DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 84.3 - - - - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 233 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3268 - - 4208 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3522 - - 4134 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4653 - - 5593 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1464 - - 2520 - - - - - 355 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 417 - - 416 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 267 - - - - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5102 - - -4598 - - - - - -6613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9756 - - 10191 - - - - - 8192 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10886 - - -8870 - - - - - -12451 ODpotential blCL - - - 15539 - - 14463 - - - - - 14030 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 60 - - - - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 84.3 - - - - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 45.0 - - - - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.7 - - 82.5 - - - - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 43.7 - - - - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 233 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3268 - - 4208 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98222 18 291 16 299 20 280 98222 90706 10 267 14 289 14 327 90706 84892 4 221 4 200 9 016 84892 80094 4 169 6 113 6 069 80094 76001 6 102 8 105 9 124 76001 72413 5 029 9 071 14 116 72413 69183 3 116 6 089 12 092 69183 66233 6 153 4 158 7 049 66233 63523 7 138 7 146 3 257 63523 60923 1 140 2 205 6 253 60923 58209 5 293 7 292 10 252 58209 55372 19 280 21 290 16 268 55372 52656 24 278 30 277 21 277 52656 50200 29 276 31 273 28 288 50200 47988 29 282 37 274 38 286 47988 45986 36 285 38 275 43 295 45986 44164 41 301 39 300 55 305 44164 42490 55 302 52 301 69 308 42490 40939 54 297 58 298 80 311 40939 39489 52 308 58 300 89 314 39489 38118 58 313 59 307 89 311 38118 36788 61 307 61 309 87 311 36788 35432 64 303 59 304 84 314 35432 34025 61 304 59 299 74 314 34025 32573 57 309 59 300 62 307 32573 31066 53 312 50 300 55 297 31066 29485 50 318 44 306 53 302 29485 27829 45 309 38 304 50 311 27829 26096 42 309 39 305 39 312 26096 24291 40 308 42 304 33 315 24291 22422 39 309 41 298 31 316 22422 20484 33 320 35 298 30 315 20484 18467 32 323 29 307 30 316 18467 16410 29 324 30 316 34 319 16410 14424 27 331 23 332 31 319 14424 12613 26 330 26 354 22 314 12613 10997 23 336 28 340 17 314 10997 9557 22 343 25 333 16 307 9557 8270 20 336 19 335 16 293 8270 7124 19 324 15 328 14 276 7124 6106 17 308 8*303 10 250 6106 5207 13*300 6*273 11 217 5207 4411 8*292 6 269 13 201 4411 3697 7 291 6 267 14 192 3697 3064 7 292 6 265 12 184 3064 2534 6 293 6 265 10 174 2534 2127 6 293 6 263 9 164 2127 1847 5 293 6 262 7 158 1847 1676 5 293 5 262 6*154 1676 1579 5 293 5 262 4*147 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography