DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 79.1 - - 76.2 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 100 - - 10 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 855 - - 1790 - - 724 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 727 - - 1284 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1515 - - 2450 - - 1384 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1306 - - 1632 - - 1272 - - 702 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 246 - - 99 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 053 - - 034 - - 011 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -5 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 577 - - 998 - - -193 - - -871 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 938 - - 1452 - - 1577 - - 1614 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 164 - - 386 - - -2313 - - -4297 ODpotential blCL - - - 1351 - - 2064 - - 3697 - - 5040 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 88 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 3400 - - 4020 - - 2550 - - 1690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 79.1 - - 76.2 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.1 - - 74.4 - - 71.2 - - 67.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 78.3 - - 76.3 - - 73.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.6 - - 73.3 - - 70.4 - - 67.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 100 - - 10 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 855 - - 1790 - - 724 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 97 - - 53 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 18 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98244 8 324 12 173 8 207 6 275 98244 90779 17 205 11 256 15 323 6 301 90779 85037 11 191 9 232 12 283 10 276 85037 80309 2 358 3 180 10 231 12 277 80309 76252 4 345 2 201 4 217 4 030 76252 72653 5 136 4 229 7 273 6 353 72653 69405 3 139 5 192 4 290 4 300 69405 66439 7 253 5 240 10 254 5 284 66439 63721 15 241 20 276 12 268 12 280 63721 61123 25 246 22 251 17 264 16 240 61123 58386 28 262 32 274 26 277 22 273 58386 55503 51 262 50 265 55 259 50 271 55503 52740 63 251 63 251 62 250 57 259 52740 50251 66 247 62 252 51 256 52 258 50251 48020 72 248 66 255 54 261 57 261 48020 46003 77 249 73 254 65 263 69 264 46003 44169 79 251 79 252 76 264 78 264 44169 42489 81 253 81 251 83 263 82 263 42489 40935 83 253 78 252 85 262 79 260 40935 39484 81 250 75 253 84 262 75 260 39484 38114 77 250 74 254 81 261 73 260 38114 36783 75 251 75 254 79 261 75 260 36783 35423 74 253 77 253 77 260 76 260 35423 34006 72 254 77 253 76 258 74 259 34006 32535 68 254 76 254 75 257 70 259 32535 30998 64 253 73 257 73 256 68 259 30998 29383 61 252 68 258 70 257 66 260 29383 27693 58 250 56 254 65 258 64 261 27693 25924 57 249 57 254 60 259 61 263 25924 24078 54 247 54 253 55 258 57 265 24078 22156 48 241 50 250 50 257 54 266 22156 20155 52 243 46 249 43 256 48 267 20155 18071 50 238 38 245 34 256 39 266 18071 15945 40 231 33 241 26 255 30 261 15945 13891 30 223 32 233 22 254 25 273 13891 12018 26 228 27 215 20 261 18 286 12018 10349 22 229 23 206 17 270 19 295 10349 8860 15 223 21 208 11 271 17 302 8860 7535 11 215 16 205 4 249 7 286 7535 6360 10 209 13 202 1 167 7 102 6360 5320 9 204 9 200 5 083 13 092 5320 4404 8 199 6 196 10 071 18 077 4404 3595 7 197 2 159 13 063 21 065 3595 2872 6 196 5*047 14 057 22 059 2872 2232 4 192 6*041 15 045 24 049 2232 1699 1*077 7 035 14*026 24 037 1699 1290 2*056 7 033 12*013 22 027 1290 1010 2 052 7 032 11 011 15 014 1010 840 2 051 7 032 10 010 13*011 840 743 2 052 6 031 8 010 7*006 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography