DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/22 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0706z - - 1009z - - 1350z - - 1612z - - 1908z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.6 - - 71.1 - - 79.5 - - 83.8 - - 83.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 193 - - 356 - - 309 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 0 - - 3027 - - 4344 - - 5940 - - 5955 BL Depth Hcrit 263 - - 2042 - - 3278 - - 4459 - - 2384 Hcrit BL Top 280 - - 3307 - - 4624 - - 6220 - - 6235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 433 - - 1299 - - 919 - - 1083 - - 1528 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 344 - - 473 - - 499 - - 247 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 15 - - 14 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 007 - - 032 - - 037 - - 017 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 4 - - 10 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1724 - - -3069 - - -4578 - - -3926 - - -4532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2004 - - 6376 - - 9203 - - 10146 - - 10767 sfcLCL ODpotential -9392 - - -12699 - - -10893 - - -8437 - - -10291 ODpotential blCL 9672 - - 16006 - - 15517 - - 14657 - - 16526 blCL maxRH 74 - - 47 - - 47 - - 70 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.6 - - 71.1 - - 79.5 - - 83.8 - - 83.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.0 - - 44.3 - - 40.0 - - 39.8 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 69.9 - - 77.4 - - 82.0 - - 82.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.2 - - 44.4 - - 40.1 - - 39.9 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 193 - - 356 - - 309 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 0 - - 3027 - - 4344 - - 5940 - - 5955 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98164 9 230 12 251 20 246 22 271 12 253 98164 90798 15 185 14 232 8 187 16 256 8 213 90798 85084 2 093 4 217 12 121 10 214 7 190 85084 80340 4 061 4 150 11 093 7 148 4 119 80340 76268 7 092 6 149 6 076 10 111 6 077 76268 72684 9 079 9 148 3 144 5 083 11 076 72684 69427 9 087 7 172 6 215 2 271 6 006 69427 66439 3 080 8 193 10 233 3 311 6 253 66439 63689 4 265 8 220 14 255 11 320 6 261 63689 61103 12 302 12 260 17 262 18 299 13 295 61103 58327 21 289 17 263 19 273 22 280 23 289 58327 55316 22 265 22 262 20 283 21 275 27 281 55316 52482 18 257 22 271 25 300 22 299 23 292 52482 49965 20 298 19 289 31 300 30 310 28 304 49965 47706 25 312 22 324 27 284 31 303 29 301 47706 45666 26 314 34 332 21 306 26 305 26 297 45666 43813 31 314 45 327 31 333 28 326 22 303 43813 42116 34 322 51 326 43 334 36 330 26 320 42116 40552 36 330 52 332 49 338 47 329 38 328 40552 39099 41 344 52 342 56 347 54 330 47 330 39099 37733 51 356 56 349 63 348 53 334 46 328 37733 36440 60 359 60 351 62 346 49 337 42 322 36440 35099 62 358 59 349 59 343 44 335 40 317 35099 33688 59 357 56 346 56 341 38 334 38 317 33688 32242 54 354 53 345 53 343 32 335 36 319 32242 30716 48 349 52 345 48 347 28 337 34 321 30716 29106 42 348 50 344 43 352 25 339 31 322 29106 27414 39 350 48 342 38 358 24 343 28 324 27414 25639 37 351 43 342 34 357 23 341 27 324 25639 23775 36 348 37 344 31 346 25 340 28 326 23775 21837 35 346 32 345 26 338 26 343 27 329 21837 19811 32 348 28 346 21 337 23 344 24 335 19811 17688 24 356 25 351 18 332 21 341 22 341 17688 15485 16 006 23 353 18 332 20 342 21 343 15485 13360 16 006 20 354 17 344 18 355 18 351 13360 11468 18 358 17 001 13 002 14 002 16 005 11468 9799 19 352 13 003 12 016 11 010 14 010 9799 8321 15 351 12 352 12 024 10 024 12 011 8321 7010 12 336 13 340 13 022 13*024 12*011 7010 5847 14 325 16 339 13 017 17*024 8*005 5847 4816 16 009 15 003 17*027 10 016 8 006 4816 3906 28 032 18*036 15*036 10 015 7 007 3906 3110 33 036 21*043 14 037 10 015 7 008 3110 2390 29 032 19 036 14 037 10 016 7 009 2390 1742 25 024 14 028 14 036 10 016 7 012 1742 1208 25 020 14 027 14 037 9 016 7 012 1208 798 25 014 13 027 14 037 9 016 6 013 798 521 17 009 13 027 13 037 9 015 6 012 521 362 12*008 12 027 12 037 8 016 6 014 362 282 8*007 10 027 10 037 7 016 5 015 282 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography