DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1014z - - 1349z - - 1614z - - 1912z - - 2205z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 9.0 - - 21.1 - - 25.1 - - 20.2 - - 12.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -80 - - -11 - - 5 - - -5 - - -70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 45 - - 45 - - 45 - - 45 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 6257 - - 6257 - - 6257 - - 6257 - - 6257 Hcrit BL Top 6274 - - 6274 - - 6274 - - 6274 - - 6274 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 73 - - 537 - - 1087 - - 511 - - 145 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 19 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 999 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 176 - - 117 - - 180 - - 171 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 0 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -277 - - -1315 - - -1347 - - -205 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6552 - - 7589 - - 7621 - - 6479 - - 6274 sfcLCL ODpotential -9073 - - -6184 - - -5385 - - -5766 - - -9381 ODpotential blCL 15347 - - 12458 - - 11659 - - 12040 - - 15655 blCL maxRH 65 - - 59 - - 62 - - 71 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 9.0 - - 21.1 - - 25.1 - - 20.2 - - 12.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 3.1 - - 10.4 - - 14.1 - - 14.3 - - 8.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 9.4 - - 20.8 - - 24.6 - - 20.6 - - 12.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.1 - - 10.4 - - 14.1 - - 14.3 - - 8.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -80 - - -11 - - 5 - - -5 - - -70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 45 - - 45 - - 45 - - 45 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 69829 33 105 34 102 36 098 35 102 35 097 69829 58308 13 102 13 108 5 052 13 043 12 063 58308 53122 7 038 10 351 7 070 2 002 7 338 53122 49166 11 340 10 330 9 357 12 352 14 355 49166 45173 8 340 11 355 8 346 9 347 17 321 45173 42889 4 037 11 001 14 351 12 338 22 332 42889 41904 11 040 6 006 21 340 13 350 19 333 41904 40907 17 029 8 087 16 332 18 360 21 338 40907 40098 21 027 16 072 14 351 20 006 20 341 40098 39532 23 027 18 058 17 359 24 015 18 349 39532 39134 21 024 21 045 18 005 27 012 17 354 39134 38797 20 018 24 035 18 026 30 009 18 355 38797 38453 20 016 27 031 21 035 28 009 22 358 38453 37967 15 047 30 029 23 037 24 022 27 355 37967 37380 21 075 29 017 28 036 22 033 30 348 37380 36606 25 060 27 024 31 039 28 028 29 342 36606 35664 31 056 33 032 33 035 33 027 21 344 35664 34905 38 054 37 035 36 030 38 029 21 354 34905 34476 44 054 41 037 41 031 41 028 22 003 34476 33832 47 051 44 041 45 034 43 025 26 006 33832 33102 48 052 47 045 48 037 44 024 30 007 33102 32096 49 052 49 048 49 039 44 024 33 009 32096 30969 50 052 51 049 52 041 44 028 33 013 30969 29357 51 053 53 048 55 044 45 033 34 023 29357 28567 51 054 55 046 58 045 45 038 40 014 28567 24815 53 054 54 045 57 046 46 034 38 004 24815 23548 53 055 51 047 53 049 43 035 40 035 23548 20240 51 059 45 054 45 051 37 042 35 041 20240 16968 46 062 40 063 38 057 27 048 25 047 16968 15438 40 068 34 068 34 065 20 055 15 019 15438 14194 31 078 29 071 26 065 15 049 11 007 14194 13072 24 076 23 063 22 067 11 041 9 012 13072 11950 22 063 19 061 17 065 9 050 6 047 11950 10643 15 079 13 069 11 058 8 052 5 059 10643 10300 13 101 11 080 8 052 7 042 3 066 10300 9960 14 107 12 086 7 055 5 036 2 107 9960 9625 13 110 12 087 7 055 3 034 3 150 9625 9294 14 114 13 092 6 062 1 323 3 169 9294 8967 14 117 14 095 5 071 2 252 2 192 8967 8643 15 120 15 097 5 088 3 230 3 209 8643 8322 16 122 16 099 7 104 4 203 4 210 8322 8005 17 123 18 100 8 113 5 188 7 198 8005 7690 18 124 20 102 10 116 6 175 11 185 7690 7379 21 124 22 103 11 117 7 165 15 176 7379 7071 22 123 22 105 9 119 7 150 18 168 7071 6767 24 122 17 109 4 124 6 136 18 163 6767 6567 19 127 11 112 2 123 4 128 18 151 6567 6419 12 142 8 113 1 119 3 126 13 160 6419 6322 9*157 6*114 1*111 2*137 9*167 6322 6274 5*176 3*117 0*180 1*171 5*172 6274 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography