246 21 232 17531 16125 25*263 24 245 23 237 16125 14862 20*262 23 245 25 242 14862 13723 17 262 20 242 26 246 13723 12689 16 261 18 241 27 250 12689 11749 14 259 17 239 28 252 11749 10896 13 257 15 238 29 255 10896 10124 12 255 15 237 30 256 10124 9425 11 254 14 237 31 258 9425 8784 11 254 13 236 31 259 8784 8204 10 253 13 236 30 260 8204 7711 10 252 12 236 27 260 7711 7326 10 252 12 236 22 260 7326 7058 9 251 12 235 16 258 7058 6894 9 252 11 236 12*255 6894 6800 8 252 10 235 6*250 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography