DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.9 - - 31.1 - - 36.5 - - 36.5 - - 31.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 76 - - 45 - - -20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 760 - - 2052 - - 4567 - - 6596 - - 2432 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 158 - - 138 - - 58 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 214 - - 211 - - 232 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 11 - - 20 - - 13 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1396 - - -571 - - -1580 - - -1628 - - -2618 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10757 - - 9934 - - 10942 - - 10990 - - 11981 sfcLCL ODpotential -9451 - - -4571 - - -3845 - - -4550 - - -6680 ODpotential blCL 18812 - - 13933 - - 13207 - - 13912 - - 16042 blCL maxRH 68 - - 66 - - 67 - - 77 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.9 - - 31.1 - - 36.5 - - 36.5 - - 31.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.3 - - 20.5 - - 21.4 - - 21.1 - - 12.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.9 - - 29.5 - - 35.3 - - 38.3 - - 36.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.3 - - 19.4 - - 20.3 - - 20.0 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 76 - - 45 - - -20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96994 29 277 34 295 41 292 31 295 24 289 96994 89779 21 271 32 274 36 271 31 280 25 278 89779 84232 25 278 36 260 33 256 32 266 25 292 84232 79531 33 279 29 275 33 264 39 254 34 276 79531 75402 33 265 31 262 35 251 37 244 33 248 75402 71752 34 248 33 238 22 248 18 233 22 236 71752 68446 28 243 19 242 15 286 23 272 15 266 68446 65404 26 259 30 263 43 247 44 248 35 254 65404 62607 41 256 52 252 55 246 50 244 45 251 62607 59921 53 254 63 250 55 260 55 264 44 253 59921 57124 57 252 59 251 54 264 58 266 46 253 57124 54206 55 258 51 259 56 265 62 264 55 260 54206 51414 61 271 56 270 64 262 66 267 69 264 51414 48918 70 274 67 270 78 262 74 270 80 266 48918 46708 73 274 75 270 88 264 84 268 85 268 46708 44720 76 274 81 273 92 266 92 268 89 270 44720 42914 81 274 87 274 94 269 100 270 96 269 42914 41264 85 274 90 273 97 272 105 270 103 267 41264 39741 87 275 92 272 101 274 107 271 106 265 39741 38324 85 276 93 273 103 274 108 272 104 265 38324 37001 84 275 94 272 101 271 105 273 102 266 37001 35748 83 274 91 270 98 269 101 273 100 266 35748 34505 81 274 86 267 93 268 97 273 98 266 34505 33245 77 274 80 267 90 269 95 272 95 265 33245 31975 72 274 76 266 88 269 94 271 91 264 31975 30685 68 274 74 266 86 269 93 270 87 264 30685 29370 65 273 73 266 84 269 89 269 83 263 29370 28036 64 272 71 265 81 267 84 267 79 263 28036 26687 62 271 69 264 79 266 80 265 76 263 26687 25329 58 269 67 263 76 264 78 264 74 263 25329 23967 53 267 64 262 73 262 74 264 72 264 23967 22599 51 265 61 261 69 262 69 264 69 264 22599 21223 49 266 57 260 65 262 62 265 63 263 21223 19859 46 268 52 260 60 262 53 265 53 261 19859 18571 42 270 47 261 55 261 46 262 42 257 18571 17409 38 272 42 261 50 259 38 256 36 253 17409 16369 35 272 37 260 45 256 30 249 33 249 16369 15426 32 270 32 259 37 251 27 244 31 245 15426 14563 30 265 29 257 29 244 25 242 29 243 14563 13768 28 259 27 255 24 237 24 241 28 242 13768 13038 27 255 25 253 20 232 23 241 26 243 13038 12367 26 252 23 251 18 228 22 240 25 244 12367 11751 23 252 19 247 16 224 21 240 23 246 11751 11180 19 251 14 240 14 221 20 239 22 248 11180 10656 14 247 10 233 13 219 19 238 19 252 10656 10206 9 242 7 225 11 216 18 238 17 254 10206 9852 6 240 6 222 11 215 17 237 14 254 9852 9603 4 248 6 218 10 213 14 235 11 256 9603 9450 3*251 6*216 9*212 12*234 9*254 9450 9362 2*327 5*214 7*211 7*232 4*272 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography