DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1040z - - 1340z - - 1609z - - 1908z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.4 - - 83.2 - - 84.6 - - 82.5 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 248 - - 193 - - -18 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 482 - - 2852 - - 3216 - - 64 - - 64 BL Depth Hcrit 1432 - - 3143 - - 3316 - - 1432 - - 1432 Hcrit BL Top 1867 - - 4237 - - 4601 - - 1449 - - 1449 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2166 - - 1719 - - 1159 - - 4405 - - 2188 Hgt.Variab. W* 88 - - 374 - - 359 - - 32 - - 25 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 13 - - 12 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 194 - - 191 - - 162 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 2 - - -7 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 419 - - 1305 - - 1349 - - -1132 - - -343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1449 - - 2932 - - 3252 - - 2581 - - 1792 sfcLCL ODpotential 80 - - -444 - - 683 - - -2067 - - -1764 ODpotential blCL 1787 - - 4681 - - 3918 - - 3516 - - 3213 blCL maxRH 101 - - 95 - - 96 - - 96 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 946 - - 2558 - - 2291 - - 2517 - - 1652 CAPE Temp@2m 76.4 - - 83.2 - - 84.6 - - 82.5 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 74.7 - - 74.5 - - 74.4 - - 75.1 - - 74.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.0 - - 81.5 - - 83.3 - - 82.2 - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 74.7 - - 74.5 - - 74.4 - - 75.1 - - 74.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 248 - - 193 - - -18 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 482 - - 2852 - - 3216 - - 64 - - 64 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 78 - - 82 - - 83 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 19 - - 17 - - 18 - - 20 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 72198 15 090 16 096 10 078 11 102 10 089 72198 63854 20 083 14 094 23 111 28 085 23 066 63854 60086 16 080 19 120 14 128 18 055 26 108 60086 57598 8 129 15 038 15 083 6 039 17 092 57598 55290 19 134 16 128 10 126 2 175 6 087 55290 52714 7 084 13 109 6 089 7 160 13 111 52714 51467 6 051 9 180 11 222 13 198 6 163 51467 49345 14 348 10 137 15 176 16 187 10 200 49345 45478 10 312 3 078 6 138 13 164 18 200 45478 41174 6 201 6 157 5 168 10 183 19 206 41174 37425 14 199 12 226 15 248 11 228 14 222 37425 31864 17 252 16 245 17 240 16 261 14 234 31864 28924 19 260 15 250 10 230 12 255 14 240 28924 26182 6 305 14 247 12 231 7 229 15 251 26182 24356 7 313 10 266 13 247 2 254 13 251 24356 22905 5 326 10 276 11 246 5 262 10 249 22905 21177 6 335 12 276 12 262 8 286 7 256 21177 18307 4 302 12 274 10 279 10 301 7 294 18307 15417 5 290 13 263 10 276 11 316 8 319 15417 13042 6 288 13 264 11 296 11 320 10 352 13042 11941 14 246 10 256 12 300 10 319 12 001 11941 10449 12 254 8 247 10 296 8 324 12 008 10449 9379 9 258 10 241 4 273 5 307 9 349 9379 9029 15 234 10 224 5 296 5 309 7 320 9029 8683 16 225 12 212 5 298 5 311 7 304 8683 8340 17 221 13 207 7 291 5 312 7 295 8340 8001 17 217 15 202 8 266 5 305 9 292 8001 7666 17 214 16 202 10 241 6 292 10 290 7666 7334 17 211 17 203 12 228 7 280 12 284 7334 7007 15 207 18 205 14 221 8 266 12 277 7007 6682 13 204 19 205 14 218 8 250 12 268 6682 6361 12 205 20 206 14 217 9 233 11 251 6361 6043 12 205 20 205 15 219 11 220 12 229 6043 5728 13 208 21 203 15 221 13 206 13 215 5728 5415 14 212 22 201 17 220 15 193 14 206 5415 5106 16 214 22 200 19 217 16 188 15 198 5106 4799 17 214 22 198 19*214 17 185 16 191 4799 4494 17 213 22*197 17*203 17 181 17 184 4494 4192 18 214 22*197 13 193 17 177 18 178 4192 3893 18 215 20 197 13 191 17 174 20 173 3893 3596 19 215 16 195 13 190 17 171 22 168 3596 3302 18 211 13 194 12 191 17 169 25 165 3302 3011 17 205 13 193 12 190 17 168 26 161 3011 2722 16 199 12 193 12 190 16 167 24 155 2722 2435 16 193 11 191 11 189 16 166 22 152 2435 2150 14*185 10 191 11 190 14 165 19 150 2150 1868 11*182 10 191 10 189 12 164 17 148 1868 1658 9 180 9 191 9 189 10 163 14 147 1658 1518 8 179 7 191 8 189 8*162 11*147 1518 1449 5 178 6 190 6 189 5*162 7*144 1449 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography