DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 72.0 - - 72.4 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 488 - - 511 - - 158 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8611 - - 11368 - - 13488 - - 327 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11400 - - 13691 - - 14555 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13439 - - 16196 - - 18316 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1868 - - 1724 - - 1387 - - 13022 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 674 - - 751 - - 539 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 28 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 143 - - 233 - - 231 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -31 - - 74 - - 29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2535 - - -1580 - - 1007 - - -10549 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15974 - - 17777 - - 17310 - - 15705 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6325 - - -4111 - - 253 - - -12321 ODpotential blCL - - - 19764 - - 20307 - - 18063 - - 17476 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 55 - - 95 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 72.0 - - 72.4 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.1 - - 7.5 - - 10.3 - - 11.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 70.1 - - 72.2 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.3 - - 6.9 - - 9.9 - - 11.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 488 - - 511 - - 158 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8611 - - 11368 - - 13488 - - 327 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 79 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98353 10 252 21 263 16 287 17 328 98353 90896 3 175 4 249 9 257 9 310 90896 85144 7 089 6 143 6 208 6 232 85144 80402 6 105 6 141 4 051 6 111 80402 76336 8 076 5 103 6 020 11 066 76336 72740 5 067 12 084 4 078 7 037 72740 69498 5 108 8 084 7 064 3 043 69498 66524 2 176 2 291 6 346 4 059 66524 63759 4 197 8 256 7 260 5 285 63759 61074 2 342 7 263 2 301 11 225 61074 58258 13 305 17 287 15 287 10 256 58258 55314 19 284 24 270 28 267 23 278 55314 52496 27 283 22 268 31 267 34 282 52496 49956 33 288 31 286 39 274 38 277 49956 47671 42 281 41 276 43 275 44 269 47671 45598 41 279 41 275 46 275 47 265 45598 43711 40 284 43 280 52 276 49 270 43711 41983 45 278 53 273 56 275 55 273 41983 40384 48 271 51 269 58 273 60 269 40384 38898 54 279 57 275 56 267 63 265 38898 37513 62 280 66 277 53 267 64 264 37513 36189 66 271 70 277 55 272 66 264 36189 34859 69 265 73 273 61 268 66 264 34859 33494 68 263 77 269 64 267 63 266 33494 32098 67 262 79 270 67 268 65 266 32098 30659 66 261 79 272 72 270 67 267 30659 29168 67 263 77 271 77 273 67 269 29168 27629 67 270 76 270 73 273 63 269 27629 26042 67 277 72 272 68 269 63 267 26042 24407 56 273 58 273 65 268 63 267 24407 22731 44 264 46 268 54 273 57 271 22731 21022 35 259 38 266 36 276 37 272 21022 19275 27 263 27 267 18*271 16 261 19275 17512 20 275 15*271 9*249 2 104 17512 15818 11 291 5*265 8 248 2 073 15818 14267 2*292 5 253 7 245 1 008 14267 12877 5*120 5 251 6 241 2 306 12877 11629 7 121 5 247 6 235 5 293 11629 10504 7 123 5 240 5 228 7 284 10504 9491 7 127 5 233 5 223 9 278 9491 8581 6 134 5 225 5 216 11 273 8581 7768 6 144 5 219 5 210 13 269 7768 7039 6 153 5 214 5 209 15 265 7039 6378 6 162 5 208 5 203 16 263 6378 5785 6 170 5 204 5 201 17 260 5785 5286 7 175 5 202 5 200 16*257 5286 4899 7 179 5 201 5 199 13*251 4899 4631 7 180 5 200 4 198 10 243 4631 4468 7 182 5 200 4 197 8 235 4468 4374 6 183 5 199 4 194 4 223 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography