DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 68.1 - - 72.2 - - 67.4 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - 212 - - 350 - - 202 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1506 - - 3920 - - 992 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 4277 - - 6224 - - 3872 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 5043 - - 7457 - - 4529 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 575 - - 2735 - - 1657 - - 2897 - - 1400 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 290 - - 465 - - 244 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 42 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 057 - - 337 - - 227 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 12 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -22 - - 44 - - 35 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4797 - - -5525 - - -2089 - - -1761 - - -1428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7421 - - 10569 - - 9547 - - 6291 - - 4051 sfcLCL ODpotential -13980 - - -13950 - - -9227 - - -5057 - - -5560 ODpotential blCL 16603 - - 18993 - - 16684 - - 9586 - - 8183 blCL maxRH 33 - - 34 - - 35 - - 58 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 68.1 - - 72.2 - - 67.4 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 30.9 - - 39.2 - - 48.7 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.0 - - 67.5 - - 70.8 - - 66.6 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.6 - - 29.7 - - 38.0 - - 47.9 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - 212 - - 350 - - 202 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1506 - - 3920 - - 992 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98230 3 011 6 164 9 227 9 274 7 293 98230 90784 4 163 3 034 1 326 1 186 7 092 90784 85053 7 092 4 129 4 341 10 050 8 073 85053 80306 13 084 8 117 1 157 9 069 3 055 80306 76226 5 062 10 086 8 159 3 126 7 059 76226 72626 3 133 5 052 9 096 6 114 7 051 72626 69376 6 120 3 041 7 073 4 063 7 052 69376 66387 5 282 6 357 2 071 2 287 7 047 66387 63608 5 280 8 304 4 305 4 323 3 277 63608 60913 9 338 10 280 5 324 9 305 13 309 60913 58109 18 316 14 305 18 331 24 339 17 324 58109 55205 23 322 23 325 26 321 25 327 15 001 55205 52413 26 323 30 327 28 306 30 322 31 342 52413 49894 28 318 34 320 34 321 37 322 40 316 49894 47641 33 315 36 313 42 323 42 321 45 315 47641 45601 38 319 40 314 44 315 48 313 49 319 45601 43742 45 320 47 318 46 315 53 310 52 312 43742 42038 52 316 55 318 53 317 56 309 55 305 42038 40465 54 314 60 316 59 315 57 311 57 302 40465 38999 53 312 62 315 61 312 59 311 59 304 38999 37628 50 311 61 313 60 312 60 311 61 305 37628 36310 48 310 59 314 58 314 61 311 61 306 36310 34981 46 309 58 314 57 316 60 311 60 306 34981 33608 44 309 55 315 53 317 57 311 59 307 33608 32195 42 310 50 316 50 317 55 311 58 308 32195 30726 39 310 46 317 48 319 54 312 58 310 30726 29190 35 309 43 318 47 322 54 313 57 311 29190 27588 31 309 40 318 45 323 52 315 55 312 27588 25920 30 310 36 317 42 322 49 316 53 314 25920 24188 30 314 34 318 40 320 46 314 51 316 24188 22395 31 317 32 322 36 318 43 311 47 315 22395 20537 32 320 32 326 33 319 41 311 44 314 20537 18612 33 324 30 328 32 322 39 316 41 317 18612 16656 32 329 29 330 32 328 37 324 39 325 16656 14771 30 336 28 332 33 335 39 333 38 331 14771 13055 28 340 28 336 32 338 40 339 34 333 13055 11531 26 340 27 339 30 340 35 342 25 335 11531 10177 22 341 23 342 24 347 23 350 13 333 10177 8972 13 341 16 346 15 005 15 012 6 323 8972 7895 4 330 6 001 9*028 12 009 5 319 7895 6935 1 098 5 031 7*023 8 352 6 315 6935 6084 4 091 9 045 6 019 5 317 7 306 6084 5327 9 075 12*050 4 005 5 285 8 299 5327 4646 16 066 14*053 2 333 5*260 8 296 4646 4042 23 064 13 055 2 262 6*241 7 296 4042 3537 27 066 11 057 3 241 7 229 5 297 3537 3147 24 064 9 059 4 234 8 224 2 268 3147 2879 17 062 8 060 5 230 8 222 2 231 2879 2716 12*060 6 062 5 229 7 221 2*216 2716 2622 6*056 4 069 5 227 6 220 2*216 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography