DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 77.0 - - 78.0 - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 78 - - -10 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1451 - - 2397 - - 350 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 1530 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2111 - - 3057 - - 1010 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1043 - - 783 - - 3726 - - 432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 194 - - 249 - - 54 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 191 - - 122 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 727 - - 776 - - -1051 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1384 - - 2281 - - 2061 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 402 - - 198 - - -2186 - - -2853 ODpotential blCL - - - 1709 - - 2859 - - 3196 - - 3596 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 83 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 2700 - - 3500 - - 4390 - - 4800 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 77.0 - - 78.0 - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.2 - - 69.0 - - 71.0 - - 70.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.8 - - 76.4 - - 78.7 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 68.0 - - 70.2 - - 70.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 78 - - -10 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1451 - - 2397 - - 350 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 76 - - 34 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97615 11 247 14 245 16 278 11 300 97615 90210 7 247 11 262 7 292 8 307 90210 84526 7 206 8 259 4 342 5 019 84526 79819 6 178 3 236 3 292 10 024 79819 75763 4 135 3 104 5 168 7 006 75763 72183 4 067 9 099 6 137 3 128 72183 68947 7 045 9 117 5 178 5 178 68947 65977 1 328 11 079 5 134 7 177 65977 63237 7 201 5 171 4 105 8 173 63237 60585 12 236 13 223 9 301 5 153 60585 57804 21 218 21 240 23 259 19 276 57804 54923 21 232 24 241 27 250 28 258 54923 52179 27 247 31 254 35 267 35 263 52179 49714 38 252 38 260 44 274 44 271 49714 47507 44 258 42 270 48 272 48 274 47507 45495 49 267 49 274 50 271 51 276 45495 43649 52 271 52 272 54 271 55 275 43649 41954 51 273 54 270 58 271 58 274 41954 40397 53 272 56 270 59 272 58 273 40397 38955 53 268 58 269 58 275 56 271 38955 37604 49 264 59 268 57 278 54 270 37604 36298 45 267 59 270 55 279 53 269 36298 34968 48 272 57 271 54 280 51 269 34968 33583 48 269 53 267 52 280 49 269 33583 32145 43 264 50 264 48 278 48 271 32145 30641 40 263 47 263 43 270 48 275 30641 29058 41 265 44 264 42 270 46 279 29058 27401 44 268 43 267 41 271 41 276 27401 25669 48 273 43 269 39 267 38 275 25669 23859 48 277 41 272 37 263 39 276 23859 21973 45 280 40 277 35 261 38 271 21973 20005 38 283 39 284 33 264 33 267 20005 17953 36 287 34 288 30 274 27 275 17953 15857 27 279 28 289 24 281 21 277 15857 13832 16 268 17 278 14 265 19 271 13832 11984 11 280 11 258 7 243 19 270 11984 10334 12 280 11 249 9 216 15 267 10334 8862 14 263 12 249 12 210 12 241 8862 7548 11 241 13 229 14 212 14 216 7548 6377 12 214 13 224 15 216 15 207 6377 5336 12 227 14 230 16 210 18 198 5336 4418 16 237 14 229 13 197 20 185 4418 3607 15 231 11*215 10 178 21 173 3607 2882 12 223 10*200 9 160 22 166 2882 2239 9*209 9 193 9 141 20 158 2239 1704 8*204 8 190 9 131 18 142 1704 1293 7 201 8 188 8 127 16 125 1293 1011 7 201 7 187 8*125 13 110 1011 840 7 200 7 186 7*124 11 106 840 743 6 201 6 186 6 121 6*101 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography