DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 85.8 - - 87.5 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 296 - - 119 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1881 - - 3943 - - 5486 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1108 - - 2726 - - 3399 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1987 - - 4050 - - 5592 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1196 - - 4682 - - 4630 - - 536 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 431 - - 359 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 106 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 008 - - 164 - - 194 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4660 - - -5651 - - -5109 - - -7267 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6647 - - 9702 - - 10701 - - 7391 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8181 - - -8772 - - -9173 - - -10738 ODpotential blCL - - - 10168 - - 12822 - - 14765 - - 10861 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 37 - - 45 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 85.8 - - 87.5 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 43.4 - - 40.6 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 83.8 - - 86.5 - - 80.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 42.2 - - 39.5 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 296 - - 119 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1881 - - 3943 - - 5486 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97684 9 222 17 258 17 279 16 310 97684 90273 4 290 3 216 12 262 5 352 90273 84598 1 214 5 294 2 343 8 007 84598 79883 5 020 3 279 4 046 8 340 79883 75812 8 006 4 109 5 069 2 309 75812 72221 8 356 4 074 2 098 1 164 72221 68977 3 307 2 010 1 027 4 202 68977 65988 2 301 4 325 3 340 5 179 65988 63214 1 326 4 302 7 301 5 045 63214 60537 4 074 1 269 6 255 8 322 60537 57753 3 019 5 354 3 351 5 317 57753 54865 7 019 5 029 4 024 3 012 54865 52109 11 012 8 025 10 024 10 045 52109 49624 10 029 8 359 11 004 10 031 49624 47391 22 051 12 066 8 079 9 059 47391 45372 29 042 21 068 17 084 10 076 45372 43535 22 036 21 052 22 064 15 081 43535 41850 17 062 15 045 18 042 15 067 41850 40302 20 061 18 061 16 045 15 068 40302 38869 26 042 24 053 16 053 17 069 38869 37524 30 040 28 045 17 057 19 070 37524 36219 32 044 28 046 20 062 20 072 36219 34884 30 047 27 053 22 065 23 072 34884 33490 29 053 28 059 23 065 25 068 33490 32040 30 058 28 059 23 067 26 067 32040 30521 31 061 28 059 24 068 27 070 30521 28920 31 063 28 060 23 069 27 072 28920 27237 30 064 27 063 21 069 24 070 27237 25471 27 069 26 069 19 075 19 074 25471 23623 25 074 24 074 18 079 15 083 23623 21695 25 073 23 080 18 082 15 090 21695 19677 26 072 24 087 20 091 16 101 19677 17564 25 074 24 097 19 101 13 120 17564 15404 21 081 18 107 12 114 10 129 15404 13325 13 089 11 118 6 124 10 120 13325 11438 6 074 4 121 4 111 12 146 11438 9762 3 034 2 020 3 058 13 155 9762 8273 2 074 1 346 1 063 9 144 8273 6948 3 096 2 073 1 188 5 111 6948 5770 6 119 2 156 2*192 2 098 5770 4726 7 137 2*163 2*192 1 146 4726 3805 6 119 1*156 3 193 2 227 3805 2992 5 068 1 148 3 194 4 237 2992 2265 6*018 1 157 3 194 6 244 2265 1622 6*009 1 163 3 193 8 246 1622 1086 6 008 1 168 4 196 10 244 1086 675 5 008 1 175 4 196 11 239 675 392 5 008 1 179 4 195 10 231 392 221 5 009 1 177 4 196 8*223 221 123 4 009 1 179 3 196 6*218 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography