DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.7 - - 60.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - 40 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 258 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2816 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2674 - - 2150 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 116 - - 94 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 119 - - 119 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -340 - - 0 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3157 - - 2816 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -930 - - -553 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3747 - - 3369 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 60 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.7 - - 60.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.3 - - 58.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.8 - - 60.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.6 - - 58.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - 40 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 258 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 86 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97942 12 226 16 260 97942 90521 10 264 11 278 90521 84856 8 261 5 289 84856 80154 2 174 4 299 80154 76080 5 088 4 298 76080 72482 4 015 6 352 72482 69240 2 319 5 334 69240 66274 6 320 3 283 66274 63541 10 300 6 290 63541 60909 10 272 9 273 60909 58166 15 268 12 276 58166 55317 21 244 19 248 55317 52595 26 241 22 241 52595 50131 31 242 28 245 50131 47904 37 228 35 233 47904 45883 41 226 42 221 45883 44044 52 215 47 209 44044 42360 65 204 55 199 42360 40805 77 197 62 193 40805 39354 79 188 65 188 39354 37990 74 179 62 181 37990 36675 66 175 60 172 36675 35344 58 175 59 163 35344 33966 47 175 59 159 33966 32544 37 174 59 159 32544 31063 31 176 59 161 31063 29511 27 181 57 163 29511 27890 27 187 58 167 27890 26202 30 190 64 178 26202 24455 33 191 64 188 24455 22654 35 188 47 196 22654 20794 36 180 31 196 20794 18864 37 171 25 190 18864 16901 37 165 25 187 16901 15013 36 162 24 190 15013 13296 34 160 24 197 13296 11769 32 158 24 198 11769 10406 32 154 24 190 10406 9188 33 151 26 176 9188 8103 35 149 29 163 8103 7137 38 148 32 152 7137 6283 40 144 33 144 6283 5525 37 140 31 139 5525 4844 31 132 28 134 4844 4240 26 127 25 131 4240 3734 24 125 22 128 3734 3344 21 123 19 125 3344 3074 19 121 16 123 3074 2911 16*120 13 121 2911 2816 11*119 9*119 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography