DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 67.1 - - 62.4 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 442 - - 175 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 624 - - 1329 - - 579 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3760 - - 4316 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4161 - - 4866 - - 4116 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 571 - - 913 - - 617 - - 1053 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 347 - - 193 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 205 - - 212 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 34 - - 28 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -255 - - -1008 - - -682 - - -555 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4417 - - 5875 - - 4799 - - 3178 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4177 - - -3754 - - -4773 - - -5925 ODpotential blCL - - - 8338 - - 8620 - - 8889 - - 8548 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 81 - - 99 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 460 - - 230 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 67.1 - - 62.4 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 50.2 - - 50.2 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 65.2 - - 61.7 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 49.5 - - 49.9 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 442 - - 175 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 624 - - 1329 - - 579 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 23 - - 96 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97677 10 269 11 226 17 290 15 317 97677 90242 8 310 4 286 7 267 7 329 90242 84558 4 343 4 277 3 349 4 335 84558 79841 1 026 4 294 5 040 4 037 79841 75761 6 136 1 171 5 105 5 043 75761 72164 4 099 7 142 4 113 5 042 72164 68926 2 085 2 153 2 049 4 054 68926 65959 4 093 1 292 2 339 2 043 65959 63207 3 047 2 273 4 279 4 313 63207 60545 6 356 4 263 6 261 8 274 60545 57772 11 313 10 295 10 297 9 281 57772 54900 15 292 13 293 13 300 11 275 54900 52161 15 289 13 288 15 301 12 268 52161 49685 19 285 16 285 19 286 18 264 49685 47445 22 288 21 290 21 285 18 272 47445 45394 25 284 25 283 28 285 25 294 45394 43503 28 277 27 280 32 284 26 294 43503 41756 25 275 23 284 27 282 24 303 41756 40145 21 279 20 281 22 276 27 300 40145 38649 20 282 17 276 16 289 25 300 38649 37256 19 275 11 283 13 297 16 311 37256 35929 13 281 8 300 7 319 13 322 35929 34605 11 305 4 029 5 017 5 005 34605 33249 11 293 7 048 9 054 11 057 33249 31859 8 278 6 038 10 060 17 054 31859 30420 8 271 4 030 9 062 17 050 30420 28918 6 264 2 040 7 061 14 056 28918 27352 3 254 3 095 5 065 10 053 27352 25722 0 299 6 090 7 083 10 049 25722 24031 2 095 7 087 11 087 11 051 24031 22278 2 167 6 105 11 090 11 050 22278 20457 5 162 8 125 11 101 9 056 20457 18566 7 154 8 141 8 151 7 065 18566 16638 7 149 8 143 6 117 8 076 16638 14777 6 143 9 114 13 104 13 104 14777 13080 8 127 13 100 16 089 14 102 13080 11565 11 119 16 089 15 086 10 086 11565 10211 13 114 15 094 11 095 7 054 10211 8998 12 111 13 107 9 112 7 027 8998 7912 12 102 12 117 8 133 9 001 7912 6944 12 077 10 120 7 147 10 347 6944 6085 12 055 6 116 4 161 11 336 6085 5322 9 052 3*135 2 216 11 331 5322 4638 5*063 3*172 2*234 9 329 4638 4034 2*111 5 201 4*214 5 326 4034 3530 4 184 6 207 5 211 1 322 3530 3143 5 193 7 209 6 211 1 182 3143 2877 5 197 7 211 6 213 2 184 2877 2715 6 197 7 212 6 212 2*184 2715 2622 5 199 7 211 5 213 2*188 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography