DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 80.8 - - 79.8 - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 563 - - 523 - - 118 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9025 - - 11245 - - 10575 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11832 - - 13629 - - 12011 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13874 - - 16094 - - 15424 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2253 - - 2084 - - 3137 - - 1822 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 721 - - 757 - - 451 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 15 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 213 - - 222 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -11 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5498 - - -2484 - - -4086 - - -13665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19373 - - 18579 - - 19511 - - 18821 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8486 - - -4748 - - -6483 - - -18530 ODpotential blCL - - - 22360 - - 20842 - - 21907 - - 23685 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 41 - - 40 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 80.8 - - 79.8 - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.2 - - 15.7 - - 10.7 - - 3.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 77.5 - - 78.6 - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.1 - - 15.7 - - 10.6 - - 3.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 563 - - 523 - - 118 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9025 - - 11245 - - 10575 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97720 19 288 18 259 16 269 13 278 97720 90293 10 244 14 276 11 269 11 323 90293 84565 10 163 10 266 6 329 6 000 84565 79839 10 114 5 177 4 255 8 028 79839 75783 8 088 10 102 6 175 7 048 75783 72207 9 047 13 104 6 135 4 123 72207 68981 9 336 9 070 16 081 11 126 68981 66012 3 220 7 238 7 305 7 018 66012 63279 4 117 9 102 2 229 5 263 63279 60638 26 266 14 299 13 315 11 286 60638 57876 28 266 29 266 25 276 20 260 57876 55028 28 277 31 271 30 276 24 264 55028 52314 34 278 36 281 33 282 38 272 52314 49870 44 276 44 279 45 278 48 276 49870 47676 52 274 56 277 59 275 60 278 47676 45681 61 276 66 277 71 275 73 278 45681 43855 68 280 75 278 83 275 86 279 43855 42170 72 281 82 279 92 277 96 280 42170 40605 70 280 83 279 94 278 101 279 40605 39145 64 278 74 278 90 279 99 279 39145 37781 59 277 65 276 83 279 96 280 37781 36481 57 275 59 274 75 279 93 280 36481 35177 57 274 57 274 65 280 89 281 35177 33842 55 273 54 274 59 280 79 284 33842 32478 52 272 49 275 55 277 64 285 32478 31076 50 271 45 274 49 274 55 282 31076 29624 48 270 42 272 44 271 48 275 29624 28127 45 270 41 271 41 268 42 268 28127 26585 37 268 38 270 37 266 36 264 26585 25000 28 261 32 267 33 264 31 262 25000 23373 23 254 28 263 29 260 27 260 23373 21701 21 254 25 258 26 255 26 258 21701 19976 21 255 23 254 25 247 24 252 19976 18231 24 253 24 245 24 233 21 240 18231 16552 29 237 22*232 22*217 20 218 16552 15020 28*221 19*223 18*214 22 206 15020 13647 18*206 19 222 17 214 21 204 13647 12412 14 196 18 219 16 216 19 207 12412 11298 12 191 16 213 15 219 17 212 11298 10292 11 190 16 211 14 222 14 217 10292 9387 11 190 15 209 14 224 12 223 9387 8574 11 191 15 208 14 227 10 228 8574 7844 11 191 15 207 14 229 8 232 7844 7180 11 192 15 206 14 230 6 240 7180 6583 10 194 15 205 13 232 4 252 6583 6079 10 194 14 205 13 233 3 264 6079 5688 10 194 14 205 13 233 3 282 5688 5416 10 195 13 204 12 233 3 300 5416 5250 9 195 13 204 12 234 2*330 5250 5155 9 196 12 204 10 234 2*353 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography