DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.5 - - 70.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 52 - - 23 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5708 - - 4862 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3834 - - 2626 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6303 - - 5457 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2087 - - 2093 - - 7163 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 333 - - 263 - - 21 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 25 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 280 - - 293 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2644 - - 1378 - - -2522 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3660 - - 4079 - - 3097 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 372 - - -997 - - -3911 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5931 - - 6454 - - 4486 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 71 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 650 - - 70 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.5 - - 70.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.1 - - 54.5 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.4 - - 70.7 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.8 - - 53.1 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 52 - - 23 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5708 - - 4862 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 12 - - 0 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98196 23 232 22 250 17 270 98196 90731 13 271 13 206 22 244 90731 85008 11 252 6 206 14 233 85008 80284 11 205 8 229 6 280 80284 76228 9 188 11 266 11 327 76228 72631 4 121 6 265 11 280 72631 69370 4 016 7 319 9 248 69370 66389 8 267 15 275 9 309 66389 63628 10 227 12 245 14 267 63628 60923 18 254 25 258 20 254 60923 58073 30 247 32 252 30 258 58073 55118 33 259 25 252 37 268 55118 52298 50 273 50 275 51 271 52298 49754 57 254 62 255 57 259 49754 47477 55 241 51 236 46 256 47477 45411 45 249 42 244 40 258 45411 43514 54 271 54 266 48 270 43514 41760 72 261 71 267 61 273 41760 40139 85 252 84 261 77 269 40139 38641 88 251 97 256 92 264 38641 37249 94 253 102 253 102 261 37249 35916 98 254 101 253 104 259 35916 34567 95 252 100 253 98 259 34567 33167 89 250 100 253 91 259 33167 31721 84 250 98 254 87 260 31721 30214 80 251 91 256 84 262 30214 28634 75 253 85 259 82 264 28634 26978 70 257 81 261 81 264 26978 25242 66 260 75 263 81 264 25242 23429 64 260 71 266 81 266 23429 21543 63 259 68 271 75 267 21543 19575 59 266 67 273 68 267 19575 17518 66 273 72 274 60 269 17518 15416 70 274 66 273 52 277 15416 13388 64 270 60 269 50 284 13388 11542 56 272 56 273 52 286 11542 9912 37 277 42 282 43 296 9912 8474 25 287 31 286 36 302 8474 7195 24*284 26 292 32 300 7195 6058 24*282 27*294 27 293 6058 5048 24 281 27*294 26 292 5048 4156 24 281 27 294 26 292 4156 3367 24 280 27 294 25 293 3367 2661 24 280 26 293 25 293 2661 2035 24 280 26 293 24 292 2035 1513 23 279 25 293 22 292 1513 1112 23 279 24 293 20 290 1112 837 22 279 22 293 16 288 837 670 19 279 20 292 13*287 670 574 15 278 15 292 8*285 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography