DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1043z - - 1343z - - 1612z - - 1911z - - 2206z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.9 - - 64.3 - - 71.5 - - 70.8 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 181 - - 256 - - 41 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 360 - - 4391 - - 8448 - - 8389 - - 7 BL Depth Hcrit 5858 - - 8702 - - 12019 - - 10338 - - 5858 Hcrit BL Top 6228 - - 10259 - - 14316 - - 14257 - - 5875 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 587 - - 2141 - - 768 - - 1475 - - 122 Hgt.Variab. W* 104 - - 406 - - 557 - - 311 - - 9 W* B/S 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 20 - - 30 - - 32 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 177 - - 221 - - 235 - - 247 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 28 - - 31 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 14 - - 28 - - 29 - - 27 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -941 - - -2643 - - -2056 - - -1755 - - -6765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7169 - - 12902 - - 16373 - - 16013 - - 12640 sfcLCL ODpotential -6748 - - -13353 - - -12921 - - -10454 - - -10708 ODpotential blCL 12976 - - 23612 - - 27237 - - 24711 - - 16583 blCL maxRH 66 - - 27 - - 30 - - 24 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.9 - - 64.3 - - 71.5 - - 70.8 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.5 - - 28.0 - - 19.4 - - 20.4 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 63.0 - - 69.7 - - 70.3 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.5 - - 28.0 - - 19.4 - - 20.4 - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 181 - - 256 - - 41 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 360 - - 4391 - - 8448 - - 8389 - - 7 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74182 21 175 15 200 16 197 12 185 15 171 74182 61673 15 270 14 163 20 190 27 248 22 249 61673 57971 45 207 39 259 25 256 25 227 31 208 57971 54010 48 214 52 220 44 240 35 250 44 255 54010 50918 45 226 48 240 59 248 59 252 66 249 50918 48172 68 238 66 241 77 240 78 237 88 238 48172 44276 65 236 74 245 78 235 79 238 91 241 44276 41204 69 237 77 239 77 236 87 242 98 245 41204 38732 74 238 79 238 85 239 94 242 101 246 38732 37023 76 238 81 238 90 239 99 241 103 246 37023 35423 77 239 83 239 90 239 102 241 102 245 35423 33935 78 239 84 239 90 238 103 240 99 243 33935 32819 80 236 83 237 90 237 100 240 95 241 32819 31767 82 229 79 232 89 235 95 239 91 240 31767 30534 81 227 81 228 83 233 91 240 87 239 30534 28953 76 228 78 232 78 233 84 239 80 240 28953 26942 73 228 72 235 74 239 78 238 76 241 26942 24042 68 229 69 234 68 240 69 239 68 243 24042 22784 62 230 67 231 63 237 60 237 56 248 22784 20088 56 221 60 224 59 234 53 230 45 251 20088 18548 53 220 56 222 56 231 51 228 42 250 18548 17631 50 222 53 226 54 231 49 230 39 241 17631 16987 47 223 50 231 53 232 46 234 35 238 16987 16805 43 224 46 234 49*234 43*240 28 237 16805 11808 40 225 41 236 45*237 37*252 26 245 11808 11149 39 228 38 240 35 241 36 251 26 246 11149 10899 38 229 36 244 35 241 36 251 27 246 10899 10649 37 231 35 245 35 241 35 250 27 246 10649 10402 36 232 35*245 33 239 35 250 27 246 10402 10156 35 233 34*246 31 238 34 249 27 246 10156 9912 34 235 32 245 31 236 34 248 27 246 9912 9669 33 236 28 241 30 236 33 248 27 246 9669 9428 31 237 24 234 29 235 32 246 28 246 9428 9188 29 236 22 229 28 234 32 245 28 246 9188 8950 27 235 21 225 27 233 31 244 28 246 8950 8713 25 232 21 223 27 232 31 244 28 246 8713 8478 24 229 20 220 26 231 30 243 28 246 8478 8244 24 226 19 218 25 229 30 242 28 246 8244 8012 24 223 19 215 24 228 29 242 28 246 8012 7781 23 220 19 213 24 227 29 241 28 246 7781 7551 23 216 18 211 23 225 29 241 28 246 7551 7323 22 213 18 210 21 222 28 240 28 245 7323 7096 21 210 18 207 21 222 28 240 27 244 7096 6870 19 207 17 206 20 221 27 240 26 244 6870 6646 15 200 17 205 20 221 27 239 24 243 6646 6423 10*190 16 204 20 221 26 239 21 243 6423 6202 6*180 15 202 19 220 24 238 17 247 6202 6038 5 175 14 200 18 220 22 237 13 253 6038 5929 5 174 13 200 17 219 20 237 9*261 5929 5875 4 176 11 199 16 218 17 237 6*270 5875 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography