DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1013z - - 1348z - - 1613z - - 1911z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 46.5 - - 46.1 - - 43.4 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 65 - - 35 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 64 - - 1569 - - 1201 - - 64 - - 64 BL Depth Hcrit 1432 - - 1432 - - 1432 - - 1432 - - 1432 Hcrit BL Top 1449 - - 2954 - - 2586 - - 1449 - - 1449 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1299 - - 390 - - 721 - - 1642 - - 1128 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 194 - - 146 - - 15 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 006 - - 041 - - 034 - - 355 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -885 - - -783 - - -878 - - -864 - - -387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2334 - - 3737 - - 3464 - - 2314 - - 1836 sfcLCL ODpotential -11776 - - -10862 - - -9883 - - -10310 - - -9577 ODpotential blCL 13225 - - 13816 - - 12469 - - 11759 - - 11026 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 94 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 2 - - 93 - - 1 - - 215 - - 241 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 46.5 - - 46.1 - - 43.4 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.8 - - 35.5 - - 36.2 - - 38.6 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.4 - - 46.0 - - 45.7 - - 43.4 - - 43.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 35.5 - - 36.2 - - 38.6 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 65 - - 35 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 64 - - 1569 - - 1201 - - 64 - - 64 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 97 - - 74 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 78140 26 277 21 280 22 280 24 274 22 274 78140 61305 18 263 15 240 14 224 5 214 11 237 61305 55972 33 223 30 219 34 203 34 201 35 240 55972 53098 32 215 37 242 32 219 42 202 44 223 53098 48113 40 235 48 236 40 229 41 225 38 219 48113 44656 49 244 59 234 57 234 52 239 44 232 44656 43423 51 242 62 235 60 232 57 243 44 234 43423 42364 54 239 63 237 61 231 59 244 47 234 42364 41809 57 236 64 238 64 229 61 243 50 232 41809 41411 60 235 65 236 65 227 63 242 53 230 41411 40932 61 236 65 234 66 225 64 240 56 226 40932 40312 63 238 64 232 66 223 65 237 51 220 40312 39684 67 239 63 231 63 222 65 231 38 217 39684 39051 71 235 65 231 60 222 64 226 41 215 39051 38257 70 236 68 228 59 222 60 223 43 222 38257 37404 67 237 67 227 58 221 54 223 44 225 37404 36407 64 235 63 226 59 219 52 223 48 226 36407 35086 64 240 59 228 56 233 59 240 46 233 35086 33014 70 243 59 239 59 237 63 238 45 239 33014 30840 65 238 59 237 60 234 65 238 46 239 30840 29682 58 239 56 239 55 233 56 234 46 231 29682 26010 46 242 47 238 50 244 44 241 35 220 26010 23502 41 249 36 245 27 241 47 249 31 236 23502 21441 34 259 29 249 25 246 35 253 27 242 21441 19571 30 267 22 263 28 248 25 245 22 234 19571 16367 21 248 23 240 32 243 21 243 20 240 16367 14548 23 237 30 220 35 237 19 256 14 251 14548 12102 27 230 31 212 33 233 20 242 15 268 12102 9965 22 222 27 212 29 233 21 235 16 258 9965 9439 19 217 25 202 23 222 21 233 17 255 9439 8922 17 213 24 197 22 207 21 232 18 255 8922 8412 14 205 20 192 23 201 22 227 20 251 8412 7910 11 198 19 178 22 200 21 219 20 246 7910 7416 10 200 15 169 18 199 18 215 18 240 7416 6931 9 210 10 157 14 194 15 216 14 239 6931 6456 7 213 7 147 12 191 14 210 12 240 6456 5989 7 203 6 150 11 192 12 208 9 233 5989 5529 7 189 5 165 8 192 9 210 6 227 5529 5077 6 180 3 188 6 182 7 193 5 214 5077 4632 4 180 1 225 5 176 8 176 8 192 4632 4193 4 166 2 340 4 155 10 170 10 177 4193 3761 5 116 2 355 3 080 8 161 9 177 3761 3337 11 065 10*045 7 037 4 135 7 145 3337 2920 14 052 11*038 8*032 6 359 5 071 2920 2512 14 027 10 039 6*031 6 351 6 039 2512 2109 10 012 9 041 4 033 5 352 6 030 2109 1843 9 009 9 042 4 035 5 354 6 030 1843 1645 8 009 7 042 3 035 5 356 4 040 1645 1514 6*007 6 043 3 037 4*358 3*054 1514 1449 4*006 4 044 2 037 2*355 2*069 1449 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography