DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/05 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1043z - - 1342z - - 1611z - - 1909z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.2 - - 52.4 - - 59.1 - - 56.9 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 164 - - 174 - - 11 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 995 - - 4513 - - 4410 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit 2197 - - 2373 - - 5016 - - 2197 - - 2197 Hcrit BL Top 2276 - - 3190 - - 6708 - - 6605 - - 2213 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 545 - - 1358 - - 2549 - - 2081 - - 2438 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 226 - - 383 - - 162 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 323 - - 338 - - 327 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -11 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -862 - - -1713 - - 269 - - 1340 - - -1362 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3138 - - 4903 - - 6440 - - 5265 - - 3576 sfcLCL ODpotential -4788 - - -3712 - - -1362 - - 254 - - -3354 ODpotential blCL 7064 - - 6902 - - 8070 - - 6351 - - 5567 blCL maxRH 87 - - 93 - - 88 - - 89 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 23 CAPE Temp@2m 45.2 - - 52.4 - - 59.1 - - 56.9 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.0 - - 38.5 - - 38.3 - - 41.3 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.1 - - 51.5 - - 58.0 - - 56.8 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.0 - - 38.5 - - 38.3 - - 41.3 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 164 - - 174 - - 11 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 995 - - 4513 - - 4410 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 73 - - 53 - - 57 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70483 20 058 33 081 44 060 58 062 56 060 70483 57976 5 213 10 076 17 104 12 084 15 100 57976 50978 6 144 4 143 8 168 3 006 9 051 50978 47418 15 250 7 296 3 302 4 067 1 198 47418 43556 7 221 8 203 10 213 5 243 5 319 43556 41140 12 218 11 217 7 221 7 172 6 184 41140 40068 20 207 18 217 7 197 9 167 6 149 40068 38558 21 201 15 202 9 180 10 159 6 150 38558 37403 23 198 16 188 12 182 11 153 10 155 37403 36686 25 190 19 179 19 186 11 161 14 166 36686 36088 26 180 22 173 22 188 12 167 17 163 36088 35413 26 169 24 165 20 182 13 162 14 169 35413 34838 24 164 24 153 15 172 15 164 13 177 34838 34370 22 171 22 142 15 170 16 166 15 168 34370 33985 24 186 23 144 23 172 18 164 17 165 33985 33682 28 186 26 145 32 161 20 159 21 166 33682 33428 32 184 30 146 34 159 24 155 22 164 33428 33132 34 175 35 148 35 157 29 151 22 161 33132 32686 40 156 40 149 37 156 32 152 22 160 32686 31774 40 155 43 151 36 155 28 153 24 153 31774 30833 35 155 43 150 35 149 26 148 28 151 30833 29789 32 155 40 150 33 140 24 132 30 150 29789 28320 31 163 35 144 24 142 23 120 26 144 28320 26525 29 171 29 150 15 146 16 100 22 148 26525 25555 21 142 20 174 15 132 11 125 12 133 25555 20854 6 204 18 138 9 101 10 109 7 128 20854 18471 8 130 10 107 5 013 10 033 10 129 18471 17077 3 272 1 002 11 358 15 342 11 115 17077 15481 7 214 10 272 12 347 17 332 10 047 15481 14578 6 030 5 025 9 350 20 329 14 353 14578 12908 16 353 11 026 14 352 18 334 14 342 12908 10630 21 334 14 008 15 348 11 349 6 335 10630 7450 25 339 20 354 17*002 8 019 6 349 7450 6110 26 343 25 346 19*352 16*334 12 342 6110 5826 25 344 25 345 19 349 18*329 13 341 5826 5545 25 345 25 345 19 347 19 328 15 339 5545 5265 26 346 25 344 19 341 19 328 16 338 5265 4988 26 347 25 343 19 335 19 328 17 340 4988 4713 26 348 25 343 19 333 19 327 19 343 4713 4441 25 349 25 343 19 331 19 327 21 341 4441 4171 25 351 25 343 19 331 19 327 23 337 4171 3904 24 354 25 344 19 329 19 327 23 334 3904 3639 24 358 25 346 19 328 19 326 23 331 3639 3375 24 001 25*345 19 328 19 326 23 328 3375 3114 24 000 22*329 18 327 19 325 22 326 3114 2854 21 344 21 324 18 326 18 325 20 325 2854 2597 17 324 20 322 17 326 17 324 17 322 2597 2404 14*320 18 321 16 325 15 323 15 321 2404 2277 12*319 17 320 14 324 14 324 13 320 2277 2213 10 317 14 320 12 324 11 323 10*320 2213 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography