DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1017z - - 1350z - - 1616z - - 1914z - - 2207z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.1 - - 19.8 - - 20.2 - - 18.4 - - 19.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 32 - - 28 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 352 - - 352 - - 352 - - 352 - - 352 BL Depth Hcrit 9135 - - 9135 - - 9135 - - 9135 - - 9135 Hcrit BL Top 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1599 - - 2205 - - 3106 - - 1845 - - 1326 Hgt.Variab. W* 49 - - 97 - - 94 - - 25 - - 17 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 215 - - 245 - - 309 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - -8 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 sfcLCL ODpotential -154 - - -250 - - -293 - - -828 - - -1099 ODpotential blCL 9306 - - 9402 - - 9445 - - 9980 - - 10251 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 1 - - 14 - - 2 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.1 - - 19.8 - - 20.2 - - 18.4 - - 19.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.3 - - 18.0 - - 18.3 - - 14.9 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 18.1 - - 18.5 - - 19.0 - - 17.6 - - 18.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.3 - - 18.0 - - 18.3 - - 14.9 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 32 - - 28 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 352 - - 352 - - 352 - - 352 - - 352 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 105 - - 105 - - 102 - - 100 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 73269 21 108 22 097 27 097 26 112 26 110 73269 60142 4 149 6 244 12 261 7 297 4 315 60142 54613 20 224 19 255 22 264 15 279 18 302 54613 49664 24 265 28 263 27 265 25 275 28 282 49664 45797 33 265 30 260 32 258 41 282 35 292 45797 42406 36 268 30 265 29 281 33 283 31 290 42406 40549 40 262 35 274 32 286 32 293 31 304 40549 39443 38 268 37 278 33 287 42 293 38 311 39443 38690 38 270 37 284 38 284 45 287 43 304 38690 38052 39 269 41 286 40 289 42 282 50 301 38052 37346 40 269 44 286 45 294 39 287 48 296 37346 36805 41 270 46 284 52 294 37 290 50 292 36805 36062 42 269 46 282 52 290 40 289 49 289 36062 34683 43 267 46 281 51 287 45 286 48 294 34683 33534 38 264 47 281 51 284 48 286 48 296 33534 32866 39 261 46 278 53 282 52 287 48 295 32866 32112 45 261 46 276 55 284 57 287 50 296 32112 31183 47 262 49 275 60 285 63 289 55 295 31183 30142 46 267 54 275 65 285 65 291 60 295 30142 29271 48 267 57 276 67 283 67 289 59 295 29271 28731 50 265 59 276 67 281 68 287 55 293 28731 28181 49 263 60 275 66 279 65 285 46 290 28181 27778 47 263 60 275 65 278 61 283 40 288 27778 27451 46 262 59 276 63 278 55 281 38 285 27451 27125 44 261 58 278 60 278 49 281 33 282 27125 26694 43 260 54 278 55 276 44 282 26 284 26694 26193 41 260 47 273 47 271 41 283 20 290 26193 25662 40 264 43 264 38 265 37 280 20 289 25662 24842 37 266 42 264 44 254 33 271 20 284 24842 24582 32 263 31 265 35 264 29 272 15 281 24582 21979 24 264 24 268 29 268 22 279 5 342 21979 16962 19 270 22 279 17 266 11 294 11 014 16962 13411 13 250 10 253 9 262 2 061 9 343 13411 12564 10 255 8 220 9 299 2 343 11 346 12564 12301 8 262 8 218 9 303 4 325 11 347 12301 12041 6 279 7 222 10 307 5 322 12 346 12041 11783 6 293 7 227 11 309 6 317 13 346 11783 11527 7 300 6 234 11 308 8 319 13 344 11527 11273 7 294 5 242 10 306 9 312 14 343 11273 11021 6 282 5 253 10 303 11 312 15 340 11021 10771 5 263 5 267 9 300 13 319 16 339 10771 10522 5 244 5 274 9 295 13 318 17 337 10522 10276 6 231 7 261 8 294 13 318 18 332 10276 10032 7 216 8 253 6 286 13 317 19 328 10032 9789 7 201 6 240 5 274 13 316 18 325 9789 9549 5 182 5 228 4 264 12 314 15 322 9549 9389 4 176 5 223 4 257 11 313 13 322 9389 9270 3 174 4 219 3 254 10 312 12 321 9270 9191 3*173 4*215 3*251 8*311 9*319 9191 9152 2*169 3*215 2*245 5*309 7*319 9152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography