DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 51.7 - - - - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 107 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2152 - - 3047 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6987 - - 7470 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8020 - - 8915 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1789 - - 2813 - - - - - 3906 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 304 - - 307 - - - - - 29 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 217 - - - - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1978 - - 2187 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6043 - - 6728 - - - - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 467 - - 110 - - - - - -1681 ODpotential blCL - - - 7553 - - 8805 - - - - - 7724 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 99 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 670 - - - - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 51.7 - - - - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 42.7 - - - - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 50.7 - - - - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 41.4 - - - - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 107 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2152 - - 3047 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 95 - - - - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98241 11 122 8 159 4 267 98241 90787 11 121 7 138 4 041 90787 85035 10 095 9 102 6 074 85035 80258 11 104 7 105 10 103 80258 76153 14 122 3 127 12 137 76153 72540 10 118 8 175 7 126 72540 69279 4 124 7 139 2 081 69279 66284 5 260 1 294 2 316 66284 63504 6 203 10 235 4 278 63504 60796 11 272 8 211 14 255 60796 57940 26 257 22 247 19 243 57940 54948 25 248 23 237 19 241 54948 52095 18 243 18 224 18 229 52095 49535 18 231 23 246 23 265 49535 47247 22 246 29 258 30 269 47247 45179 36 241 27 247 32 265 45179 43284 36 250 26 251 30 264 43284 41531 39 260 31 261 29 266 41531 39900 40 260 37 265 32 274 39900 38384 46 264 41 263 36 277 38384 36979 50 265 43 259 35 273 36979 35654 52 263 44 257 33 265 35654 34347 52 261 44 256 31 260 34347 33032 44 257 42 256 29 269 33032 31710 36 259 34 264 27 254 31710 30366 31 258 30 277 21 237 30366 28983 29 262 28 286 19 247 28983 27557 29 268 25 295 16 257 27557 26089 26 275 25 303 15 267 26089 24584 19 269 25 306 12 275 24584 23044 18 236 19 289 11 277 23044 21467 16 245 22 304 9 282 21467 19847 19 238 19 297 8 300 19847 18213 21 234 18 276 12 310 18213 16649 22 235 17 271 17 313 16649 15227 23 236 16 266 19 313 15227 13957 24 237 17 263 21 313 13957 12816 25 238 16 262 23 316 12816 11788 25 238 15 259 25 320 11788 10858 25 238 14 253 25 324 10858 10018 25 239 14 244 24 326 10018 9262 24 240 13*234 21 327 9262 8580 22*241 12*226 17 326 8580 7957 21*241 12 220 14 322 7957 7396 19 241 11 218 10 312 7396 6920 18 240 11 215 8 291 6920 6549 17 240 10 213 6 264 6549 6291 16 239 10 212 6 238 6291 6134 15 239 9 211 6*229 6134 6043 13 239 8 210 5*222 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography