DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 58.3 - - 61.5 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 216 - - 140 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 3878 - - 5260 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 5048 - - 5841 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 6436 - - 7818 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2396 - - 3605 - - 3910 - - 7808 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 402 - - 382 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 15 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 301 - - 294 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -9 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -256 - - 787 - - 391 - - -3448 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3072 - - 5649 - - 7427 - - 6265 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -821 - - -762 - - -919 - - -4896 ODpotential blCL - - - 3637 - - 7198 - - 8737 - - 7712 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 73 - - 72 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 90 - - 80 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 58.3 - - 61.5 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.8 - - 43.3 - - 38.7 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 56.6 - - 60.2 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 42.0 - - 37.5 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 216 - - 140 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 3878 - - 5260 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98408 6 165 16 199 12 240 9 271 98408 90945 11 199 7 179 6 213 6 251 90945 85150 9 204 8 216 6 210 6 255 85150 80310 5 220 2 224 6 214 7 232 80310 76132 9 221 2 230 9 221 7 257 76132 72459 6 180 10 243 13 245 14 267 72459 69153 9 277 11 212 13 224 13 257 69153 66097 22 276 22 275 16 259 20 286 66097 63269 24 269 24 262 26 284 33 286 63269 60551 20 260 23 267 27 283 25 273 60551 57693 31 275 26 264 27 289 36 289 57693 54712 43 275 40 278 41 283 50 285 54712 51884 49 274 47 280 51 279 54 279 51884 49357 52 274 52 281 54 276 51 275 49357 47098 51 276 55 276 51 274 49 279 47098 45059 57 280 54 271 51 279 54 285 45059 43206 65 275 57 279 59 286 59 283 43206 41507 71 270 68 280 68 285 59 281 41507 39932 76 266 76 275 75 282 64 283 39932 38465 78 263 82 270 81 277 71 282 38465 37096 80 260 82 267 81 273 72 281 37096 35784 80 259 78 264 81 270 71 281 35784 34463 78 258 77 264 81 270 71 282 34463 33103 76 258 77 264 82 270 70 282 33103 31709 75 258 78 265 83 271 69 279 31709 30269 75 259 78 266 81 269 71 277 30269 28769 75 261 77 268 77 271 74 275 28769 27202 76 262 73 268 74 274 70 274 27202 25568 74 263 71 266 71 276 67 271 25568 23871 70 262 69 264 67 275 65 270 23871 22114 67 262 61 263 62 273 61 272 22114 20299 63 262 56 262 54 274 55 278 20299 18422 59 262 48 264 46 275 49 284 18422 16517 55 261 42 267 41 278 43 287 16517 14688 51 262 38 273 39 284 34 294 14688 13025 50 267 32 278 32 291 30 301 13025 11550 46 270 29 283 21 294 19 284 11550 10237 38 279 20 286 19 294 17 277 10237 9063 34 284 19 287 18 294 16 281 9063 8011 31 286 18 293 15*295 16 288 8011 7071 27 293 17*296 14*295 15 295 7071 6236 24 296 16*298 14 295 15 299 6236 5493 23 293 16 300 14 294 15 302 5493 4822 19 284 15 301 13 294 15 304 4822 4225 17 274 15 302 12 294 15 306 4225 3725 15 269 15 303 12 294 14 307 3725 3338 14 266 14 303 11 293 13 307 3338 3071 12 265 13 303 10 293 10 306 3071 2909 10*264 11 303 9 293 7 304 2909 2816 7*263 8 303 7 293 4*302 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography