DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/09 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1553z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 76.3 - - 77.3 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 70 - - -9 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1164 - - 3647 - - 2393 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 2553 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1877 - - 4361 - - 3107 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1647 - - 3221 - - 5535 - - 682 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 296 - - 160 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 064 - - 071 - - 302 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -15 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3815 - - -3729 - - -5253 - - -2790 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5692 - - 8090 - - 8360 - - 3520 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8903 - - -9475 - - -10349 - - -7803 ODpotential blCL - - - 10780 - - 13836 - - 13456 - - 8533 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 39 - - 39 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 76.3 - - 77.3 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.5 - - 43.3 - - 43.2 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 75.7 - - 77.9 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 42.1 - - 42.0 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 70 - - -9 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1164 - - 3647 - - 2393 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98220 2 186 7 236 20 283 12 292 98220 90814 8 139 2 200 13 293 6 323 90814 85163 9 077 5 101 3 352 8 032 85163 80475 8 057 8 078 5 123 3 058 80475 76416 9 073 7 066 7 088 7 068 76416 72823 10 076 5 085 9 080 9 091 72823 69561 10 108 7 092 10 070 12 097 69561 66551 13 105 7 122 6 027 10 071 66551 63769 8 066 7 099 4 338 9 039 63769 61083 6 040 9 051 11 013 11 360 61083 58278 6 010 8 023 10 350 12 348 58278 55349 13 347 10 004 15 356 16 000 55349 52544 18 343 18 350 22 350 25 003 52544 50007 18 335 20 333 25 342 28 347 50007 47722 22 355 25 343 26 343 26 348 47722 45648 30 356 30 347 29 344 29 349 45648 43759 32 345 24 348 21 338 29 348 43759 42036 23 354 25 007 20 356 27 343 42036 40450 27 008 24 006 21 360 18 006 40450 38973 28 011 24 010 22 005 19 018 38973 37589 27 008 23 014 18 003 20 021 37589 36260 23 006 22 012 16 353 22 021 36260 34916 22 004 24 005 21 003 23 019 34916 33523 22 352 30 357 27 006 22 022 33523 32081 22 342 34 350 24 011 24 031 32081 30575 21 340 33 346 26 021 27 036 30575 28995 19 003 28 002 24 019 26 039 28995 27337 28 030 29 020 20 020 24 039 27337 25598 34 035 28 030 19 033 22 038 25598 23779 36 036 28 040 20 049 20 039 23779 21880 34 039 28 048 21 059 20 043 21880 19896 29 042 26 059 19 067 18 043 19896 17819 26 048 25 067 17 068 15 045 17819 15699 24 063 21 069 16 061 15 049 15699 13659 18 077 18 085 12 075 15 070 13659 11809 17 088 11 099 10 086 14 102 11809 10166 20 096 13 103 12 100 14 115 10166 8706 17 109 11 113 10 100 15 117 8706 7407 13 114 9 135 8 083 14 093 7407 6253 15 115 8 146 6 064 13 068 6253 5231 17 112 7*136 5 040 12 051 5231 4329 16 118 6*113 4 015 11 032 4329 3532 14 122 5 085 4*349 9 012 3532 2818 13 115 6 066 5*318 7 342 2818 2189 12*091 6 061 5 305 10 308 2189 1665 12*066 5 059 5 300 15 301 1665 1265 11 064 5 057 5 296 15 300 1265 991 11 064 5 057 5 295 13 298 991 825 10 063 5 056 4 293 10*297 825 730 8 064 4 055 4 292 5*295 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography