DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1017z - - 1350z - - 1616z - - 1914z - - 2207z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.6 - - 35.3 - - 35.1 - - 33.3 - - 29.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 90 - - 58 - - 14 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 7 - - 2802 - - 1357 - - 1202 - - 7 BL Depth Hcrit 5858 - - 7092 - - 5858 - - 5858 - - 5858 Hcrit BL Top 5875 - - 8670 - - 7225 - - 7070 - - 5875 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2136 - - 2714 - - 4398 - - 3251 - - 292 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 269 - - 183 - - 115 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 37 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 5 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 065 - - 325 - - 342 - - 007 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 8 - - 8 - - -23 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1808 - - 1202 - - 306 - - -264 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5875 - - 6862 - - 6023 - - 6764 - - 6139 sfcLCL ODpotential -500 - - 709 - - -73 - - -1719 - - -3173 ODpotential blCL 6375 - - 7961 - - 7298 - - 8789 - - 9048 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 103 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 16 - - 62 - - 3 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.6 - - 35.3 - - 35.1 - - 33.3 - - 29.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.6 - - 25.9 - - 29.3 - - 24.4 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.4 - - 34.0 - - 34.3 - - 33.0 - - 29.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.6 - - 25.9 - - 29.3 - - 24.4 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 90 - - 58 - - 14 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 7 - - 2802 - - 1357 - - 1202 - - 7 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 103 - - 111 - - 27 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 73551 21 103 25 097 29 100 26 109 28 108 73551 60221 8 163 7 211 14 302 8 001 7 352 60221 54659 12 253 20 264 19 291 15 295 16 283 54659 49290 19 275 23 291 19 287 23 293 24 300 49290 45906 33 275 23 283 26 278 39 295 40 305 45906 42834 34 276 31 283 31 286 37 293 39 304 42834 41085 35 275 34 284 29 294 35 296 37 313 41085 39826 34 287 35 293 37 291 40 304 40 319 39826 39125 35 286 37 294 38 290 41 297 46 312 39125 38651 35 279 38 295 38 296 40 292 52 307 38651 37837 37 277 41 300 41 303 38 297 47 309 37837 37127 39 274 43 303 46 303 39 303 45 309 37127 36506 39 272 45 299 48 300 43 304 47 300 36506 35698 37 277 46 299 44 308 48 307 44 309 35698 34445 34 287 47 299 46 307 51 309 49 322 34445 33266 35 286 45 297 48 304 54 308 55 321 33266 32133 37 287 47 294 54 301 59 305 57 316 32133 30751 38 287 51 291 60 297 65 304 61 313 30751 29531 41 289 55 290 64 294 65 301 64 311 29531 28696 43 289 56 290 64 292 63 298 64 308 28696 28328 45 286 57 289 64 291 62 296 63 305 28328 27992 44 286 56 287 62 290 58 297 58 303 27992 27579 43 288 55 284 61 290 51 298 47 301 27579 27293 42 289 54 283 60 290 43 299 40 307 27293 27022 41 291 53 285 58 291 36 301 39 306 27022 26581 40 291 53 287 56 291 34 305 31 306 26581 26208 39 290 47 290 49 290 32 310 21 323 26208 25630 37 289 40 287 41 289 27 310 19 336 25630 24233 39 290 30 275 34 286 18 306 18 338 24233 22981 32 291 26 277 28 285 13 317 13 337 22981 19547 20 295 22 273 19 274 12 312 13 000 19547 19120 11 280 13 280 6 275 8 327 15 008 19120 13631 10 271 5 286 6 286 7 005 10 360 13631 11973 6 270 2 283 8 298 5 293 8 349 11973 10034 6 272 3 279 9 294 5 283 7 002 10034 9686 6 268 2 221 7 287 4 290 8 021 9686 9342 4 264 2 240 7 289 4 303 9 028 9342 9002 1 219 1*317 7 295 4 321 11 037 9002 8664 3 088 3*347 7 303 5 337 13 043 8664 8330 6 074 4 350 6 308 5 349 15 046 8330 7999 8 055 3 346 6 317 7 359 16 048 7999 7672 9 050 3 341 6 322 7 003 18 048 7672 7347 7 060 2 330 6*328 12*004 18 046 7347 7025 6 065 1 303 5*335 13*005 19 043 7025 6707 5 055 1 258 5 339 13 006 19 038 6707 6391 4 047 1 213 5 343 12 007 19 027 6391 6183 3 039 1 205 4 344 11 008 18 012 6183 6028 2 043 2 196 4 345 10 008 15 006 6028 5926 2*052 2 194 4 347 9 009 12*004 5926 5875 1*065 2 188 3 345 7 011 9*003 5875 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography