DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1043z - - 1343z - - 1612z - - 1911z - - 2206z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 54.0 - - 58.5 - - 54.9 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 279 - - 315 - - 7 - - -83 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 352 - - 4306 - - 5756 - - 352 - - 352 BL Depth Hcrit 9135 - - 11767 - - 12951 - - 9135 - - 9135 Hcrit BL Top 9152 - - 13106 - - 14556 - - 9152 - - 9152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2558 - - 948 - - 784 - - 6529 - - 108 Hgt.Variab. W* 98 - - 471 - - 539 - - 84 - - 49 W* B/S 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 19 - - 23 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 226 - - 237 - - 251 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 21 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 31 - - 36 - - 9 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1327 - - -421 - - 333 - - -4670 - - -1709 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10480 - - 13528 - - 14224 - - 13823 - - 10861 sfcLCL ODpotential -6770 - - -10733 - - -8886 - - -10038 - - -5848 ODpotential blCL 15922 - - 23839 - - 23442 - - 19190 - - 15000 blCL maxRH 56 - - 38 - - 37 - - 35 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 54.0 - - 58.5 - - 54.9 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.5 - - 26.5 - - 27.8 - - 26.2 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.7 - - 51.2 - - 55.4 - - 53.9 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 26.5 - - 27.7 - - 26.2 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 279 - - 315 - - 7 - - -83 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 352 - - 4306 - - 5756 - - 352 - - 352 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74261 12 168 11 171 13 187 8 179 11 152 74261 61505 15 193 8 199 3 182 22 199 24 216 61505 58172 37 208 43 222 28 283 35 270 30 256 58172 55877 46 213 41 225 39 239 47 247 38 246 55877 51770 40 220 42 227 39 213 45 219 42 237 51770 48680 46 235 45 233 59 243 62 242 73 237 48680 45038 49 229 61 234 74 240 72 238 82 234 45038 41884 51 231 69 233 82 235 79 235 87 241 41884 39539 58 235 72 235 81 238 85 239 96 246 39539 37532 62 235 73 237 82 242 94 240 100 245 37532 35320 66 236 74 238 80 240 100 241 100 244 35320 33429 70 236 74 240 78 238 94 242 96 243 33429 32044 72 233 74 238 76 235 87 240 92 240 32044 30480 72 228 76 231 76 232 82 236 87 238 30480 28457 71 226 76 229 75 228 77 236 83 236 28457 26960 69 229 75 228 72 230 73 234 79 239 26960 24922 66 230 72 229 68 233 68 235 70 239 24922 22887 62 228 66 231 64 237 62 237 62 239 22887 21151 54 224 56 230 60 237 57 236 56 245 21151 18780 49 225 50 230 54 235 53 237 47 241 18780 17910 46 227 50 232 50 237 49 237 43 242 17910 17436 42 227 48 236 46 241 44 239 38 245 17436 16767 38 227 44 239 43*244 39 244 31 252 16767 16519 37 229 38 239 41*246 37 248 27 261 16519 13405 37 230 34 238 28 246 30 248 24 254 13405 13214 37 231 33*238 28 246 30 249 24 253 13214 13023 36 232 31*238 28 246 29 249 24 253 13023 12834 36 233 28 237 28 246 29 249 24 252 12834 12645 36 234 25 235 27 246 28 249 24 252 12645 12458 35 235 23 233 25 244 28 249 24 252 12458 12271 35 236 22 231 24 242 28 250 24 251 12271 12086 34 237 21 230 23 241 27 250 25 251 12086 11901 33 238 20 229 23 240 27 250 25 250 11901 11717 32 239 20 228 22 238 26 251 25 250 11717 11534 31 240 19 227 21 236 26 251 26 250 11534 11352 28 240 19 226 21 233 26 251 26 250 11352 11171 26 240 19 225 20 231 25 251 26 249 11171 10991 24 240 18 225 20 228 25 251 27 249 10991 10812 22 238 18 224 19 223 24 251 27 249 10812 10633 21 237 18 223 18 221 24 252 27 249 10633 10455 20 236 17 222 18 219 24 252 28 248 10455 10278 18 235 17 221 18 218 23 252 28 248 10278 10102 17 234 17 221 17 214 23 252 27 247 10102 9927 15 232 16 220 16 212 22 252 26 247 9927 9753 13 231 16 219 16 211 22 252 24 246 9753 9580 11 231 16 218 15 210 21 252 21 248 9580 9407 9 231 15 217 15 209 19 252 17 252 9407 9279 8 230 14 216 14 208 17 252 13 260 9279 9194 6*231 12 215 13 207 15*251 9*268 9194 9152 4*229 11 212 12 206 12*251 6*277 9152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography