DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.7 - - 70.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 18 - - 13 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1114 - - 3149 - - 190 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 558 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1709 - - 3744 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1910 - - 2999 - - 3367 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 125 - - 197 - - 34 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 244 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 766 - - 1543 - - -184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 943 - - 2202 - - 969 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 317 - - 270 - - -924 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1392 - - 3474 - - 1709 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 480 - - 1360 - - 1440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.7 - - 70.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.1 - - 62.1 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 63.8 - - 70.3 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.6 - - 60.8 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 18 - - 13 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1114 - - 3149 - - 190 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97662 5 229 8 293 2 109 97662 90258 7 157 10 144 5 299 90258 84564 10 159 7 131 2 303 84564 79861 9 135 3 186 4 050 79861 75807 9 096 7 177 3 129 75807 72215 5 085 8 121 8 140 72215 68967 6 167 4 161 5 146 68967 65985 6 178 9 188 7 195 65985 63218 8 228 8 214 10 217 63218 60539 13 235 13 235 16 220 60539 57753 14 233 13 241 16 241 57753 54845 18 255 18 246 24 233 54845 52043 25 251 24 229 20 222 52043 49500 26 229 28 239 29 247 49500 47221 37 218 43 229 43 240 47221 45171 49 211 46 215 49 227 45171 43307 46 196 47 214 43 221 43307 41590 59 190 54 209 43 231 41590 40005 63 190 55 201 52 228 40005 38533 66 193 60 213 53 223 38533 37153 69 193 68 211 52 228 37153 35829 69 194 66 206 48 230 35829 34499 69 202 61 207 42 232 34499 33129 75 206 55 213 35 236 33129 31710 84 205 49 218 35 240 31710 30224 86 204 42 242 36 242 30224 28657 75 209 42 249 37 245 28657 27010 73 213 41 257 36 252 27010 25282 62 218 40 258 34 255 25282 23473 55 221 37 251 35 255 23473 21585 42 222 37 255 35 260 21585 19614 34 236 36 254 33 273 19614 17557 32 247 38 253 30 278 17557 15456 32 253 35 253 29 272 15456 13429 32 253 34 256 32 263 13429 11583 31 252 31 256 32 255 11583 9945 30 255 29 254 32 249 9945 8493 28 258 32 254 33 253 8493 7205 26 253 32 256 32 253 7205 6061 25 250 28 255 30 254 6061 5047 26 248 26 254 28 253 5047 4152 26 247 23*252 25 252 4152 3363 26 247 21*249 22 252 3363 2656 25 247 19 245 20 253 2656 2031 24*246 18 244 19 253 2031 1511 23*246 17 243 17 253 1511 1111 21 245 16 243 15 252 1111 836 19 245 15 242 12*251 836 669 17 245 13 241 10*250 669 574 12 244 11 241 7 248 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography