DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/08 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.3 - - 66.8 - - 71.3 - - 70.3 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 194 - - 305 - - 141 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1804 - - 3506 - - 4319 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3243 - - 4645 - - 4910 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 4126 - - 5828 - - 6641 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 397 - - 1361 - - 995 - - 1052 - - 4364 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 299 - - 429 - - 358 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 002 - - 360 - - 356 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4623 - - -5898 - - -4564 - - -3171 - - -4250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6962 - - 10024 - - 10393 - - 9813 - - 6588 sfcLCL ODpotential -13771 - - -13967 - - -10877 - - -9482 - - -11892 ODpotential blCL 16109 - - 18093 - - 16705 - - 16123 - - 14230 blCL maxRH 31 - - 36 - - 32 - - 37 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.3 - - 66.8 - - 71.3 - - 70.3 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.4 - - 31.1 - - 33.8 - - 35.3 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 65.5 - - 69.4 - - 69.3 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.3 - - 29.9 - - 32.6 - - 34.1 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 194 - - 305 - - 141 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1804 - - 3506 - - 4319 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98175 7 048 3 051 2 062 9 300 3 307 98175 90757 7 312 7 036 10 297 14 003 11 040 90757 85056 2 126 6 342 9 309 9 023 9 041 85056 80344 9 076 1 336 4 310 8 038 8 047 80344 76283 10 060 8 114 4 067 2 057 8 065 76283 72678 5 061 10 087 11 098 5 129 9 062 72678 69415 7 046 5 055 6 061 13 118 7 121 69415 66404 2 277 3 288 11 053 6 066 10 084 66404 63613 1 002 2 358 2 353 7 040 9 044 63613 60924 7 031 12 032 4 356 8 031 10 031 60924 58115 11 012 13 011 16 012 11 360 13 008 58115 55207 19 337 21 343 18 347 15 318 13 329 55207 52432 24 337 29 350 26 347 24 333 18 343 52432 49917 29 337 34 349 30 351 31 340 27 338 49917 47647 35 341 40 342 36 337 39 341 37 341 47647 45583 44 345 44 343 39 329 47 336 45 339 45583 43701 55 338 48 345 39 333 50 333 50 339 43701 41986 62 329 56 340 47 341 47 336 51 339 41986 40411 64 324 60 334 55 338 50 341 52 336 40411 38949 63 324 61 330 60 332 52 340 51 334 38949 37579 60 326 61 330 63 330 53 339 52 334 37579 36262 54 330 60 333 63 330 55 340 54 335 36262 34930 50 333 58 337 60 332 59 341 56 336 34930 33553 49 334 56 340 58 334 62 342 56 337 33553 32134 48 334 54 341 57 335 62 343 54 338 32134 30660 46 334 53 341 56 335 61 342 51 339 30660 29119 44 336 53 341 55 336 58 341 50 340 29119 27514 42 338 52 343 53 340 55 342 49 341 27514 25840 41 341 50 345 50 345 52 344 47 341 25840 24101 42 343 47 347 46 346 47 347 45 340 24101 22298 42 346 44 349 42 345 43 347 42 342 22298 20429 42 347 41 351 39 344 41 350 39 350 20429 18490 38 349 37 348 37 342 40 355 38 355 18490 16515 34 353 33 348 36 348 41 356 39 355 16515 14607 32 358 32 357 37 356 42 353 40 355 14607 12865 31 002 31 004 35 358 40 351 38 357 12865 11311 30 004 30 006 31 001 38 352 33 353 11311 9930 28 005 28 006 29 005 33 354 30 345 9930 8704 26 004 26 004 26 010 26 353 26 343 8704 7618 23 003 23 003 23 010 18 357 22 357 7618 6657 21 007 20 006 18*007 17*001 20 006 6657 5807 21 016 19 012 16*004 17*000 20 006 5807 5051 24 021 19 014 15 002 17 360 19 006 5051 4371 26 020 19*012 15 001 17 356 19 003 4371 3765 28 014 17*009 15 359 16 355 18 359 3765 3258 28 006 15 002 15 358 16 354 16 352 3258 2867 23 358 14 000 14 357 15 353 13 345 2867 2597 15 349 13 359 13 357 14 353 11 340 2597 2432 11*344 12 358 12 356 13 353 8 336 2432 2338 3*328 9 357 10 356 10 352 4*330 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography