DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.4 - - 75.3 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 101 - - 64 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2128 - - 1803 - - 152 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2318 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3565 - - 3240 - - 1589 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4826 - - 4176 - - 1642 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 262 - - 214 - - 52 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 233 - - 343 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 24 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1138 - - -533 - - 296 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4703 - - 3774 - - 1294 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2368 - - -2081 - - -180 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5933 - - 5321 - - 1769 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 93 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 230 - - 920 - - 980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.4 - - 75.3 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.8 - - 62.6 - - 64.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.7 - - 74.8 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.5 - - 61.4 - - 64.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 101 - - 64 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2128 - - 1803 - - 152 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 79 - - 72 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98381 16 232 11 255 12 261 98381 90873 15 218 14 242 14 227 90873 85070 15 220 16 242 12 250 85070 80297 8 230 11 219 9 249 80297 76219 5 262 7 265 8 280 76219 72613 4 282 7 280 12 314 72613 69347 7 304 9 279 15 287 69347 66364 7 271 13 264 16 263 66364 63601 11 273 15 277 13 265 63601 60918 19 267 27 271 26 272 60918 58120 32 281 18 271 40 273 58120 55196 51 280 51 275 54 266 55196 52385 58 255 60 260 59 258 52385 49862 52 248 54 254 54 256 49862 47613 49 259 48 257 50 258 47613 45573 53 263 60 267 60 262 45573 43716 56 263 68 263 76 257 43716 42029 63 256 72 259 84 253 42029 40476 79 246 72 255 82 251 40476 39020 81 236 73 254 79 251 39020 37644 74 235 77 253 78 251 37644 36311 70 243 79 243 78 250 36311 34954 70 252 78 239 78 250 34954 33545 72 255 80 238 79 250 33545 32087 70 255 82 238 81 252 32087 30567 67 254 81 247 81 255 30567 28976 70 256 77 250 75 258 28976 27319 68 261 72 251 64 264 27319 25600 64 258 64 259 59 265 25600 23813 60 253 57 265 60 267 23813 21961 53 252 49 266 48 265 21961 20034 47 266 44 264 45 259 20034 18023 33 269 41 264 49 257 18023 15966 30 255 35 264 47 256 15966 13982 32 257 33 262 38 256 13982 12182 31 265 34 263 27 255 12182 10583 28 264 34 262 22 253 10583 9157 23 258 29 256 21 253 9157 7884 18 253 23 246 21 254 7884 6751 14 246 19 244 19 257 6751 5747 12 240 15 244 17 261 5747 4859 11 234 10 246 15 266 4859 4074 10*233 5 257 13 268 4074 3371 9*232 3*307 13 268 3371 2749 9 232 3*319 12 269 2749 2229 8 233 4 341 7 277 2229 1830 7 233 4 346 4*294 1830 1556 7 235 4 349 3*321 1556 1389 6 235 4 350 2 329 1389 1294 5 236 4 351 2 336 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography