DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 62.4 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 498 - - 493 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6745 - - 9331 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13914 - - 16031 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15545 - - 18131 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1710 - - 1610 - - - - - 454 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 654 - - 727 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 21 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 237 - - - - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 26 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -423 - - 1530 - - - - - -6827 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15969 - - 16602 - - - - - 16191 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4692 - - -443 - - - - - -10653 ODpotential blCL - - - 20237 - - 18574 - - - - - 20016 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 63 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 62.4 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 21.8 - - - - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 58.8 - - - - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.2 - - 20.9 - - - - - 14.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 498 - - 493 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6745 - - 9331 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97916 22 260 21 265 17 295 97916 90539 10 249 17 270 19 315 90539 84858 5 221 10 258 13 316 84858 80123 3 205 9 249 5 336 80123 76049 2 176 5 220 3 086 76049 72465 4 131 4 146 5 111 72465 69228 4 104 5 172 6 133 69228 66244 9 189 7 203 2 198 66244 63461 13 177 10 188 11 205 63461 60765 10 226 6 251 5 279 60765 57956 20 230 21 248 14 240 57956 55036 20 234 24 240 33 237 55036 52266 28 248 29 246 34 261 52266 49796 30 254 38 256 40 270 49796 47611 30 268 39 260 42 265 47611 45653 35 285 37 265 41 270 45653 43867 39 287 36 273 55 280 43867 42218 40 283 34 282 67 282 42218 40678 39 279 36 284 70 280 40678 39234 34 276 37 281 67 275 39234 37884 29 290 38 278 63 270 37884 36604 27 298 34 276 61 270 36604 35331 25 295 27 275 60 272 35331 34040 22 301 23 274 58 275 34040 32735 19 311 19 273 55 278 32735 31410 17 307 14 269 42 275 31410 30061 18 306 14 267 31 269 30061 28693 18 308 17 270 25 266 28693 27309 18 296 17 270 26 256 27309 25914 18 280 16 268 28 244 25914 24514 17 272 14 255 28 240 24514 23107 17 272 14 262 28 243 23107 21689 25 275 23 261 27 244 21689 20284 31 274 29 252 25 240 20284 18953 31 272 26*243 24 239 18953 17745 28 268 25*240 24 242 17745 16661 20 261 25 239 24 244 16661 15678 17*255 24 239 25 245 15678 14777 16*252 23 237 26 245 14777 13949 15 251 21 237 27 245 13949 13187 15 249 20 236 28 245 13187 12489 15 248 20 236 29 245 12489 11848 14 246 19 235 30 245 11848 11253 14 245 19 234 30 244 11253 10708 14 244 18 234 30 244 10708 10240 13 242 17 233 28 243 10240 9872 13 241 16 233 25 242 9872 9613 12 240 16 232 19 241 9613 9454 12 239 15 231 13*241 9454 9363 9 237 11 230 6*252 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography