DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0705z - - 1005z - - 1347z - - 1607z - - 1905z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 68.2 - - 70.3 - - 69.4 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 55 - - 221 - - 121 - - 77 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2435 - - 3678 - - 2809 - - 303 BL Depth Hcrit 2844 - - 3969 - - 4732 - - 3871 - - 2845 Hcrit BL Top 2861 - - 4993 - - 6236 - - 5367 - - 2861 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 853 - - 1583 - - 2298 - - 3361 - - 4838 Hgt.Variab. W* 106 - - 342 - - 351 - - 280 - - 59 W* B/S 5 - - 49 - - 21 - - 15 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 279 - - 304 - - 038 - - 308 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 7 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 601 - - 1383 - - 597 - - -1008 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2861 - - 4392 - - 4853 - - 4770 - - 3869 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -557 - - 738 - - -244 - - -1810 ODpotential blCL 2861 - - 5550 - - 5498 - - 5611 - - 4671 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 99 - - 97 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 1180 - - 1640 - - 1360 - - 1520 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 68.2 - - 70.3 - - 69.4 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.7 - - 58.2 - - 58.4 - - 57.8 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 66.1 - - 68.6 - - 68.1 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.0 - - 58.5 - - 58.7 - - 58.1 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 55 - - 221 - - 121 - - 77 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2435 - - 3678 - - 2809 - - 303 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 67 - - 96 - - 86 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98690 9 231 8 261 13 213 25 194 18 241 98690 91727 12 223 10 244 7 226 12 227 13 248 91727 86216 9 226 6 212 3 241 7 271 4 261 86216 81619 6 206 3 176 1 255 1 291 3 339 81619 77651 4 152 2 080 3 111 3 042 7 008 77651 74145 5 105 5 045 9 122 3 026 7 003 74145 70954 7 085 4 034 6 145 3 067 3 005 70954 68017 7 078 2 141 4 224 4 043 4 084 68017 65312 3 085 8 191 7 240 4 312 7 065 65312 62764 4 231 11 201 10 225 7 246 1 166 62764 60022 11 224 14 214 12 223 9 227 10 207 60022 57051 17 211 17 225 15 228 12 231 17 212 57051 54260 21 212 19 232 21 226 18 232 21 220 54260 51780 22 216 21 237 24 224 23 230 23 228 51780 49539 23 219 22 236 25 223 26 224 24 230 49539 47494 23 223 24 229 26 228 26 221 23 228 47494 45619 25 221 25 218 27 229 25 223 22 228 45619 43899 26 216 24 206 27 222 27 224 20 232 43899 42318 24 213 20 198 25 208 26 214 18 225 42318 40861 19 217 18 199 23 185 19 198 17 201 40861 39512 12 203 16 196 20 170 12 181 20 179 39512 38248 9 167 13 182 16 172 6 179 21 175 38248 36938 10 173 10 161 15 180 4 188 20 177 36938 35559 10 178 10 157 15 187 5 196 19 176 35559 34146 8 182 11 168 16 193 9 205 18 177 34146 32652 8 197 14 175 17 198 10 206 18 180 32652 31075 8 210 17 183 17 200 11 197 16 182 31075 29419 8 214 19 195 13 204 13 188 14 186 29419 27681 9 209 19 210 9 212 14 182 12 197 27681 25860 11 204 18 229 5 233 12 185 10 207 25860 23966 12 203 18 247 5 242 9 215 7 210 23966 21988 11 197 17 253 8 224 9 242 5 197 21988 19918 9 198 15 246 10 214 4 226 5 149 19918 17768 6 210 11 226 9 206 5 152 11 123 17768 15697 4 213 8 213 6 191 9 143 13 126 15697 13851 5 188 6 209 4 181 13 153 12 148 13851 12215 6 184 6 208 4 172 16 162 9 163 12215 10761 7 192 6 199 5 173 15 164 7 173 10761 9469 8 202 7 197 6 185 10 165 5 157 9469 8323 8 208 8 201 7 191 5 167 5 109 8323 7309 6 211 9 204 5 183 3 158 7 087 7309 6415 3 226 9 204 2*116 1 168 9 076 6415 5634 1 323 7*201 3*045 1*249 8 051 5634 4928 3 022 2*182 3 036 2*295 9 028 4928 4293 5 015 2 322 3 038 4 310 9 021 4293 3769 7 345 2 319 3 036 4 310 8 018 3769 3367 8 319 2 309 3 038 4 309 8 016 3367 3095 5 285 2 306 3 037 4 308 7 017 3095 2939 5*283 2 309 3 038 3 309 6 017 2939 2861 4*279 1 297 2 036 3 307 4*018 2861 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography