DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/30 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 93.8 - - 93.1 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 481 - - 189 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5594 - - 14265 - - 14320 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8914 - - 16057 - - 15382 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10422 - - 19093 - - 19148 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7576 - - 4457 - - 3360 - - 12554 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 563 - - 793 - - 582 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 26 - - 54 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 127 - - 052 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 19 - - 23 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - -38 - - 18 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8061 - - -1126 - - -1034 - - -13613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18484 - - 20220 - - 20183 - - 17990 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10543 - - -2215 - - -2282 - - -17268 ODpotential blCL - - - 20965 - - 21308 - - 21430 - - 21644 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 59 - - 65 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 93.8 - - 93.1 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 18.2 - - 18.0 - - 18.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.2 - - 91.8 - - 92.6 - - 87.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.5 - - 18.1 - - 17.9 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 481 - - 189 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5594 - - 14265 - - 14320 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98389 11 124 6 059 2 041 7 311 98389 90948 7 044 7 085 8 004 11 044 90948 85219 6 059 4 093 8 010 18 050 85219 80481 10 097 4 043 7 069 13 048 80481 76405 11 092 7 116 11 112 7 048 76405 72813 10 080 14 105 13 104 9 096 72813 69574 6 075 15 074 18 083 17 113 69574 66602 6 119 11 054 18 064 21 083 66602 63859 12 105 4 095 11 040 13 040 63859 61223 12 062 6 130 1 044 6 328 61223 58478 9 012 4 103 2 143 5 235 58478 55622 8 305 2 227 3 201 5 219 55622 52889 11 247 7 241 5 243 4 234 52889 50428 12 223 8 238 8 250 7 219 50428 48222 11 210 12 207 14 212 10 224 48222 46218 9 177 13 182 17 196 13 209 46218 44383 6 163 14 159 19 199 16 214 44383 42690 7 126 15 139 20 197 22 221 42690 41116 13 079 16 112 19 181 25 218 41116 39645 14 070 19 094 16 156 21 208 39645 38271 17 117 20 090 18 121 15 185 38271 36962 23 123 14 095 20 100 11 163 36962 35650 23 114 13 132 15 103 10 133 35650 34302 21 113 13 127 12 106 15 108 34302 32919 19 120 12 108 16 095 17 105 32919 31489 16 126 12 098 19 104 14 114 31489 30000 11 130 12 103 18 122 12 130 30000 28456 9 124 14 119 16 128 12 127 28456 26857 8 112 15 122 14 117 12 121 26857 25206 8 102 10 104 13 098 13 128 25206 23506 7 104 9 111 12 088 14 123 23506 21750 7 091 9 114 13 071 15 081 21750 19937 10 065 11*102 16*059 19 056 19937 18098 9 085 14*090 16*057 19 046 18098 16325 9 097 13 089 14 055 15 038 16325 14702 12 088 11 091 10 052 11 030 14702 13247 11 097 9 094 7 049 9 019 13247 11941 8 108 7 105 3 043 7 006 11941 10766 5*127 5 127 1 359 5 345 10766 9707 4*185 4 169 2 248 5 320 9707 8757 5 205 6 194 5 238 7 300 8757 7908 6 207 7 200 6 234 9 285 7908 7148 6 205 8 202 7 232 11 275 7148 6459 6 203 8 203 8 231 14 269 6459 5843 6 199 8 205 8 230 16 265 5843 5323 6 196 9 205 8 229 16 263 5323 4921 6 192 9 205 8 228 14 259 4921 4642 6 192 9 205 8 228 10 253 4642 4472 6 191 8 206 8 228 7*244 4472 4375 5 191 8 206 7 227 3*220 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography