DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/08 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.1 - - 67.5 - - 74.2 - - 74.0 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 115 - - 129 - - 16 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1145 - - 2554 - - 2478 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1859 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1690 - - 3099 - - 3023 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 526 - - 922 - - 1913 - - 2681 - - 384 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 219 - - 301 - - 185 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 12 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 309 - - 338 - - 352 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2398 - - -3618 - - -3841 - - -4206 - - -2703 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2958 - - 5308 - - 6941 - - 7229 - - 3264 sfcLCL ODpotential -12039 - - -10686 - - -9951 - - -11482 - - -10213 ODpotential blCL 12599 - - 12376 - - 13050 - - 14505 - - 10774 blCL maxRH 60 - - 46 - - 38 - - 31 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.1 - - 67.5 - - 74.2 - - 74.0 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.3 - - 46.5 - - 45.8 - - 44.3 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 66.7 - - 73.3 - - 74.2 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.2 - - 45.2 - - 44.5 - - 43.1 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 115 - - 129 - - 16 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1145 - - 2554 - - 2478 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98173 8 058 4 061 3 052 10 272 5 270 98173 90758 8 306 9 032 9 296 14 000 11 040 90758 85064 0 118 6 002 9 317 11 040 10 056 85064 80353 8 089 1 239 4 319 10 020 10 065 80353 76287 12 055 9 108 6 096 1 034 9 064 76287 72686 8 047 9 074 9 087 9 146 4 059 72686 69417 3 021 4 051 10 068 10 109 11 099 69417 66407 1 356 1 171 9 035 7 058 10 072 66407 63623 3 106 4 075 2 011 9 072 9 070 63623 60925 10 039 15 035 6 054 11 037 12 022 60925 58120 5 017 3 306 3 359 7 311 3 009 58120 55209 21 350 15 346 7 329 11 335 7 021 55209 52419 33 345 31 357 21 354 30 343 29 341 52419 49911 38 344 38 349 33 347 36 346 35 340 49911 47658 38 346 42 344 38 335 42 341 40 344 47658 45610 45 346 42 346 38 331 45 334 43 340 45610 43740 53 336 46 345 37 337 44 332 45 341 43740 42032 58 326 52 339 45 343 43 337 47 342 42032 40458 60 323 56 334 53 338 47 342 49 340 40458 38993 60 325 56 331 57 332 49 343 49 339 38993 37615 56 328 57 332 59 330 51 343 49 339 37615 36284 51 332 57 335 59 332 53 343 51 341 36284 34931 48 337 56 339 57 335 57 345 55 341 34931 33526 47 339 55 342 56 338 61 345 56 341 33526 32069 46 339 53 344 55 339 61 346 55 343 32069 30544 45 338 52 343 53 338 60 346 53 344 30544 28943 43 340 51 343 52 339 57 345 51 346 28943 27264 42 342 50 344 50 344 54 345 50 347 27264 25505 42 345 48 345 48 348 52 348 49 348 25505 23667 43 348 45 348 45 349 48 352 46 347 23667 21753 44 349 43 352 42 349 44 353 42 348 21753 19758 43 351 40 353 39 349 41 354 39 355 19758 17678 39 352 36 350 37 345 40 358 38 360 17678 15555 35 355 33 350 35 347 41 001 39 358 15555 13502 33 360 32 002 37 002 41 358 40 358 13502 11629 32 006 32 011 35 005 39 357 36 358 11629 9967 29 011 31 013 30 004 35 359 30 354 9967 8497 26 011 27 011 27 009 28 001 25 354 8497 7200 24 010 22 013 23 019 20 004 21 007 7200 6053 23 013 21 023 19 027 17 012 21 022 6053 5039 23 020 22 029 16 026 17 015 23 023 5039 4145 25 025 22 030 14 017 17 011 23 019 4145 3354 26 024 19 024 13*358 17*006 21 014 3354 2646 25 019 14 012 13*345 17*000 18 010 2646 2021 20 009 11*345 13 340 16 355 17 358 2021 1498 13 352 8*314 12 337 15 351 14 344 1498 1098 8 328 8 310 12 336 14 348 11 322 1098 823 5 284 7 307 11 335 12 346 8 291 823 657 4 241 7 306 10 334 11 344 6*264 657 561 3*232 6 304 8 332 8 342 4*247 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography