DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/09 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1553z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 84.6 - - 86.6 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 352 - - 145 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4257 - - 6598 - - 7162 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2950 - - 4868 - - 4796 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4363 - - 6705 - - 7269 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2456 - - 2460 - - 2745 - - 5178 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 437 - - 540 - - 418 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 043 - - 062 - - 061 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -7 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5059 - - -4168 - - -3848 - - -8597 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9422 - - 10873 - - 11117 - - 8720 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10534 - - -9631 - - -8624 - - -12332 ODpotential blCL - - - 14897 - - 16336 - - 15893 - - 12455 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 30 - - 37 - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 84.6 - - 86.6 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 36.9 - - 37.9 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.3 - - 82.8 - - 85.5 - - 81.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 36.0 - - 37.1 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 352 - - 145 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4257 - - 6598 - - 7162 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98216 2 304 4 237 10 308 6 303 98216 90825 6 100 2 297 6 311 4 034 90825 85172 11 079 6 072 4 031 9 045 85172 80475 13 063 11 080 3 060 8 053 80475 76422 8 092 7 083 11 093 8 088 76422 72834 11 097 5 094 11 089 12 090 72834 69575 10 102 7 141 3 114 9 080 69575 66576 10 129 8 099 5 092 7 073 66576 63785 6 070 4 062 8 003 8 024 63785 61085 10 036 8 069 13 020 13 015 61085 58274 13 010 12 016 11 341 12 351 58274 55339 17 348 18 007 17 009 18 012 55339 52518 21 004 25 008 29 011 28 016 52518 49971 22 355 23 346 29 355 33 009 49971 47689 26 353 21 343 28 340 34 351 47689 45628 32 009 30 013 27 360 24 356 45628 43752 37 014 37 016 26 012 22 357 43752 42029 36 011 34 023 30 031 30 026 42029 40437 33 021 38 026 38 027 36 031 40437 38961 35 022 38 020 37 026 33 031 38961 37583 28 017 34 014 30 026 30 033 37583 36258 21 010 28 008 23 022 26 035 36258 34911 18 008 22 011 21 026 24 039 34911 33510 19 011 24 028 26 039 28 047 33510 32063 22 017 32 034 33 046 33 050 32063 30551 27 024 37 031 36 047 32 048 30551 28958 32 033 35 031 34 047 30 051 28958 27279 34 038 29 036 30 050 30 056 27279 25512 34 041 26 043 28 055 28 056 25512 23660 33 038 25 050 28 058 24 051 23660 21723 32 035 23 058 26 063 23 049 21723 19697 31 040 21 070 21 073 19 053 19697 17576 30 054 20 086 14 085 12 043 17576 15409 29 067 20 094 11 088 12 032 15409 13324 25 083 21 090 13 089 14 068 13324 11436 22 099 20 101 12 098 16 099 11436 9760 19 107 17 112 13 094 16 109 9760 8270 17 090 15 108 14*078 15 107 8270 6943 20 068 14*082 15*068 15 102 6943 5765 17 080 15*070 15 065 13 094 5765 4720 15*075 16 066 15 063 12 084 4720 3800 15*059 17 064 15 062 11 064 3800 2988 15 047 17 062 15 060 11 054 2988 2261 15 043 17 060 15 059 12 047 2261 1619 15 041 17 059 14 058 12 041 1619 1084 15 038 17 058 14 057 12 036 1084 673 14 036 17 058 14 057 11 031 673 391 13 035 16 057 13 057 10 026 391 220 13 035 15 057 12 056 8*020 220 123 11 034 13 057 10 056 5*014 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography