DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.1 - - 72.5 - - 73.4 - - 71.7 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 294 - - 187 - - 42 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 496 - - 2018 - - 2729 - - 2016 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2568 - - 2918 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1881 - - 3403 - - 4114 - - 3401 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1580 - - 766 - - 1093 - - 939 - - 1115 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 347 - - 329 - - 185 - - 60 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 13 - - 12 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 042 - - 050 - - 050 - - 068 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 303 - - -293 - - 102 - - -362 - - -810 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 3696 - - 4012 - - 3764 - - 2388 sfcLCL ODpotential -116 - - -6659 - - -245 - - -7179 - - -8944 ODpotential blCL 1997 - - 10062 - - 4359 - - 10580 - - 10522 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 760 - - 860 - - 360 - - 790 - - 1160 CAPE Temp@2m 68.1 - - 72.5 - - 73.4 - - 71.7 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.2 - - 61.4 - - 61.0 - - 60.3 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.5 - - 70.4 - - 71.8 - - 71.1 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.0 - - 60.8 - - 60.6 - - 60.0 - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 294 - - 187 - - 42 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 496 - - 2018 - - 2729 - - 2016 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 91 - - 101 - - 83 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97685 18 162 11 141 15 172 7 249 6 060 97685 90268 21 110 20 112 11 142 3 147 9 112 90268 84595 18 090 18 109 19 132 6 156 10 121 84595 79897 14 089 10 108 13 114 16 150 10 157 79897 75866 7 100 4 158 4 134 10 136 11 148 75866 72323 4 164 5 253 2 285 4 114 5 149 72323 69144 3 307 8 212 6 256 5 214 5 248 69144 66261 17 293 10 254 8 276 12 269 16 272 66261 63615 19 268 19 265 15 271 13 260 18 271 63615 61048 30 257 29 264 23 269 24 277 28 277 61048 58367 37 247 35 256 36 259 37 264 35 274 58367 55570 37 257 37 254 44 252 45 262 44 267 55570 52877 48 267 46 258 47 251 52 259 52 262 52877 50434 56 264 52 260 52 253 55 259 56 261 50434 48231 62 263 60 264 56 258 59 260 60 262 48231 46222 66 262 69 265 66 262 67 260 64 263 46222 44382 67 261 72 263 69 261 69 258 67 263 44382 42690 63 259 66 262 65 259 64 257 66 262 42690 41127 54 256 62 260 65 257 61 258 61 261 41127 39673 34 267 58 255 62 255 58 261 57 264 39673 38306 29 274 50 246 57 252 54 259 55 270 38306 36984 32 274 45 245 52 254 50 255 49 272 36984 35637 36 275 45 250 49 256 46 254 46 267 35637 34236 40 276 43 254 46 258 45 254 46 264 34236 32784 36 277 43 257 46 260 45 257 45 264 32784 31266 31 280 41 262 46 261 44 262 44 262 31266 29671 29 278 35 268 42 262 40 267 43 262 29671 27998 24 273 30 275 35 260 35 273 40 262 27998 26248 15 268 22 275 23 246 32 272 33 264 26248 24421 9 289 14 252 23 238 28 251 28 265 24421 22527 9 303 9 245 20 233 26 246 27 262 22527 20570 10 281 10 237 20 244 24 261 25 268 20570 18539 10 252 11 225 18 256 21 274 22 279 18539 16464 8 229 8 196 12 223 15 280 20 284 16464 14460 4 281 6 199 9 226 12 243 12 280 14460 12631 5 311 8 222 10 241 7 246 8 247 12631 10999 8 260 11 229 14 227 6 269 6 231 10999 9543 14 247 14 229 15 223 8 228 7 218 9543 8240 9 250 15 227 12 227 11 201 11 181 8240 7081 5 181 12 226 8 204 10 185 14 181 7081 6057 10 138 7 200 7 161 10 162 13 166 6057 5158 11 093 6 142 7 111 12 147 15 144 5158 4366 12 070 10 097 10*070 12 107 17 133 4366 3656 11 066 13*065 11*056 14*074 18 128 3656 3029 11 056 14*053 12 051 15*069 16 092 3029 2509 11 048 14 050 12 049 15 068 16 063 2509 2112 11*046 13 049 12 047 14 067 16 058 2112 1839 10*043 13 048 12 046 14 066 15 057 1839 1673 9 042 12 047 11 046 12 066 13*056 1673 1578 8 042 10 047 10 046 10 066 10*056 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography