DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 75.3 - - 72.2 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 383 - - 219 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2038 - - 5155 - - 1640 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3478 - - 5999 - - 3142 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4360 - - 7478 - - 3962 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1573 - - 2923 - - 4204 - - 637 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 333 - - 520 - - 294 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 34 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 323 - - 323 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 18 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3270 - - -1398 - - -3902 - - -2259 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7630 - - 8876 - - 7864 - - 4597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6023 - - -3151 - - -5855 - - -6084 ODpotential blCL - - - 10383 - - 10629 - - 9817 - - 8422 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 62 - - 71 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 75.3 - - 72.2 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.2 - - 44.3 - - 45.7 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 73.0 - - 70.5 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 43.2 - - 45.0 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 383 - - 219 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2038 - - 5155 - - 1640 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97710 7 242 13 242 15 269 13 337 97710 90309 4 313 8 253 9 262 13 309 90309 84594 8 328 2 266 5 298 4 285 84594 79843 5 248 1 291 2 282 3 052 79843 75772 6 196 4 292 3 082 2 109 75772 72188 1 117 1 295 4 063 1 043 72188 68949 4 030 4 167 1 187 3 321 68949 65974 4 316 5 230 3 310 4 328 65974 63212 5 330 5 221 6 258 7 282 63212 60537 7 323 5 296 6 306 7 284 60537 57751 4 305 8 261 9 282 6 288 57751 54865 10 321 10 318 9 321 7 303 54865 52111 13 319 13 329 13 325 9 301 52111 49624 14 315 15 317 14 337 10 349 49624 47381 14 318 15 312 17 334 20 338 47381 45342 13 328 13 328 17 328 19 334 45342 43490 18 013 14 017 13 353 14 330 43490 41802 21 036 21 056 11 047 8 051 41802 40246 37 041 38 048 32 058 28 080 40246 38797 41 043 42 041 35 050 36 053 38797 37447 43 049 38 050 37 057 36 047 37447 36151 49 059 41 059 44 062 35 052 36151 34838 54 061 46 059 45 060 36 057 34838 33477 55 059 48 058 43 058 33 058 33477 32074 54 059 46 056 40 059 29 062 32074 30615 53 061 44 059 38 059 25 064 30615 29087 51 062 43 065 37 058 24 062 29087 27491 50 062 42 068 35 062 24 053 27491 25827 49 064 41 067 32 067 24 050 25827 24097 47 068 40 071 33 070 23 053 24097 22303 37 071 36 076 33 077 24 066 22303 20440 25 065 28 075 27 080 21 076 20440 18503 19 057 20 068 19 078 18 075 18503 16535 15 060 13 070 12 076 14 084 16535 14640 12 063 10 090 8 085 13 102 14640 12914 10 069 10 100 7 107 12 112 12914 11374 10 066 10 093 7 117 7 115 11374 10002 10 052 8 083 6 114 1 122 10002 8777 9 045 6 075 5 111 1 080 8777 7684 6 045 3*065 5 109 3 048 7684 6710 4 043 2*055 4 103 3 032 6710 5845 3 017 1 017 2 084 3 021 5845 5077 3 328 2 333 2 355 4 014 5077 4387 4*298 3 317 4*328 6 009 4387 3773 4*291 4 315 8*323 8 353 3773 3261 4 286 5 313 10 323 11 338 3261 2867 5 285 5 312 10 323 12 332 2867 2596 5 283 5 312 10 323 11 330 2596 2432 4 282 5 310 9 323 9 329 2432 2338 4 282 5 311 8 322 5*328 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography