DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 45.8 - - - - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 123 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1640 - - 2377 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3852 - - 4544 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5043 - - 5780 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2282 - - 2601 - - - - - 5270 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 285 - - - - - 31 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 337 - - 334 - - - - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 4 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1394 - - 1592 - - - - - -426 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3649 - - 4188 - - - - - 3984 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 309 - - 631 - - - - - -1602 ODpotential blCL - - - 4734 - - 5149 - - - - - 5159 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 490 - - - - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 45.8 - - - - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 39.6 - - - - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 44.6 - - - - - 44.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 38.3 - - - - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 123 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1640 - - 2377 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 99 - - - - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97893 4 298 5 302 10 021 97893 90538 6 294 8 306 10 044 90538 84893 3 000 4 000 9 021 84893 80204 7 132 5 336 8 030 80204 76150 11 098 3 213 7 044 76150 72540 3 057 1 258 1 100 72540 69251 4 095 5 263 1 168 69251 66210 2 326 10 217 4 285 66210 63383 8 262 9 168 6 246 63383 60628 17 243 13 258 6 217 60628 57724 26 233 28 227 19 245 57724 54705 23 245 21 230 23 238 54705 51826 33 254 27 257 21 239 51826 49227 40 247 38 249 19 248 49227 46891 41 239 38 241 20 262 46891 44770 37 240 33 239 24 263 44770 42832 34 245 32 240 23 259 42832 41045 36 250 30 243 21 256 41045 39387 40 251 31 245 19 257 39387 37844 43 248 32 243 18 255 37844 36408 43 244 32 240 15 260 36408 35041 42 241 32 237 15 267 35041 33679 41 238 31 237 17 262 33679 32294 40 236 31 237 18 260 32294 30890 40 232 30 234 16 250 30890 29453 39 229 29 231 12 246 29453 27980 38 229 24 232 6 261 27980 26480 34 229 15 230 7 272 26480 24949 24 222 8 195 6 204 24949 23376 17 203 9 131 11 100 23376 21757 14 181 9 136 8 059 21757 20080 13 163 6 160 9 018 20080 18338 12 157 4 196 4 359 18338 16564 7 133 3 239 3 327 16564 14852 3 324 6 267 6 340 14852 13289 13 268 7 289 9 353 13289 11894 11 289 10 289 12 355 11894 10647 7 305 11 291 13 343 10647 9530 7 296 9 300 14 337 9530 8531 9 291 9 311 16 331 8531 7639 10 293 9 320 15 329 7639 6845 9 299 9 324 15 329 6845 6135 9 306 9*327 15 329 6135 5493 8*314 8*331 14 330 5493 4920 7*327 8 333 13 331 4920 4437 6 336 8 334 12 333 4437 4063 6 339 7 335 10 335 4063 3805 6 342 7 336 9 334 3805 3647 6 343 6 336 7*334 3647 3557 5 344 6 336 5*334 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography