DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 69.5 - - 64.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 285 - - 193 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 969 - - 1381 - - 1020 - - 369 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1051 - - 1429 - - 1035 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1682 - - 2094 - - 1733 - - 1081 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 359 - - 489 - - 384 - - 516 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 246 - - 303 - - 240 - - 63 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 272 - - 274 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2159 - - -3254 - - -2019 - - -211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3841 - - 5348 - - 3752 - - 1293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7556 - - -7452 - - -7093 - - -7543 ODpotential blCL - - - 9238 - - 9546 - - 8826 - - 8624 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 54 - - 67 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 69.5 - - 64.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 48.7 - - 51.0 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 67.6 - - 63.6 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 47.4 - - 50.2 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 285 - - 193 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 969 - - 1381 - - 1020 - - 369 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97719 8 229 14 254 15 271 14 324 97719 90299 5 293 10 219 12 277 11 322 90299 84602 5 308 3 325 2 234 6 313 84602 79866 4 215 5 334 3 035 3 008 79866 75792 2 064 1 339 3 048 1 065 75792 72205 9 015 3 067 5 056 3 098 72205 68965 6 015 4 162 2 032 3 020 68965 65989 5 336 2 180 3 276 3 299 65989 63227 5 279 4 316 3 291 5 230 63227 60544 1 129 6 267 7 293 1 018 60544 57750 5 018 2 305 5 298 9 313 57750 54861 10 344 9 352 4 352 8 289 54861 52106 12 348 12 350 8 009 5 018 52106 49621 13 330 17 332 17 358 14 011 49621 47381 9 359 7 344 14 347 15 338 47381 45351 21 040 15 066 5 004 9 358 45351 43513 28 031 22 048 11 068 11 041 43513 41839 31 044 27 041 23 051 17 056 41839 40296 32 047 28 043 25 043 19 049 40296 38862 34 050 29 051 23 049 19 049 38862 37515 37 048 31 053 22 061 20 055 37515 36209 38 049 32 053 24 064 20 061 36209 34875 38 053 33 054 26 062 20 068 34875 33484 38 057 35 058 27 062 19 070 33484 32040 38 058 36 060 28 064 19 066 32040 30530 37 060 35 061 26 064 20 062 30530 28945 32 062 33 061 24 064 20 062 28945 27284 28 062 27 059 22 062 20 060 27284 25544 29 063 24 062 20 059 18 061 25544 23725 30 066 26 069 19 067 17 062 23725 21829 31 068 29 075 21 078 15 068 21829 19848 29 068 28 083 23 089 15 089 19848 17778 25 067 22 091 16 097 11 097 17778 15663 19 069 16 091 9 101 7 090 15663 13627 12 069 11 084 7 102 8 110 13627 11776 9 063 7 077 5 087 7 125 11776 10134 6 049 6 059 7 063 4 113 10134 8674 4 031 5 036 8 052 3 061 8674 7374 2 049 4 037 6 055 2 009 7374 6217 4 086 1 056 4 069 3 347 6217 5190 5 081 0 173 1 049 5 324 5190 4285 2 048 1 266 2 261 6 312 4285 3486 1 341 4 247 5 238 6 282 3486 2774 3 256 8 249 9 236 10 241 2774 2152 7*248 10*265 10*254 14 254 2152 1639 7*261 10*271 11*271 15 268 1639 1250 7 263 11 272 11 274 14*273 1250 983 7 264 10 272 11 274 12*275 983 821 7 263 10 272 10 275 11 275 821 729 6 264 8 272 9 274 7 274 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography