DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.2 - - 84.6 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 238 - - 115 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5131 - - 6242 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4892 - - 5297 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6568 - - 7679 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4033 - - 3934 - - 6310 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 445 - - 376 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 21 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 198 - - 197 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 301 - - -476 - - -5568 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6268 - - 8155 - - 6863 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -909 - - -1468 - - -7522 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7477 - - 9147 - - 8817 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 82 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1380 - - 390 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.2 - - 84.6 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.1 - - 53.2 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.8 - - 84.0 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.1 - - 52.5 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 238 - - 115 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5131 - - 6242 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 30 - - 29 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97601 1 304 8 238 4 328 97601 90256 6 125 2 042 7 336 90256 84589 9 149 5 052 3 097 84589 79885 6 142 3 010 8 097 79885 75832 4 094 2 124 7 090 75832 72256 5 094 3 177 5 066 72256 69034 6 075 5 166 1 030 69034 66086 2 106 5 165 6 247 66086 63357 1 263 3 180 7 230 63357 60699 5 251 6 234 8 232 60699 57910 9 248 11 231 13 236 57910 55007 14 249 12 246 16 243 55007 52236 23 247 22 262 23 256 52236 49762 29 245 34 254 28 254 49762 47565 27 228 35 239 43 248 47565 45587 25 216 27 215 33 227 45587 43793 24 176 28 207 25 219 43793 42154 20 157 33 185 29 198 42154 40638 13 138 25 177 26 185 40638 39215 11 072 19 170 22 197 39215 37866 10 040 17 180 27 203 37866 36555 7 054 20 212 28 209 36555 35217 2 164 24 232 24 212 35217 33824 12 235 31 230 23 204 33824 32382 28 250 28 225 22 205 32382 30873 30 260 23 215 22 207 30873 29287 26 249 24 214 24 214 29287 27626 26 243 26 223 26 231 27626 25887 25 235 28 231 27 236 25887 24071 26 226 30 231 29 224 24071 22180 29 221 31 227 31 216 22180 20213 30 218 30 225 33 214 20213 18166 30 217 28 222 33 211 18166 16083 29 215 30 211 32 204 16083 14081 28 213 33 204 28 200 14081 12268 28 215 28 208 21 205 12268 10661 27 217 20 216 18 227 10661 9231 26 220 20 214 23 235 9231 7954 24 221 20*210 26 230 7954 6816 22*219 21*204 27 222 6816 5804 19*215 22 201 28 214 5804 4909 16 204 22 199 30 207 4909 4116 15 198 22 196 30 202 4116 3404 14 195 22 195 30 199 3404 2773 14 193 22 194 28 196 2773 2245 13 191 22 194 26 193 2245 1840 13 189 21 193 22 190 1840 1560 12 189 20 192 17 186 1560 1391 11 188 18 192 14*184 1391 1294 10 189 14 192 8*181 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography