DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1014z - - 1349z - - 1614z - - 1912z - - 2205z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -1.6 - - -1.2 - - 9.6 - - 10.8 - - -0.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 3 - - 1 - - -12 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 18 - - 18 - - 78 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit 2197 - - 2197 - - 2197 - - 2197 - - 2197 Hcrit BL Top 2213 - - 2213 - - 2273 - - 2213 - - 2213 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 27 - - 26 - - 468 - - 60 - - 53 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 15 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 064 - - 156 - - 172 - - 135 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -210 - - -591 - - -46 - - -124 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2423 - - 2804 - - 2319 - - 2337 - - 2213 sfcLCL ODpotential -16701 - - -17176 - - -12965 - - -12727 - - -16028 ODpotential blCL 18914 - - 19389 - - 15238 - - 14940 - - 18241 blCL maxRH 75 - - 87 - - 100 - - 84 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -1.6 - - -1.2 - - 9.6 - - 10.8 - - -0.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -3.5 - - -4.8 - - 8.1 - - 9.2 - - -0.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -0.9 - - -1.3 - - 9.5 - - 11.2 - - 0.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.5 - - -4.8 - - 8.1 - - 9.2 - - -0.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 3 - - 1 - - -12 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 18 - - 18 - - 78 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 49 - - 99 - - 35 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 65816 8 053 8 068 6 049 11 031 14 022 65816 57096 16 333 20 324 24 324 24 326 21 346 57096 52744 18 322 19 336 18 342 19 330 23 338 52744 48246 18 326 21 339 24 350 23 345 24 338 48246 45024 19 325 25 332 27 347 25 345 27 343 45024 42655 23 330 27 326 29 343 23 347 26 347 42655 41474 25 332 24 325 28 337 21 343 25 347 41474 40322 26 332 22 333 25 336 19 345 22 350 40322 39589 28 331 23 341 24 343 20 356 21 352 39589 38976 28 329 23 345 23 348 20 002 20 351 38976 38343 28 330 24 348 22 356 20 009 19 351 38343 37741 29 331 24 350 23 002 22 012 18 357 37741 37262 32 331 24 352 23 005 23 012 19 006 37262 36842 34 331 24 354 24 006 23 011 20 010 36842 36373 38 333 24 354 24 005 23 008 21 012 36373 35848 41 332 24 352 24 002 21 004 22 015 35848 35341 41 331 24 349 22 359 19 011 22 021 35341 34755 39 328 24 346 21 357 19 022 20 027 34755 34012 39 333 25 344 20 357 20 029 21 035 34012 33179 49 318 28 340 19 002 20 036 22 043 33179 32632 50 319 31 340 21 017 21 041 24 049 32632 32141 51 322 36 336 26 023 22 044 26 054 32141 31547 52 321 35 334 26 023 23 046 29 057 31547 30921 51 333 29 353 26 023 26 047 31 057 30921 30215 49 335 34 005 25 025 29 047 33 057 30215 29069 46 339 31 005 25 034 30 046 34 058 29069 27591 39 342 25 022 27 041 32 050 34 061 27591 25698 30 352 24 041 28 051 33 056 33 066 25698 23281 26 008 26 054 29 063 31 063 31 071 23281 19877 27 024 29 059 31 072 30 072 27 075 19877 16947 29 034 32 062 32 074 30 079 26 085 16947 14317 29 038 32 065 33 076 29 085 25 094 14317 12511 28 039 30 067 30 080 25 093 23 105 12511 11193 25 036 26 070 25 084 19 105 18 112 11193 9358 21 037 20 071 14 085 10 101 8 098 9358 8198 19 039 15 065 10 073 7 068 9 082 8198 7334 20 031 14 050 12 054 7 074 8 080 7334 6560 22 014 15 029 13 049 8 087 6 101 6560 5943 21 360 14 022 13 048 8 095 6 137 5943 5325 14 353 9 023 9 047 6 104 8 147 5325 4769 8 017 2 099 1 261 1 164 7 145 4769 4341 7 039 2 198 1 100 3 172 8 149 4341 3952 6 049 2 248 4 095 5 168 8 154 3952 3568 3 063 3 305 7 118 9 174 11 180 3568 3190 3 089 2 303 11 133 11 169 13 181 3190 2818 7 103 2 175 12 152 12 152 16 162 2818 2573 12 107 7 152 8 164 10 146 17 154 2573 2392 12 106 8 149 5 169 9 142 16 151 2392 2272 7 091 6 149 4*172 7 138 11 150 2272 2213 3*064 1*156 3*172 3*135 6*149 2213 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography