DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 63.4 - - 60.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 333 - - 206 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1087 - - 1204 - - 1018 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 994 - - 1169 - - 883 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1631 - - 1749 - - 1562 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 465 - - 449 - - 438 - - 873 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 303 - - 243 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 270 - - 268 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -335 - - -1103 - - -505 - - -420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1966 - - 2852 - - 2067 - - 980 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5933 - - -6655 - - -6663 - - -8099 ODpotential blCL - - - 7564 - - 8404 - - 8225 - - 8659 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 81 - - 87 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 63.4 - - 60.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.8 - - 52.8 - - 53.1 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 61.5 - - 58.8 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 51.8 - - 52.4 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 333 - - 206 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1087 - - 1204 - - 1018 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 24 - - 49 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97717 9 237 14 245 16 268 14 340 97717 90312 4 300 9 236 9 271 12 312 90312 84597 7 329 2 238 4 274 6 295 84597 79849 6 236 4 329 1 190 2 078 79849 75777 6 196 3 271 3 035 3 089 75777 72193 4 024 1 098 5 071 0 106 72193 68956 3 020 1 160 2 035 2 352 68956 65979 4 350 5 204 4 284 4 326 65979 63217 8 332 2 255 4 299 6 297 63217 60542 4 284 6 264 6 280 7 262 60542 57750 3 339 6 287 6 303 4 310 57750 54860 8 335 9 331 9 328 9 298 54860 52108 12 340 11 340 9 331 6 294 52108 49621 16 324 16 327 15 351 12 013 49621 47380 15 319 17 325 19 338 21 338 47380 45345 12 359 11 348 16 334 18 328 45345 43501 16 030 13 041 8 354 9 341 43501 41824 28 045 28 055 17 072 10 084 41824 40276 42 033 36 041 31 050 24 063 40276 38834 44 035 38 039 32 045 30 046 38834 37481 46 054 38 049 33 059 30 041 37481 36173 50 059 40 057 36 063 28 047 36173 34840 51 057 42 057 37 060 29 057 34840 33449 50 056 42 057 35 060 27 059 33449 32005 47 056 40 057 32 061 21 059 32005 30495 43 058 34 056 30 056 18 064 30495 28905 42 062 31 061 28 049 18 061 28905 27236 42 063 31 062 27 051 19 053 27236 25487 42 063 31 062 25 058 19 046 25487 23658 41 065 32 065 25 066 19 050 23658 21751 37 070 35 073 28 077 21 067 21751 19758 27 069 29 079 25 085 19 081 19758 17676 20 058 19 074 16 076 14 072 17676 15553 16 055 15 074 10 076 12 083 15553 13509 13 055 10 088 6 107 10 111 13509 11650 11 049 8 087 4 119 6 140 11650 9997 9 047 7 064 4 084 3 175 9997 8529 6 056 6 062 5 071 1 227 8529 7221 5 070 4 064 5 065 1 325 7221 6057 3 056 2 359 3 042 3 008 6057 5026 2 332 4 313 3 359 5 345 5026 4118 3 303 5 303 4 316 6 335 4118 3317 4 294 5 293 5 299 6 335 3317 2606 5 270 9 267 10 269 6 307 2606 1983 8*263 11*266 12*266 9 274 1983 1471 8*266 11*268 11*268 10 265 1471 1081 8 268 11 270 11 268 9 259 1081 815 8 270 11 270 11 269 8 259 815 653 7 271 10 271 10 269 7 259 653 560 6 271 9 271 8 269 5*258 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography