DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/25 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 65.0 - - 60.4 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 506 - - 189 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12659 - - 10640 - - 6373 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15750 - - 14147 - - 10184 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18527 - - 16508 - - 12241 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2709 - - 5157 - - 5660 - - 1110 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 756 - - 743 - - 451 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 228 - - 250 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -27 - - 12 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3452 - - 1047 - - -708 - - -1780 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15076 - - 15461 - - 12950 - - 7823 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1938 - - 385 - - -2485 - - -5130 ODpotential blCL - - - 16589 - - 16123 - - 14726 - - 11173 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 84 - - 66 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 300 - - 370 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 65.0 - - 60.4 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.8 - - 17.5 - - 24.3 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 62.1 - - 58.9 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.5 - - 17.3 - - 24.1 - - 35.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 506 - - 189 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12659 - - 10640 - - 6373 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 37 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98157 29 261 18 288 24 275 27 283 98157 90705 23 259 19 275 18 280 19 289 90705 84948 14 253 18 257 21 290 15 294 84948 80200 1 132 5 244 14 278 12 294 80200 76168 2 128 3 177 4 246 4 325 76168 72607 7 120 5 206 7 169 1 171 72607 69359 4 127 6 208 7 238 6 252 69359 66374 4 111 21 157 8 212 12 228 66374 63615 13 289 3 247 9 259 13 238 63615 60937 28 227 27 238 28 244 28 249 60937 58116 29 226 32 235 32 244 36 240 58116 55150 40 250 38 248 39 242 40 235 55150 52273 55 246 50 243 44 242 41 237 52273 49658 57 241 54 240 45 247 37 246 49658 47315 53 238 50 241 45 253 34 260 47315 45199 48 237 45 241 45 254 35 268 45199 43271 46 236 44 239 40 252 33 267 43271 41501 47 233 43 238 36 259 30 266 41501 39861 48 225 39 235 38 259 27 275 39861 38341 45 218 34 235 32 254 28 281 38341 36931 44 220 33 236 26 266 23 274 36931 35598 45 222 34 231 24 273 19 294 35598 34281 49 221 32 221 18 268 21 302 34281 32955 53 217 28 224 12 289 20 310 32955 31625 54 216 23 232 15 300 17 317 31625 30280 51 217 16 241 14 275 14 298 30280 28904 45 220 18 253 16 245 12 257 28904 27492 39 221 22 246 13 234 10 272 27492 26041 36 221 19 252 13 234 11 297 26041 24554 35 222 16 260 13 242 13 302 24554 23033 35 227 14 269 13 250 15 305 23033 21474 34 233 12 271 12 254 14 311 21474 19873 26*241 11 262 10 265 12 326 19873 18255 17*250 10 250 11 284 11 339 18255 16702 13 248 10*234 13 296 9 333 16702 15285 11 241 10*230 14 295 10 309 15285 14015 9 228 11 225 13 287 14 291 14015 12871 8 219 11 223 13*276 17 283 12871 11837 8 215 12 223 13*269 19 278 11837 10901 8 211 13 225 13 258 20 274 10901 10053 8 208 13 226 13 256 20 269 10053 9290 8 204 14 228 13 251 21 266 9290 8602 8 202 15 229 13 247 20 264 8602 7973 8 199 15 230 13 244 19 260 7973 7406 8 198 15 231 13 242 17 253 7406 6926 8 196 15 232 13 240 14 242 6926 6552 8 195 15 233 12 238 11 234 6552 6293 8 194 15 233 12 238 7 230 6293 6134 8 194 15 233 12 237 5*232 6134 6043 7 194 13 233 10 236 3*235 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography