DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1341z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.5 - - 33.3 - - 45.8 - - 46.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 58 - - 209 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 241 - - 1524 - - 977 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4017 - - 4017 - - 5028 - - 4017 - - 4017 Hcrit BL Top 4035 - - 4541 - - 5824 - - 5277 - - 4035 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 225 - - 638 - - 738 - - 872 - - 172 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 100 - - 284 - - 121 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 4 - - 12 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 273 - - 130 - - 132 - - 134 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1616 - - -2230 - - -3675 - - -5536 - - -4435 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5651 - - 6771 - - 9499 - - 10813 - - 8470 sfcLCL ODpotential -12548 - - -11623 - - -10631 - - -11810 - - -12014 ODpotential blCL 16583 - - 16164 - - 16455 - - 17087 - - 16049 blCL maxRH 62 - - 60 - - 62 - - 63 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.5 - - 33.3 - - 45.8 - - 46.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.4 - - 18.2 - - 18.4 - - 13.5 - - 15.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.4 - - 32.4 - - 44.0 - - 46.2 - - 37.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.4 - - 18.1 - - 18.4 - - 13.5 - - 15.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 58 - - 209 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 241 - - 1524 - - 977 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 73094 27 101 28 098 33 098 32 101 29 103 73094 59998 11 027 8 049 5 063 4 099 10 071 59998 55397 11 338 8 340 11 317 9 325 6 322 55397 50355 23 321 19 320 21 316 19 334 12 328 50355 46932 28 321 26 313 27 321 25 315 24 294 46932 44559 37 320 35 319 32 316 30 307 25 306 44559 43051 38 318 37 322 32 320 28 310 25 309 43051 41839 37 319 41 325 32 324 27 314 26 306 41839 41181 38 321 46 322 36 323 31 308 27 308 41181 40777 40 319 48 319 38 320 36 303 29 309 40777 40374 42 317 50 317 39 317 38 298 31 309 40374 40042 42 314 50 316 38 318 38 296 33 308 40042 39670 42 311 50 314 36 318 39 295 35 307 39670 39264 39 307 50 312 36 319 38 294 37 304 39264 38887 37 304 49 310 36 318 34 299 40 300 38887 38434 28 309 45 308 38 313 32 304 44 299 38434 37858 23 334 40 308 36 308 31 307 50 300 37858 37462 28 342 39 308 34 305 29 308 65 293 37462 33760 37 340 35 308 33 298 30 301 54 300 33760 30121 38 326 30 313 32 295 31 295 34 306 30121 26916 37 338 27 314 27 299 26 293 17 314 26916 25012 31 334 25 340 20 332 15 304 6 325 25012 23737 26 329 22 323 18 325 12 296 2 053 23737 22229 23 334 17 342 12 345 10 287 5 119 22229 20560 20 352 11 002 5 025 3 273 9 150 20560 19346 14 014 5 033 5 095 5 163 13 160 19346 18098 10 015 1 003 3 136 8 167 16 170 18098 16178 9 326 3 306 1 124 8 183 14 182 16178 13288 7 297 3 282 3 098 9 184 18 189 13288 11297 2 100 3 141 6 142 13 182 20 191 11297 10428 4 116 6 134 10 154 15 185 20 200 10428 10005 5 151 9 131 12 163 15 186 21 201 10005 9588 6 160 11 136 12 165 15 187 21 200 9588 9176 7 158 13 142 13 171 15 187 21 199 9176 8770 8 156 15 147 15 174 15 184 21 197 8770 8369 9 149 16 152 15 175 15 179 21 194 8369 7973 11 142 18 156 15 175 14 175 22 190 7973 7581 14 140 18 158 15 174 14 169 23 187 7581 7195 16 135 18 163 14 172 15 166 23 182 7195 6813 17 133 17 166 14 170 15 161 23 178 6813 6435 16 134 16 167 13 168 16 158 23 175 6435 6062 16 136 15 166 13*163 17 155 22 170 6062 5694 14 140 14 165 12*153 18 150 20 166 5694 5330 12 146 13 164 12 139 18*139 17 162 5330 4970 9 159 11 159 12 128 17*134 16 161 4970 4614 7 159 8*150 12 127 16 134 13 167 4614 4380 6 152 5*132 11 126 15 134 11 177 4380 4206 4 142 4 131 11 127 14 134 8 190 4206 4091 2*138 4 128 10 126 13 135 6*202 4091 4034 0*273 4 127 10 126 12 134 4*224 4034 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography