DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/09 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 48.1 - - 48.8 - - 43.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 64 - - 20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4045 - - 6427 - - 6867 - - 5491 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11328 - - 12792 - - 11967 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13055 - - 15437 - - 15877 - - 14501 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1376 - - 1485 - - 1561 - - 1565 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 337 - - 349 - - 267 - - 43 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 19 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 069 - - 073 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 24 - - 19 - - 25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 4473 - - 6165 - - 6741 - - 6007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8582 - - 9273 - - 9137 - - 8494 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1107 - - 2377 - - 2367 - - 2170 ODpotential blCL - - - 11948 - - 13060 - - 13510 - - 12331 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 83 - - 77 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 150 - - 180 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 48.1 - - 48.8 - - 43.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.4 - - 32.4 - - 33.8 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 51.3 - - 52.6 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 31.3 - - 32.6 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 64 - - 20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4045 - - 6427 - - 6867 - - 5491 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 32 - - 7 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98164 3 241 7 278 12 283 10 304 98164 90811 2 355 8 001 7 330 7 342 90811 85165 6 061 7 023 8 351 9 011 85165 80474 9 081 4 065 7 013 11 016 80474 76436 5 093 6 112 6 056 8 020 76436 72862 4 105 7 095 4 052 4 071 72862 69604 3 045 6 054 4 020 6 045 69604 66593 5 025 4 042 7 358 6 018 66593 63786 5 034 1 332 6 321 4 305 63786 61049 6 036 3 006 4 316 8 295 61049 58175 5 008 6 343 4 314 7 300 58175 55178 3 342 5 337 6 349 11 352 55178 52320 4 343 4 336 11 337 12 344 52320 49762 2 064 4 240 10 299 8 349 49762 47477 13 048 4 056 5 038 10 359 47477 45402 7 017 8 334 4 354 7 013 45402 43510 15 054 1 095 22 050 18 055 43510 41787 29 052 15 072 27 046 21 043 41787 40201 40 058 33 062 37 073 35 085 40201 38736 61 056 62 058 61 066 65 068 38736 37389 64 047 60 047 64 060 68 061 37389 36118 54 042 51 051 59 068 61 062 36118 34854 51 054 54 074 60 073 59 065 34854 33564 53 062 60 078 56 064 59 064 33564 32248 56 064 62 073 61 066 60 063 32248 30899 57 064 62 066 65 069 62 066 30899 29510 58 065 64 065 65 070 62 070 29510 28087 58 066 63 068 63 072 60 074 28087 26632 57 067 61 070 59 074 57 077 26632 25149 56 068 59 072 54 075 53 077 25149 23642 54 070 56 073 51 076 49 077 23642 22105 52 073 52 075 49 080 46 077 22105 20533 48 077 47 079 45 084 42 080 20533 18955 42 082 42 082 38 087 36 084 18955 17450 36 085 33 082 29 082 28 084 17450 16087 32 084 26*081 24*074 22 078 16087 14871 27 081 22*078 23*071 20*073 14871 13778 23*078 21 074 22 071 20*073 13778 12788 21*077 20 071 22 072 20 074 12788 11889 20 077 19 068 21 073 20 076 11889 11074 19 073 19 067 20 073 20 077 11074 10337 18 069 18 066 19 074 20 079 10337 9669 16 065 18 065 18 074 19 081 9669 9057 15 060 17 065 18 074 18 083 9057 8504 14 055 16 064 16 075 16 084 8504 8033 13 052 15 063 15 075 13 085 8033 7666 12 050 14 062 13 075 10 086 7666 7409 11 049 12 062 11 075 7 085 7409 7252 10 048 11 061 10 075 5 078 7252 7162 7 047 8 061 7 075 3 053 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography