DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.8 - - 41.2 - - 43.3 - - 43.8 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 61 - - 56 - - 41 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3231 - - 3598 - - 2494 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 5515 - - 5712 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 7531 - - 7898 - - 6794 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4303 - - 2711 - - 3933 - - 4704 - - 5730 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 252 - - 256 - - 205 - - 29 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 20 - - 22 - - 19 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 274 - - 264 - - 264 - - 271 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 18 - - -13 - - -11 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2352 - - 599 - - 673 - - -259 - - -3074 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6446 - - 6933 - - 7225 - - 7054 - - 7167 sfcLCL ODpotential -3683 - - -948 - - -1095 - - -2266 - - -4410 ODpotential blCL 7776 - - 8479 - - 8993 - - 9060 - - 8503 blCL maxRH 73 - - 77 - - 85 - - 80 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.8 - - 41.2 - - 43.3 - - 43.8 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.9 - - 25.2 - - 25.9 - - 27.1 - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.1 - - 40.4 - - 42.7 - - 43.1 - - 42.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 24.0 - - 24.8 - - 26.0 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 61 - - 56 - - 41 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3231 - - 3598 - - 2494 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 9 - - 40 - - 21 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96990 25 266 25 272 27 266 23 277 25 275 96990 89649 25 284 35 276 30 272 33 280 37 284 89649 84010 23 276 25 279 28 276 34 280 31 278 84010 79311 22 275 16 274 26 273 29 267 25 286 79311 75231 17 310 16 286 22 274 21 275 22 282 75231 71609 19 331 15 319 17 279 26 285 20 296 71609 68309 22 285 16 286 15 261 23 252 19 292 68309 65249 23 255 14 242 16 242 19 238 15 267 65249 62392 33 253 30 250 40 246 38 258 16 278 62392 59602 43 252 42 245 48 251 44 259 30 273 59602 56685 50 249 50 245 49 257 44 265 37 273 56685 53683 50 253 50 252 51 256 47 266 43 274 53683 50851 53 255 51 259 50 256 52 261 50 267 50851 48321 55 256 54 261 48 260 54 260 54 263 48321 46063 56 262 57 268 56 267 59 263 57 266 46063 44023 63 272 66 274 69 268 64 264 62 268 44023 42166 75 273 79 272 77 267 69 265 68 265 42166 40461 86 269 86 267 82 266 76 265 69 263 40461 38884 91 263 87 264 84 266 81 261 67 261 38884 37424 91 260 85 262 84 265 80 257 65 259 37424 36076 88 262 80 261 85 263 75 260 63 257 36076 34807 88 267 77 266 83 260 76 262 62 257 34807 33544 96 271 80 273 79 260 76 260 61 256 33544 32253 103 269 85 275 77 264 75 258 59 255 32253 30930 105 266 87 273 77 266 72 260 57 254 30930 29562 104 264 86 272 78 267 70 263 55 255 29562 28139 95 263 81 271 78 269 68 263 54 257 28139 26664 82 262 75 267 76 271 67 262 53 259 26664 25139 69 262 68 266 73 272 64 263 52 261 25139 23569 57 264 58 268 68 271 59 268 49 264 23569 21957 44 266 49 269 60 269 53 271 45 267 21957 20296 34 264 42 268 49 268 46 271 42 266 20296 18580 30 263 38 265 41 264 40 267 36 264 18580 16837 32 262 36 262 36 260 36 265 32 261 16837 15162 35 259 36 260 32 257 33 263 28 260 15162 13636 38 257 37 259 27 256 29 260 24 257 13636 12277 40 256 37 258 22 256 22 254 20 251 12277 11062 42 257 33 259 21 257 19 254 16 243 11062 9974 41 258 27 259 22 258 19 256 14 240 9974 8996 40 260 25 260 22 261 19 260 14 245 8996 8120 37 262 24*261 23*262 20 264 15 252 8120 7339 33 264 23*262 23*263 20*267 16 258 7339 6640 28 266 22 263 23 264 20*269 17 262 6640 6008 23 267 21 264 23 264 20 270 17 265 6008 5441 18 269 20 264 23 265 20 271 17 267 5441 4964 15 270 19 264 22 265 20 272 17 269 4964 4594 12 272 18 265 21 265 19 273 16 270 4594 4338 10 274 16 265 20 266 18 273 14 272 4338 4182 9*274 15 265 19 266 16 274 13*273 4182 4092 8*274 13 265 15 265 13 274 11*274 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography